MODEL VERDICT
BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs (BRBI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $11.75 | CURRENT | — |
| May 29, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $13.88 | CURRENT | — |
| May 22, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $12.90 | CURRENT | — |
| May 15, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $13.68 | CURRENT | — |
| May 8, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $14.45 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 9 industry peers | $57.90 | +392.8% | 30% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Book 9 industry peers | $44.91 | +282.2% | 25% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Tangible Book 8 bank peers | $65.00 | +453.2% | 20% | B+ | Bank Primary |
| Earnings Yield 9 industry peers | $57.90 | +392.8% | 8% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $52.56 | +347.3% | 100% | 62 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 20× | 22× | 24× (Current) | 26× | 28× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $51 | $56 | $61 | $67 | $72 |
| Conservative (7%) | $52 | $58 | $63 | $68 | $73 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $54 | $60 | $65 | $70 | $76 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $56 | $61 | $67 | $73 | $78 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates BRBI's fair value at $52.56 vs the current price of $11.75, implying +347.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 62/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $52.56 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $51.30 (P10) to $60.12 (P90), with a median of $55.70.
BRBI's current P/E of 24.2x compares to the industry median of 23.5x (9 peers in the group). This represents a +3.0% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Fair Value.
No analyst coverage data is available for BRBI.
The model confidence score is 62/100, based on: data completeness (24), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for BRBI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.