Discount Stores
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COST vs TGT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Discount Stores
COST vs TGT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Discount Stores | Discount Stores |
| Market Cap | $450.51B | $58.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $286.26B | $106.25B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $8.55B | $4.04B |
| Gross Margin | 12.9% | 27.3% |
| Operating Margin | 3.8% | 5.3% |
| Forward P/E | 49.7x | 16.1x |
| Total Debt | $8.17B | $5.59B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $14.16B | $5.49B |
COST vs TGT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Costco Wholesale Co… (COST) | 100 | 329.5 | +229.5% |
| Target Corporation (TGT) | 100 | 105.3 | +5.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: COST vs TGT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
COST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 8.2%, EPS growth 10.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.6%
- 6.3% 10Y total return vs TGT's 107.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.13, Low D/E 28.0%, current ratio 1.03x
TGT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability.
- Dividend streak 22 yrs, beta 0.95, yield 3.5%
- Lower P/E (16.1x vs 49.7x)
- 3.8% margin vs COST's 3.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.2% revenue growth vs TGT's -1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.1x vs 49.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.8% margin vs COST's 3.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.13 vs TGT's 0.95, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.5% yield, 22-year raise streak, vs COST's 0.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +41.8% vs COST's +0.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.7% ROA vs TGT's 6.9%, ROIC 34.5% vs 16.7% |
COST vs TGT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
COST vs TGT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TGT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
COST is the larger business by revenue, generating $286.3B annually — 2.7x TGT's $106.2B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.8% (TGT) to 3.0% (COST). On growth, COST holds the edge at +9.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $286.3B | $106.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $13.5B | $8.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $8.5B | $4.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $9.1B | $2.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.9% | +27.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +5.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | +3.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +2.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.2% | +3.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.1% | +23.7% |
Valuation Metrics
TGT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.8x trailing earnings, TGT trades at a 72% valuation discount to COST's 55.8x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, TGT's 7.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than COST's 34.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $450.5B | $58.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $444.5B | $58.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 55.82x | 15.84x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 49.73x | 16.10x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.70x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 34.70x | 7.42x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.64x | 0.56x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 15.50x | 3.63x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 57.49x | 20.69x |
Profitability & Efficiency
COST leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
COST delivers a 28.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $29 in annual profit, vs $26 for TGT. COST carries lower financial leverage with a 0.28x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TGT's 0.35x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), COST scores 7/9 vs TGT's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +28.8% | +26.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.7% | +6.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +34.5% | +16.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +27.9% | +13.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.28x | 0.35x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$6.0B | $104M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $14.2B | $5.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.2B | $5.6B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 77.52x | 12.40x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
COST leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in COST five years ago would be worth $28,263 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,047 for TGT. Over the past 12 months, TGT leads with a +41.8% total return vs COST's +0.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors COST at 28.0% vs TGT's -3.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +19.3% | +29.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +0.7% | +41.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +109.6% | -9.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +182.6% | -29.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +631.6% | +107.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +28.0% | -3.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — COST and TGT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
COST is the less volatile stock with a 0.13 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TGT's 0.95 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.13x | 0.95x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $1067.08 | $133.07 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $846.80 | $83.44 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.3% | +96.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 56.0 | 56.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.6M | 4.6M |
Analyst Outlook
TGT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates COST as "Buy" and TGT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 5.3% upside for COST (target: $1070) vs -10.5% for TGT (target: $115). For income investors, TGT offers the higher dividend yield at 3.50% vs COST's 0.48%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1070.00 | $115.31 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 58 | 59 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 22 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $4.91 | $4.51 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +0.7% |
TGT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). COST leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
COST vs TGT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is COST or TGT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the stronger pick with 8.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). Target Corporation (TGT) offers the better valuation at 15. 8x trailing P/E (16. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) a "Buy" — based on 58 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — COST or TGT?
On trailing P/E, Target Corporation (TGT) is the cheapest at 15.
8x versus Costco Wholesale Corporation at 55. 8x. On forward P/E, Target Corporation is actually cheaper at 16. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — COST or TGT?
Over the past 5 years, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) delivered a total return of +182.
6%, compared to -29. 5% for Target Corporation (TGT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COST returned +631. 6% versus TGT's +107. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — COST or TGT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
13β versus Target Corporation's 0. 95β — meaning TGT is approximately 648% more volatile than COST relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 28% versus 35% for Target Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — COST or TGT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is pulling ahead at 8.
2% versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Costco Wholesale Corporation grew EPS 10. 0% year-over-year, compared to -8. 2% for Target Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, COST leads at 6. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — COST or TGT?
Target Corporation (TGT) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
5% net margin versus 2. 9% for Costco Wholesale Corporation — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TGT leads at 4. 9% versus 3. 8% for COST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TGT leads at 27. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is COST or TGT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Target Corporation (TGT) trades at 16.
1x forward P/E versus 49. 7x for Costco Wholesale Corporation — 33. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for COST: 5. 3% to $1070. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — COST or TGT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Target Corporation (TGT) offers the highest yield at 3. 5%, versus 0. 5% for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST).
09Is COST or TGT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
13), +631. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (COST: +631. 6%, TGT: +107. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between COST and TGT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: COST is a large-cap quality compounder stock; TGT is a mid-cap deep-value stock. TGT pays a dividend while COST does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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