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UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.
$95.86$81.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
UPS logo

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPS
NYSE · Freight & Logistics
$95.86
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$81.43B
P/E14.6x
52W High$122.41
Volume4.06M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Compression and Leverage Rise Signal Caution

UPS is navigating a challenging demand environment, with revenue declining for four consecutive quarters and gross margin contracting 450 basis points year-over-year to 13.3% in Q2 2026. The company's cost structure appears rigid, as COGS as a percentage of re...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

UPS price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-53% Peers

P/E is 53% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 37 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 63% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 28
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue declined 2.5% year-over-year to $22.8B in Q2 2026, with gross margin compressing to 13.3% from 17.8% a year earlier, and operating income falling 48% to $930M.

Analyst Consensus+24.2% target
Hold(45 analysts)
21 Buy20 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Oversold condition

UPS is considered oversold, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors.

High dividend yield

UPS offers a high dividend yield, making it attractive for income-focused investors.

Strategic measures against Amazon

UPS has implemented strategic measures to compete effectively with Amazon in the logistics industry.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
UPS-0.24%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
UPS+21.60%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
UPS-24.91%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+82.42%
5-Year Return
UPS-31.23%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.40%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
14.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
13.3x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
9.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.9%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
14.6x
15.1x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
9.3x
10.5x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
17.1x
17.4x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$51.69-46.1%
Base (Fair)$118.67+19.8%
Bull$221.68+131.3%
$51.69 Bear$118.67 Base$221.68 Bull
Current Market Price: $95.86
Trades at a 19.2% discount to Base DCF ($118.67)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$88.66B-2.5% YoY
Net income
$5.57B-3.6% YoY
Free cash flow
$4.76B-23.3% YoY
Operating margin
8.9%-0.7 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)14.9%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)33.8%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 28, 2026
$1.76+6.7%
vs $1.65
$22.8B+4.3%
vs $21.9B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$1.07+2.9%
vs $1.04
$21.2B-3.0%
vs $21.9B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$2.38+8.2%
vs $2.20
$24.5B+2.0%
vs $24.0B
Q4 2025
Oct 28, 2025
$1.74+34.9%
vs $1.29
$21.4B+2.8%
vs $20.8B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Sep 15, 2026
UPS: Costs May Weigh In 2026, But Free Cash Flow Remains Strong; 6.4% Dividend Yield

United Parcel Service remains a "Buy," with shares fundamentally undervalued and supported by robust free cash flow and a 6.4% dividend yield. Q2 results exceeded expectations, with revenue up 7.5% and all segments contributing to a double beat and raised FY 2026 guidance. Valuation remains attractive, with a forward P/E of 15.7x and an intrinsic value target near $121, despite technicals showing mixed momentum.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 15, 2026
UPS: A Leaner Network, Better Revenue Mix, And International Recovery Support The Buy Case

United Parcel Service is rated Buy, supported by a leaner domestic network and a pivot to higher-margin SMB and healthcare segments. After shedding low-quality Amazon volume, UPS has restructured its U.S. operations, improving efficiency, automation, and profitability. International segment recovery, especially from Asia and easing network disruptions, is expected to drive further EPS growth.

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 14, 2026
United Parcel Service (UPS) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Note

The latest trading day saw United Parcel Service (UPS) settling at $102.46, representing a +2.17% change from its previous close.

24/7 Wall Street·Sep 14, 2026
The UPS Dividend Yield Is Unusually High and That Is Not the Compliment It Sounds Like

UPS carries a yield above 6%, but the math behind that number tells a very different story than a healthy payout raise. Before adding it to an income portfolio, understand what actually pushed the yield this high.

Filtered for United Parcel Service, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark UPS against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
UPS logoUPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.Current
$95.86$81.43B14.61-2.46%6.28%33.77%6.62%
FDX logoFDXFedEx Corporation
$295.94$70.61B15.957.73%4.68%15.11%—
XPO logoXPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$177.67$20.86B67.301.05%4.71%21.57%—
ODFL logoODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
$177.31$36.87B36.71-5.48%19.44%24.87%—
SAIA logoSAIASaia, Inc.
$348.38$9.29B36.590.79%8.19%10.63%—
AMZN logoAMZNAmazon.com, Inc.
$254.98$2.74T35.5612.38%17.44%30.5%—

Compare UPS vs Peers

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs FDX

Most directly comparable listed peer for UPS.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare UPS against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs FDX, XPO, ODFL, SAIA

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

UPS SEC Filings & Documents

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 18, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 12, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 17, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 20, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 5, 2025·SEC

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UPS Frequently Asked Questions

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is United Parcel Service, Inc.'s revenue?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) reported $89.93B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 263% increase from $24.79B in 1998.

How fast is United Parcel Service, Inc. growing?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) saw revenue decline by 2.5% over the past year.

Is UPS profitable?

Yes, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is profitable, generating $4.57B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (6.3% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does UPS pay dividends?

Yes, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) pays a dividend with a yield of 6.62%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is UPS's return on equity?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) has a return on equity (ROE) of 33.8%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is United Parcel Service, Inc.'s free cash flow?

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) generated $5.49B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in UPS back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →