ALMS vs ARVN

Analysts rate Alumis Inc.

Common Stock (ALMS) a "Buy" — based on 8 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

Over the past 5 years, Alumis Inc.

Common Stock (ALMS) delivered a total return of +91. 7%, compared to -83. 8% for Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ALMS returned +91. 7% versus ARVN's -36. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Arvinas, Inc.

(ARVN) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 15β versus Alumis Inc. Common Stock's 1. 77β — meaning ALMS is approximately 54% more volatile than ARVN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 12% for Alumis Inc. Common Stock — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alumis Inc.

Common Stock grew EPS 72. 4% year-over-year, compared to 53. 8% for Arvinas, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

Arvinas, Inc.

(ARVN) is the more profitable company, earning -30. 8% net margin versus -1011. 7% for Alumis Inc. Common Stock — meaning it keeps -30. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ARVN leads at -43. 8% versus -1886. 9% for ALMS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ARVN leads at 98. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.

All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.

For long-horizon retirement investors, Arvinas, Inc.

(ARVN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 15)). Alumis Inc. Common Stock (ALMS) carries a higher beta of 1. 77 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARVN: -36. 1%, ALMS: +91. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.