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IVRInvesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
$9.30
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

IVR is a market laggard (RS 68/99, Top 32%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-120%
Q4'24
$-0.09
-47%
Q1'25
$0.26
-5%
Q2'25
$-0.40
-75%
Q3'25
$0.16
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Aligned Uptrend
Price
$9.30
50 DMA
$8.21
100 DMA
$7.87
150 DMA
$7.80
200 DMA
$7.67
Alignment Score: 4/4✓ Confirmed Uptrend

IVR Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 68/99 is in Bottom 68% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
68 (Top 32%)>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-75%>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern Stage
AT_PIVOTAt pivot or near breakout
RSI (14)
73 (ELEVATED)<70 for safe entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on IVR, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
68/99
Top 32% (Need 80+)
Trend
Aligned Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
73
ELEVATED
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 5/9
Volume
2.3M
+28% vs avg
From Entry
+14.4%
$8.13

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-75%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
N/A
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+28%
STRONG
F-Score
6/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
8%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
14/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Extended

Broke out 1 month ago at $8.13 — now +14% extended.

Wait for deep pullback to $8.81 - $8.61 (10-21 EMA) or new base formation.

Breakout Date2025-11-2651 days ago
Entry Was$8.13Breakout price
Gain Since+14%From entry
Wait For$8.81 - $8.61 (10-21 EMA)Deep pullback zone

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$9.32+0.2%
  • Pivot$9.32+0.2%
Current$9.30

Support

  • 20 DMA$8.62-7.3%
  • 50 DMA$8.21-11.7%
  • 200 DMA$7.67-17.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is IVR stock a buy now?

IVR is a market laggard (RS 68/99, Top 32%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for IVR?

IVR broke out at $8.13 1 month(s) ago and is now +14% extended. Wait for a pullback to the 21 EMA or a new base pattern.

What is IVR's RS Rating?

IVR has an RS Rating of 68/99, meaning it's in the Top 32% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.