Insurance - Property & Casualty
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AFGB vs MKL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
AFGB vs MKL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $1.78B | $22.34B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.96B | $16.57B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $842M | $1.77B |
| Gross Margin | 86.7% | 61.4% |
| Operating Margin | 79.9% | 13.9% |
| Forward P/E | 1.9x | 15.9x |
| Total Debt | $1.82B | $4.30B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $17.18B | $3.96B |
AFGB vs MKL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Financial … (AFGB) | 100 | 80.5 | -19.5% |
| Markel Corporation (MKL) | 100 | 199.0 | +99.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFGB vs MKL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFGB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 1.3%, EPS growth -4.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.0%
- PEG 0.46 vs MKL's 0.64
- 1.3% revenue growth vs MKL's -1.0%
MKL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.44, yield 2.7%
- 90.6% 10Y total return vs AFGB's 26.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.44, Low D/E 22.5%, current ratio 0.84x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.3% revenue growth vs MKL's -1.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (1.9x vs 15.9x), PEG 0.46 vs 0.64 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs AFGB's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.44 vs AFGB's 0.74, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 34.0% yield, vs MKL's 2.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +7.4% vs MKL's -4.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.0% ROA vs AFGB's 2.8% |
AFGB vs MKL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AFGB vs MKL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AFGB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MKL is the larger business by revenue, generating $16.6B annually — 2.1x AFGB's $8.0B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 10.7% (MKL) to 10.6% (AFGB). On growth, MKL holds the edge at +6.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.0B | $16.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.3B | $2.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $842M | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.4B | $2.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +86.7% | +61.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +79.9% | +13.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.6% | +10.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.6% | +13.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.5% | +6.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +18.5% | -2.6% |
Valuation Metrics
AFGB leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 2.1x trailing earnings, AFGB trades at a 80% valuation discount to MKL's 10.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MKL offers better value at 0.42x vs AFGB's 0.51x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.8B | $22.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$13.6B | $22.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 2.12x | 10.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1.93x | 15.86x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.51x | 0.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | -11.78x | 7.72x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.22x | 1.35x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.37x | 1.19x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 1.27x | 8.75x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MKL leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AFGB delivers a 18.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $10 for MKL. MKL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.23x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AFGB's 0.38x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MKL scores 7/9 vs AFGB's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +9.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | +3.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +10.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.4% | +14.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.38x | 0.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$15.4B | $339M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $17.2B | $4.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.8B | $4.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.61x | 12.00x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MKL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MKL five years ago would be worth $14,899 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,259 for AFGB. Over the past 12 months, AFGB leads with a +7.4% total return vs MKL's -4.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MKL at 9.1% vs AFGB's 2.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.1% | -16.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +7.4% | -4.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +6.6% | +30.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2.6% | +49.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +26.6% | +90.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.2% | +9.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AFGB and MKL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MKL is the less volatile stock with a 0.44 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFGB's 0.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AFGB currently trades 91.0% from its 52-week high vs MKL's 80.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.74x | 0.44x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.47 | $2207.59 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.74 | $1719.41 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.0% | +80.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 68.9 | 30.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8K | 59K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AFGB and MKL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, AFGB offers the higher dividend yield at 33.98% vs MKL's 2.72%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $1950.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 15 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +34.0% | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 6 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $7.26 | $48.55 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.6% | +1.9% |
AFGB leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MKL leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
AFGB vs MKL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFGB or MKL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGB) is the stronger pick with 1. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) offers the better valuation at 2. 1x trailing P/E (1. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Markel Corporation (MKL) a "Hold" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFGB or MKL?
On trailing P/E, American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGB) is the cheapest at 2. 1x versus Markel Corporation at 10. 6x. On forward P/E, American Financial Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 1. 9x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: American Financial Group, Inc. wins at 0. 46x versus Markel Corporation's 0. 64x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFGB or MKL?
Over the past 5 years, Markel Corporation (MKL) delivered a total return of +49.
0%, compared to +2. 6% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MKL returned +90. 6% versus AFGB's +26. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFGB or MKL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Markel Corporation (MKL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
44β versus American Financial Group, Inc. 's 0. 74β — meaning AFGB is approximately 70% more volatile than MKL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Markel Corporation (MKL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 23% versus 38% for American Financial Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFGB or MKL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGB) is pulling ahead at 1. 3% versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American Financial Group, Inc. grew EPS -4. 6% year-over-year, compared to -15. 1% for Markel Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, MKL leads at 12. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFGB or MKL?
Markel Corporation (MKL) is the more profitable company, earning 12.
7% net margin versus 10. 4% for American Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 12. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MKL leads at 16. 5% versus 13. 2% for AFGB. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MKL leads at 69. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFGB or MKL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 46x versus Markel Corporation's 0. 64x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) trades at 1. 9x forward P/E versus 15. 9x for Markel Corporation — 13. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFGB or MKL?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) offers the highest yield at 34. 0%, versus 2. 7% for Markel Corporation (MKL).
09Is AFGB or MKL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Markel Corporation (MKL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
44), 2. 7% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MKL: +90. 6%, AFGB: +26. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFGB and MKL?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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