AVAV Price Chart
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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.
$378.57
Financials
NEUTRAL
Investment Thesis
AVAV is neither a clear buy nor avoid. RS 89/99, declining earnings. keep it on your radar.
Mixed signals = No edge currently
Key Takeaways
- Earnings weak
- RS 89 (Top 11%)
- No base pattern
- Wait & watch
Earnings Momentum
Earnings Declining
Price Structure
Partial AlignmentPrice
$378.57
✓→
50 DMA
$288.90
→
100 DMA
$303.37
✓→
150 DMA
$284.45
✓→
200 DMA
$252.84
Alignment Score: 3/4
Why Not BUY Yet?
EPS Growth
-326%→>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern
No base forming→VCP or constructive base
RSI (14)
77 (ELEVATED)→<70 for safe entry
Entry Point
Broke out 3mo ago, now +27%→Wait for pullback or new base
What Would Change Our Mind?
To turn bullish on AVAV, we need:
- EPS Growth: >25% Qtr YoY(currently -326%)
- Pattern: VCP or constructive base(currently No base forming)
- RSI (14): <70 for safe entry(currently 77 (ELEVATED))
- Entry Point: Wait for pullback or new base(currently Broke out 3mo ago, now +27%)
- Fresh Entry: Pullback to 50 DMA or new base formation(currently Extended +27% from 3mo ago breakout)
Twin Engines Dashboard
Technical Health
RS Rating
89/99
Top 11% ✓
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
77
ELEVATED
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 2/9
Volume
1.5M
+24% vs avg
From Entry
+26.8%
$298.61
Fundamental Horsepower
EPS Qtr YoY
-326%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+151%
Accelerating
F-Score
3/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
5%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
8/99
Percentile
Trade Plan
ExtendedBreakout Date2025-09-23115 days ago
Entry Was$298.61Breakout price
Gain Since+27%From entry
Wait For$343.06 - $313.51 (10-21 EMA)Deep pullback zone
If/Then Playbook
IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for potential
IF: EPS growth accelerates next quarter
THEN: Check for developing setup
IF: VCP pattern begins forming
THEN: Add to watchlist if RS also improving
IF: Price breaks below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar
Key Price Levels
Resistance
- 52W High$417.86+10.4%
Current$378.57
Support
- 20 DMA$293.20-22.5%
- 50 DMA$288.90-23.7%
- 200 DMA$252.84-33.2%
More AVAV Analysis
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVAV stock a buy now?
AVAV is neither a clear buy nor avoid. RS 89/99, declining earnings. keep it on your radar.
What is the buy point for AVAV?
AVAV broke out at $298.61 3 month(s) ago and is now +27% extended. Wait for a pullback to the 21 EMA or a new base pattern.
What is AVAV's RS Rating?
AVAV has an RS Rating of 89/99, meaning it's in the Top 11% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.
Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.