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BKSY vs ASTS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Communication Equipment
BKSY vs ASTS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Hardware, Equipment & Parts | Communication Equipment |
| Market Cap | $1.10B | $18.69B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $107M | $71M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-70M | $-342M |
| Gross Margin | 35.5% | 53.4% |
| Operating Margin | -40.1% | -405.7% |
| Total Debt | $16M | $32M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $42M | $2.34B |
BKSY vs ASTS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackSky Technology… (BKSY) | 100 | 51.9 | -48.1% |
| AST SpaceMobile, In… (ASTS) | 100 | 716.1 | +616.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BKSY vs ASTS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BKSY is the clearest fit if your priority is quality and momentum.
- -65.9% margin vs ASTS's -482.2%
- +317.2% vs ASTS's +158.1%
ASTS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 2.82
- Rev growth 15.1%, EPS growth 30.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 72.5%
- 5.5% 10Y total return vs BKSY's -54.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.1% revenue growth vs BKSY's 4.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | -65.9% margin vs ASTS's -482.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.82 vs BKSY's 2.90, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +317.2% vs ASTS's +158.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -12.6% ROA vs BKSY's -18.1% |
BKSY vs ASTS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BKSY vs ASTS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BKSY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BKSY is the larger business by revenue, generating $107M annually — 1.5x ASTS's $71M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -65.9% (BKSY) to -4.8% (ASTS). On growth, ASTS holds the edge at +27.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $107M | $71M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$17M | -$237M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$70M | -$342M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$45M | -$1.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +35.5% | +53.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -40.1% | -4.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -65.9% | -4.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -41.8% | -16.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.0% | +27.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +97.6% | -55.6% |
Valuation Metrics
ASTS leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $18.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.1B | $16.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -17.21x | -47.66x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 10.36x | 263.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 12.73x | 5.56x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTS leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTS delivers a -21.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-21 in annual profit, vs $-74 for BKSY. ASTS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BKSY's 0.16x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ASTS scores 5/9 vs BKSY's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -74.1% | -21.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -18.1% | -12.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | -47.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | — | -10.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.16x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$27M | -$2.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $42M | $2.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $16M | $32M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -8.55x | -21.20x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ASTS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ASTS five years ago would be worth $83,164 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,527 for BKSY. Over the past 12 months, BKSY leads with a +317.2% total return vs ASTS's +158.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ASTS at 132.8% vs BKSY's 56.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +72.7% | -23.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +317.2% | +158.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +284.2% | +1162.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -54.7% | +731.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -54.1% | +553.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +56.6% | +132.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BKSY and ASTS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ASTS is the less volatile stock with a 2.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BKSY's 2.90 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BKSY currently trades 84.1% from its 52-week high vs ASTS's 49.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.90x | 2.82x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $42.75 | $129.89 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.29 | $22.47 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.1% | +49.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.6 | 37.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.7M | 14.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BKSY as "Buy" and ASTS as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 62.3% upside for ASTS (target: $104) vs -36.0% for BKSY (target: $23).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $23.00 | $103.65 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 8 | 7 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ASTS leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). BKSY leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
BKSY vs ASTS: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BKSY or ASTS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger pick with 1505% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 4% for BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY). Analysts rate BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) a "Buy" — based on 8 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BKSY or ASTS?
Over the past 5 years, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) delivered a total return of +731. 6%, compared to -54. 7% for BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ASTS returned +553. 7% versus BKSY's -48. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BKSY or ASTS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 82β versus BlackSky Technology Inc. 's 2. 90β — meaning BKSY is approximately 3% more volatile than ASTS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 16% for BlackSky Technology Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BKSY or ASTS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is pulling ahead at 1505% versus 4. 4% for BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AST SpaceMobile, Inc. grew EPS 30. 9% year-over-year, compared to 21. 7% for BlackSky Technology Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ASTS leads at 72. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BKSY or ASTS?
BlackSky Technology Inc.
(BKSY) is the more profitable company, earning -65. 9% net margin versus -482. 2% for AST SpaceMobile, Inc. — meaning it keeps -65. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BKSY leads at -40. 1% versus -405. 7% for ASTS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ASTS leads at 53. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BKSY or ASTS?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BKSY or ASTS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+553. 7% 10Y return). BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) carries a higher beta of 2. 90 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ASTS: +553. 7%, BKSY: -48. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BKSY and ASTS?
Both stocks operate in the null sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BKSY is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ASTS is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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