MODEL VERDICT
Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (DUOT)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 132 analyst estimates | $2.49 | -74.8% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 160 industry peers | $8.55 | -13.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 162 industry peers | $9.14 | -7.5% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $3.59 | -63.6% | 100% | 63 | SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 10.60 | 6.28 | 3.32 | 26.51 | 10.76 |
| P/B Ratio | 11.82 | 7.47 | 3.05 | 24.25 | 9.85 |
| P/S Ratio | 2.25 | 1.75 | 0.82 | 6.35 | 1.97 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates DUOT's fair value at $3.59 vs the current price of $9.88, implying -63.6% downside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Overvalued. Confidence: 63/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $3.59 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.75 (P10) to $5.20 (P90), with a median of $3.96.
DUOT's current P/E of -7.1x compares to the industry median of 30.5x (75 peers in the group). This represents a -123.3% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
3 analysts cover DUOT with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $14.00 (range: $14.00 — $14.00), implying +41.7% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 63/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (7). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for DUOT.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.