Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG)
Valuation Overview•Is Yatsen Holding Limited Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 52/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
YSG struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($631M) and minimal debt risk.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-4.3%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.4B | +21.5% | +3.5% | -3.3% | — | |
| EBITDA | $133.6M | — | +61.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $8.0M | +89.0% | +54.4% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.08 | +88.0% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$138.5M | +54.0% | — | +36.8% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 78.4% | 76.6% | 72.9% | 69.5% |
| Operating Margin | -4.3% | -11.0% | -17.2% | -17.2% |
| Net Margin | -1.9% | -14.9% | -18.6% | -18.5% |
| FCF Margin | -3.2% | -5.5% | -7.0% | -10.2% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | — | $-0.09 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | — | $0.01 | — | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $-0.07 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $0.02 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $0.01 | — | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.03 | $0.14 | +364.7% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.01 | $-0.11 | -1644.9% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.06 | $-0.11 | -283.3% |
Total return is -65.7% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -87.9%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -22.9% | -30.3% | — |
| 1Y | -65.7% | -87.9% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -12.9% | -32.6% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -41.2% | -54.2% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -28.4% | -41.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Yatsen Holding Limited (YSG) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Yatsen Holding Limited appears Limited: Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Yatsen Holding Limited has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $9.76. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Yatsen Holding Limited displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 52/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of -1.4 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -5.6%.
Yatsen Holding Limited returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 5.3% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by -8.0% in the last 12 months.
Yatsen Holding Limited's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +21.5% 1Y revenue growth and +88.0% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +3.5%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 3 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 50% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Yatsen Holding Limited include: -80.0% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.51x market volatility), elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.51x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.