Auto - Parts
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2 / 10Stock Comparison
AXL vs DAN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Auto - Parts
AXL vs DAN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Parts | Auto - Parts |
| Market Cap | $761M | $4.76B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.84B | $0.00 |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-20M | $-33M |
| Gross Margin | 12.1% | 8.0% |
| Operating Margin | 1.9% | 2.8% |
| Forward P/E | 13.6x | 14.0x |
| Total Debt | $135M | $3.52B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $709M | $476M |
AXL vs DAN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Axle & Man… (AXL) | 100 | 90.2 | -9.8% |
| Dana Incorporated (DAN) | 100 | 270.9 | +170.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AXL vs DAN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AXL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.84
- Rev growth -4.7%, EPS growth -158.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 0.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.84, Low D/E 21.1%, current ratio 2.95x
DAN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and defensive.
- 219.0% 10Y total return vs AXL's -60.4%
- Beta 1.37, yield 1.1%, current ratio 1.17x
- 1.1% margin vs AXL's -0.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -4.7% revenue growth vs DAN's -27.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.6x vs 14.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.1% margin vs AXL's -0.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.37 vs AXL's 1.84 | |
| Dividends | 1.1% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +146.5% vs AXL's +54.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -0.3% ROA vs DAN's -0.4%, ROIC 6.0% vs 4.0% |
AXL vs DAN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AXL vs DAN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DAN leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AXL and DAN operate at a comparable scale, with $5.8B and $0 in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 1.1% (DAN) to -0.3% (AXL). On growth, AXL holds the edge at +0.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.8B | $0 |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $454M | $354M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$20M | -$33M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $155M | $298M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.1% | +8.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.9% | +2.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -0.3% | +1.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.7% | +4.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.2% | -3.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | -120.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AXL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, AXL's 1.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than DAN's 13.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $761M | $4.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $187M | $7.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -37.71x | 55.63x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.63x | 13.95x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 1.67x | 13.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.13x | 0.63x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.19x | 5.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 4.91x | 15.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AXL leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
DAN delivers a -2.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-2 in annual profit, vs $-3 for AXL. AXL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.21x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to DAN's 3.82x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -3.1% | -2.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.0% | +4.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.4% | +4.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.21x | 3.82x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$574M | $3.0B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $709M | $476M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $135M | $3.5B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.83x | 0.77x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
DAN leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in DAN five years ago would be worth $14,414 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,568 for AXL. Over the past 12 months, DAN leads with a +146.5% total return vs AXL's +54.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DAN at 37.7% vs AXL's -4.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.2% | +43.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +54.5% | +146.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -12.0% | +160.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -34.3% | +44.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -60.4% | +219.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -4.2% | +37.7% |
Risk & Volatility
DAN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DAN is the less volatile stock with a 1.37 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AXL's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DAN currently trades 90.0% from its 52-week high vs AXL's 69.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.84x | 1.37x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.25 | $39.56 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.94 | $14.16 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +69.3% | +90.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 35.2 | 43.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.0M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AXL as "Hold" and DAN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 65.8% upside for AXL (target: $11) vs 3.9% for DAN (target: $37). DAN is the only dividend payer here at 1.09% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.63 | $37.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +13.7% |
DAN leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). AXL leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency).
AXL vs DAN: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AXL or DAN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
(AXL) is the stronger pick with -4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -27. 1% for Dana Incorporated (DAN). Dana Incorporated (DAN) offers the better valuation at 55. 6x trailing P/E (14. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Dana Incorporated (DAN) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AXL or DAN?
On forward P/E, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 13. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AXL or DAN?
Over the past 5 years, Dana Incorporated (DAN) delivered a total return of +44.
1%, compared to -34. 3% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DAN returned +219. 0% versus AXL's -60. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AXL or DAN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Dana Incorporated (DAN) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
37β versus American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 84β — meaning AXL is approximately 34% more volatile than DAN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 21% versus 4% for Dana Incorporated — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AXL or DAN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
(AXL) is pulling ahead at -4. 7% versus -27. 1% for Dana Incorporated (DAN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Dana Incorporated grew EPS 264. 1% year-over-year, compared to -158. 6% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AXL leads at 0. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AXL or DAN?
Dana Incorporated (DAN) is the more profitable company, earning 1.
1% net margin versus -0. 3% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DAN leads at 2. 8% versus 1. 9% for AXL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AXL leads at 12. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AXL or DAN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
(AXL) trades at 13. 6x forward P/E versus 14. 0x for Dana Incorporated — 0. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AXL: 65. 8% to $10. 63.
08Which pays a better dividend — AXL or DAN?
In this comparison, DAN (1.
1% yield) pays a dividend. AXL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AXL or DAN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Dana Incorporated (DAN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1.
1% yield, +219. 0% 10Y return). American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL) carries a higher beta of 1. 84 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (DAN: +219. 0%, AXL: -60. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AXL and DAN?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
DAN pays a dividend while AXL does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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