Integrated Freight & Logistics
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FDX vs UPS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
FDX vs UPS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $85.29B | $83.33B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $91.93B | $88.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4.48B | $5.25B |
| Gross Margin | 24.4% | 18.1% |
| Operating Margin | 6.5% | 8.6% |
| Forward P/E | 18.3x | 13.8x |
| Total Debt | $37.42B | $32.29B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $5.50B | $5.89B |
FDX vs UPS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| FedEx Corporation (FDX) | 100 | 277.8 | +177.8% |
| United Parcel Servi… (UPS) | 100 | 98.4 | -1.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FDX vs UPS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FDX is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 0.3%, EPS growth -2.3%, 3Y rev CAGR -2.0%
- 148.2% 10Y total return vs UPS's 43.5%
- 0.3% revenue growth vs UPS's -2.5%
UPS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 16 yrs, beta 0.90, yield 6.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.90, current ratio 1.22x
- PEG 0.41 vs FDX's 0.66
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.3% revenue growth vs UPS's -2.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.8x vs 18.3x), PEG 0.41 vs 0.66 | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.9% margin vs FDX's 4.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.90 vs FDX's 1.03 | |
| Dividends | 6.5% yield, 16-year raise streak, vs FDX's 1.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +69.8% vs UPS's +9.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.3% ROA vs FDX's 5.0%, ROIC 16.1% vs 7.7% |
FDX vs UPS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FDX vs UPS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — FDX and UPS each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FDX and UPS operate at a comparable scale, with $91.9B and $88.3B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 5.9% (UPS) to 4.9% (FDX). On growth, FDX holds the edge at +8.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $91.9B | $88.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $10.3B | $10.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4.5B | $5.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4.4B | $4.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.4% | +18.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.5% | +8.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.9% | +5.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.8% | +5.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.3% | -1.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.7% | -27.1% |
Valuation Metrics
UPS leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.9x trailing earnings, UPS trades at a 31% valuation discount to FDX's 21.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), UPS offers better value at 0.44x vs FDX's 0.77x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $85.3B | $83.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $117.2B | $109.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 21.58x | 14.95x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.35x | 13.85x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.77x | 0.44x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.33x | 8.98x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.97x | 0.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.14x | 5.13x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.61x | 17.49x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UPS leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
UPS delivers a 33.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $16 for FDX. FDX carries lower financial leverage with a 1.33x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to UPS's 1.99x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +15.8% | +33.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.0% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.7% | +16.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.3% | +15.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.33x | 1.99x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $31.9B | $26.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $5.5B | $5.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $37.4B | $32.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 16.50x | 7.37x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FDX leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FDX five years ago would be worth $12,616 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,986 for UPS. Over the past 12 months, FDX leads with a +69.8% total return vs UPS's +9.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FDX at 18.2% vs UPS's -12.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +24.2% | -1.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +69.8% | +9.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +65.3% | -33.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +26.2% | -40.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +148.2% | +43.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +18.2% | -12.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — FDX and UPS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
UPS is the less volatile stock with a 0.90 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FDX's 1.03 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FDX currently trades 89.8% from its 52-week high vs UPS's 80.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.03x | 0.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $404.03 | $122.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $212.64 | $82.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +89.8% | +80.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.1 | 36.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.8M | 5.7M |
Analyst Outlook
UPS leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FDX as "Buy" and UPS as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 17.5% upside for UPS (target: $115) vs 0.4% for FDX (target: $364). For income investors, UPS offers the higher dividend yield at 6.48% vs FDX's 1.52%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $364.19 | $115.23 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 49 | 45 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.5% | +6.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 16 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.51 | $6.35 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.5% | +1.2% |
UPS leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). FDX leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
FDX vs UPS: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FDX or UPS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, FedEx Corporation (FDX) is the stronger pick with 0.
3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) offers the better valuation at 14. 9x trailing P/E (13. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate FedEx Corporation (FDX) a "Buy" — based on 49 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FDX or UPS?
On trailing P/E, United Parcel Service, Inc.
(UPS) is the cheapest at 14. 9x versus FedEx Corporation at 21. 6x. On forward P/E, United Parcel Service, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: United Parcel Service, Inc. wins at 0. 41x versus FedEx Corporation's 0. 66x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FDX or UPS?
Over the past 5 years, FedEx Corporation (FDX) delivered a total return of +26.
2%, compared to -40. 1% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FDX returned +148. 2% versus UPS's +43. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FDX or UPS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), United Parcel Service, Inc.
(UPS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 90β versus FedEx Corporation's 1. 03β — meaning FDX is approximately 14% more volatile than UPS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, FedEx Corporation (FDX) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 133% versus 199% for United Parcel Service, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FDX or UPS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), FedEx Corporation (FDX) is pulling ahead at 0.
3% versus -2. 5% for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: FedEx Corporation grew EPS -2. 3% year-over-year, compared to -3. 0% for United Parcel Service, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FDX leads at -2. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FDX or UPS?
United Parcel Service, Inc.
(UPS) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 3% net margin versus 4. 7% for FedEx Corporation — meaning it keeps 6. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UPS leads at 9. 6% versus 6. 9% for FDX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FDX leads at 21. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FDX or UPS more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 41x versus FedEx Corporation's 0. 66x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) trades at 13. 8x forward P/E versus 18. 3x for FedEx Corporation — 4. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UPS: 17. 5% to $115. 23.
08Which pays a better dividend — FDX or UPS?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) offers the highest yield at 6. 5%, versus 1. 5% for FedEx Corporation (FDX).
09Is FDX or UPS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, United Parcel Service, Inc.
(UPS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 90), 6. 5% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (UPS: +43. 5%, FDX: +148. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FDX and UPS?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FDX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; UPS is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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