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UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.
$108.30$92.0B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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UPS logo

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS
NYSE · Freight & Logistics
$108.30
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$92B
P/E20.9x
52W High$122.41
Volume6.39M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Margin Recovery Stalls as Leverage Rises at UPS

UPS revenue has hovered near $21-25B over the last ten quarters, and the latest quarter's 6.7% gain sits against a weak prior comparison, suggesting top-line stabilization rather than durable growth.

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsNeutral
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

UPS price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-10% Peers

P/E is 10% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 65 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 65)

04

Trend Check

N/A

Trend data unavailable

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue has stayed in a $21-25B band with gross margin ranging from roughly 13% to 21% and operating margin compressing to 7.6% in Q3 2026 from 10.5% in Q4 2025, indicating limited profit scaling against sales.

Analyst Consensus+6.9% target
Hold(45 analysts)
21 Buy21 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Oversold condition

UPS is considered oversold, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors.

High dividend yield

UPS offers a high dividend yield, making it attractive for income-focused investors.

Strategic measures against Amazon

UPS has implemented strategic measures to compete effectively with Amazon in the logistics industry.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
UPS+12.07%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
UPS+22.70%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
UPS-10.09%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.88%
5-Year Return
UPS-33.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+54.25%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
20.9x
Forward P/EExpansion
14.9x
EV/EBITDA60th %ile
11.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
6.9%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
20.9x
15.1x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
11.0x
10.5x
60th· Fair
Price/FCF
14.4x
17.4x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$57.13-47.2%
Base (Fair)$124.70+15.2%
Bull$230.33+112.7%
$57.13 Bear$124.70 Base$230.33 Bull
Current Market Price: $108.30
Trades at a 13.2% discount to Base DCF ($124.70)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$88.66B-2.5% YoY
Net income FY25
$5.57B-3.6% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$4.76B-23.3% YoY
Operating margin FY25
8.9%-0.7 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)15.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y23.4%
ROE (TTM)28.5%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$1.69+4.3%
vs $1.62
$22.9B+2.8%
vs $22.3B
Q3 2026
Jul 28, 2026
$1.76+6.0%
vs $1.66
$22.8B+4.3%
vs $21.9B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$1.07+2.9%
vs $1.04
$21.2B-3.0%
vs $21.9B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$2.38+8.2%
vs $2.20
$24.5B+2.0%
vs $24.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Seeking Alpha·1d ago
November Buy: 6 IDEAL S&P 500 'Safer' Dividend Dogs

Six S&P 500 'safer' high-yield dividend stocks—Regions Financial, Ford, AT&T, Pfizer, Verizon, VICI Properties—currently offer attractive buy signals based on free cash flow yields. Analyst projections for the top ten S&P 500 dividend dogs indicate potential net gains of 14.54% to 40.07% by November 2027, with an average estimated gain of 27.42%. Dividend dog strategy favors stocks where annual dividends from $1,000 invested exceed single-share prices and free cash flow yields surpass dividend yields.

Seeking Alpha·2d ago
Ariel Global Fund Q3 2026 Performers And Detractors

Ariel's non-consensus approach seeks to identify undervalued, out-of-favor, franchises that are misunderstood and therefore mispriced. At the sector level, positive stock selection among Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples and Health Care were the greatest contributors to returns, while our Information Technology and Industrials holdings as well as overweight exposure to Utilities were the largest performance detractors. We initiated eight new positions during the quarter.

247 Wallst·3d ago
‘My Field Significantly Shrinking Due to Automation and AI’: Laid-Off Worker Emptied His Retirement and Still Owes $45,000

When AI automation cut his salary by $40,000, Henry made a desperate move to keep his old life intact, and it transformed a rough patch into a financial hole that keeps getting deeper every month.

Business Wire·3d ago
UPS Appoints Shannon Eisenhardt to Board of Directors

ATLANTA--(BUSINESS WIRE)---- $UPS #upsnews--UPS (NYSE: UPS) today announced the appointment of Shannon Eisenhardt to the UPS Board of Directors, including the Audit Committee, effective immediately. Eisenhardt is Group Chief Financial Officer and an Executive Director of Reckitt Benckiser Group plc, a global consumer health and hygiene company. In this role, she oversees Reckitt's global finance organization, Information Technology & Data and Global Business Services. Her responsibilities also include Strate.

Filtered for United Parcel Service, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark UPS against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
UPS logoUPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.Current
$108.30$92B20.87-2.46%4.84%28.45%5.86%
FDX logoFDXFedEx Corporation
$308.14$73.52B16.617.73%——1.87%
XPO logoXPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$176.95$20.78B41.511.05%5.69%26.31%—
ODFL logoODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
$164.92$34.3B29.54-5.48%20.08%25.92%0.68%
SAIA logoSAIASaia, Inc.
$331.90$8.85B31.440.79%8.01%10.53%—
AMZN logoAMZNAmazon.com, Inc.
$259.30$2.79T21.0312.38%16.9%26.71%—

Compare UPS vs Peers

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs FDX

Most directly comparable listed peer for UPS.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare UPS against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs FDX, XPO, ODFL, SAIA

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

UPS SEC Filings & Documents

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Nov 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 20, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Nov 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

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UPS Frequently Asked Questions

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is United Parcel Service, Inc.'s revenue?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) reported $91.37B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $88.66B in fiscal year 2025. That is 258% more than the $24.79B of fiscal year 1998.

How fast is United Parcel Service, Inc. growing?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) grew revenue by 2.2% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is UPS profitable?

Yes. United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) earned $4.42B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 4.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does UPS pay dividends?

Yes. United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) pays a dividend that yields 5.86% at the current price, a high yield.

What is UPS's return on equity?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) had a return on equity (ROE) of 28.5% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is United Parcel Service, Inc.'s free cash flow?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) generated $6.38B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in UPS back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →