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ASPN vs UFPI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
ASPN vs UFPI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Construction | Paper, Lumber & Forest Products |
| Market Cap | $341M | $4.79B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $271M | $6.19B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-390M | $264M |
| Gross Margin | 17.0% | 16.6% |
| Operating Margin | -19.0% | 5.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 16.0x |
| Total Debt | $144M | $230M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $157M | $925M |
ASPN vs UFPI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) | 100 | 66.5 | -33.5% |
| UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) | 100 | 184.3 | +84.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASPN vs UFPI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
In this particular matchup, ASPN is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
UFPI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 13 yrs, beta 0.92, yield 1.7%
- Rev growth -5.0%, EPS growth -26.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -13.1%
- 229.1% 10Y total return vs ASPN's -8.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -5.0% revenue growth vs ASPN's -40.1% | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.3% margin vs ASPN's -143.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.92 vs ASPN's 1.92, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield; 13-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -12.6% vs ASPN's -25.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.5% ROA vs ASPN's -78.8%, ROIC 11.4% vs -9.5% |
ASPN vs UFPI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASPN vs UFPI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UFPI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UFPI is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.2B annually — 22.8x ASPN's $271M. UFPI is the more profitable business, keeping 4.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ASPN's -143.7%. On growth, UFPI holds the edge at -8.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $271M | $6.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$6M | $498M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$390M | $264M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$5M | $298M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +17.0% | +16.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -19.0% | +5.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -143.7% | +4.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.7% | +4.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -66.4% | -8.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.3% | -31.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ASPN leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $341M | $4.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $328M | $4.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.87x | 16.85x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 15.99x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.69x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 7.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.26x | 0.76x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | 1.61x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 17.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UFPI leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UFPI delivers a 8.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $-134 for ASPN. UFPI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ASPN's 0.61x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -133.8% | +8.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -78.8% | +6.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -9.5% | +11.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.1% | +10.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.61x | 0.07x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$13M | -$695M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $157M | $925M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $144M | $230M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -35.13x | 43.92x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
UFPI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in UFPI five years ago would be worth $10,142 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,225 for ASPN. Over the past 12 months, UFPI leads with a -12.6% total return vs ASPN's -25.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors UFPI at 2.2% vs ASPN's -19.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +42.6% | -8.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -25.1% | -12.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.8% | +6.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -77.8% | +1.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -8.4% | +229.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -19.5% | +2.2% |
Risk & Volatility
UFPI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
UFPI is the less volatile stock with a 0.92 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ASPN's 1.92 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. UFPI currently trades 71.4% from its 52-week high vs ASPN's 42.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.92x | 0.92x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.78 | $118.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.30 | $80.06 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +42.1% | +71.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.9 | 31.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 376K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ASPN as "Buy" and UFPI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 645.4% upside for ASPN (target: $31) vs 22.2% for UFPI (target: $103). UFPI is the only dividend payer here at 1.66% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $30.71 | $103.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 8 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 13 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +9.0% |
UFPI leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ASPN leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
ASPN vs UFPI: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASPN or UFPI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, UFP Industries, Inc.
(UFPI) is the stronger pick with -5. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -40. 1% for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN). UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) offers the better valuation at 16. 9x trailing P/E (16. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ASPN or UFPI?
Over the past 5 years, UFP Industries, Inc.
(UFPI) delivered a total return of +1. 4%, compared to -77. 8% for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: UFPI returned +229. 1% versus ASPN's -8. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ASPN or UFPI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), UFP Industries, Inc.
(UFPI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 92β versus Aspen Aerogels, Inc. 's 1. 92β — meaning ASPN is approximately 108% more volatile than UFPI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 61% for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ASPN or UFPI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), UFP Industries, Inc.
(UFPI) is pulling ahead at -5. 0% versus -40. 1% for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: UFP Industries, Inc. grew EPS -26. 1% year-over-year, compared to -28. 9% for Aspen Aerogels, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ASPN leads at 14. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ASPN or UFPI?
UFP Industries, Inc.
(UFPI) is the more profitable company, earning 4. 7% net margin versus -143. 7% for Aspen Aerogels, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UFPI leads at 5. 8% versus -19. 0% for ASPN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ASPN leads at 17. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is ASPN or UFPI more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ASPN: 645.
4% to $30. 71.
07Which pays a better dividend — ASPN or UFPI?
In this comparison, UFPI (1.
7% yield) pays a dividend. ASPN does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is ASPN or UFPI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, UFP Industries, Inc.
(UFPI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 92), 1. 7% yield, +229. 1% 10Y return). Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) carries a higher beta of 1. 92 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (UFPI: +229. 1%, ASPN: -8. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between ASPN and UFPI?
These companies operate in different sectors (ASPN (Industrials) and UFPI (Basic Materials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: ASPN is a small-cap quality compounder stock; UFPI is a small-cap deep-value stock. UFPI pays a dividend while ASPN does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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