Integrated Freight & Logistics
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AIRT vs UPS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
AIRT vs UPS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $64M | $84.87B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $272M | $88.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-7M | $5.25B |
| Gross Margin | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| Operating Margin | -3.1% | 8.6% |
| Forward P/E | — | 14.1x |
| Total Debt | $129M | $32.29B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6M | $5.89B |
AIRT vs UPS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air T, Inc. (AIRT) | 100 | 183.5 | +83.5% |
| United Parcel Servi… (UPS) | 100 | 100.2 | +0.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AIRT vs UPS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AIRT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.05
- Rev growth 1.7%, EPS growth 7.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 18.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, current ratio 1.65x
UPS is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 45.4% 10Y total return vs AIRT's 21.2%
- 5.9% margin vs AIRT's -2.5%
- 6.4% yield; 16-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.7% revenue growth vs UPS's -2.5% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.9% margin vs AIRT's -2.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.05 vs UPS's 0.90 | |
| Dividends | 6.4% yield; 16-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +31.6% vs UPS's +13.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.3% ROA vs AIRT's -1.8%, ROIC 16.1% vs 1.1% |
AIRT vs UPS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AIRT vs UPS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UPS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UPS is the larger business by revenue, generating $88.3B annually — 324.2x AIRT's $272M. UPS is the more profitable business, keeping 5.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AIRT's -2.5%. On growth, UPS holds the edge at -1.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $272M | $88.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$3M | $10.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$7M | $5.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$22M | $4.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +20.0% | +18.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.1% | +8.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -2.5% | +5.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -8.2% | +5.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.7% | -1.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -93.6% | -27.1% |
Valuation Metrics
AIRT leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, UPS's 9.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AIRT's 29.9x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $64M | $84.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $187M | $111.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -9.50x | 15.23x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 14.10x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.45x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 29.91x | 9.11x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.22x | 0.96x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 10.52x | 5.22x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.21x | 17.81x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UPS leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UPS delivers a 33.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $-115 for AIRT. UPS carries lower financial leverage with a 1.99x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AIRT's 23.32x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AIRT scores 6/9 vs UPS's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -114.6% | +33.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.8% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.1% | +16.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.5% | +15.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 23.32x | 1.99x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $123M | $26.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6M | $5.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $129M | $32.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.19x | 7.37x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AIRT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AIRT five years ago would be worth $9,439 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,063 for UPS. Over the past 12 months, AIRT leads with a +31.6% total return vs UPS's +13.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AIRT at -6.5% vs UPS's -11.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +10.9% | +0.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +31.6% | +13.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -18.4% | -31.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -5.6% | -39.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.2% | +45.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -6.5% | -11.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AIRT and UPS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AIRT is the less volatile stock with a 0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UPS's 0.90 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.05x | 0.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $26.70 | $122.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.97 | $82.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +79.3% | +81.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.9 | 40.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2K | 5.8M |
Analyst Outlook
UPS leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
UPS is the only dividend payer here at 6.36% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $115.23 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 45 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +6.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 16 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $6.35 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.3% | +1.2% |
UPS leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AIRT leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
AIRT vs UPS: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AIRT or UPS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is the stronger pick with 1. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) offers the better valuation at 15. 2x trailing P/E (14. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) a "Hold" — based on 45 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AIRT or UPS?
Over the past 5 years, Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) delivered a total return of -5. 6%, compared to -39. 4% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: UPS returned +45. 4% versus AIRT's +21. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AIRT or UPS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 05β versus United Parcel Service, Inc. 's 0. 90β — meaning UPS is approximately 1758% more volatile than AIRT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 199% versus 23% for Air T, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — AIRT or UPS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is pulling ahead at 1. 7% versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Air T, Inc. grew EPS 7. 9% year-over-year, compared to -3. 0% for United Parcel Service, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AIRT leads at 18. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AIRT or UPS?
United Parcel Service, Inc.
(UPS) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 3% net margin versus -2. 1% for Air T, Inc. — meaning it keeps 6. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UPS leads at 9. 6% versus 0. 7% for AIRT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AIRT leads at 20. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — AIRT or UPS?
In this comparison, UPS (6.
4% yield) pays a dividend. AIRT does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is AIRT or UPS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 05)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AIRT: +21. 2%, UPS: +45. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between AIRT and UPS?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AIRT is a small-cap quality compounder stock; UPS is a mid-cap deep-value stock. UPS pays a dividend while AIRT does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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