Biotechnology
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FGEN vs FOLD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
FGEN vs FOLD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $585M | $4.47B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $-118M | $599M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $216M | $-14M |
| Gross Margin | 47.5% | 89.5% |
| Operating Margin | -5.1% | 5.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 40.6x |
| Total Debt | $90M | $444M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $50M | $214M |
FGEN vs FOLD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Feb 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| FibroGen, Inc. (FGEN) | 100 | 0.9 | -99.1% |
| Amicus Therapeutics… (FOLD) | 100 | 114.5 | +14.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FGEN vs FOLD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FGEN is the clearest fit if your priority is dividends and efficiency.
- 0.3% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend
- 157.4% ROA vs FOLD's -1.6%
FOLD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.63
- Rev growth 32.3%, EPS growth 64.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 20.0%
- 125.0% 10Y total return vs FGEN's -98.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 32.3% revenue growth vs FGEN's -36.7% | |
| Quality / Margins | -2.3% margin vs FGEN's -160.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.63 vs FGEN's 1.58 | |
| Dividends | 0.3% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +134.1% vs FGEN's +3.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 157.4% ROA vs FOLD's -1.6% |
FGEN vs FOLD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FGEN vs FOLD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FOLD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FOLD and FGEN operate at a comparable scale, with $599M and -$118M in trailing revenue. FOLD is the more profitable business, keeping -2.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FGEN's -160.6%. On growth, FOLD holds the edge at +19.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | -$118M | $599M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$123M | $40M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $216M | -$14M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$17M | $10M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +47.5% | +89.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -5.1% | +5.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -160.6% | -2.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.7% | +1.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -97.7% | +19.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +12.7% | +3.8% |
Valuation Metrics
FOLD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $585M | $4.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $625M | $4.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -15.63x | -80.50x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 40.62x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 140.62x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 19.75x | 8.46x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 22.73x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
FGEN leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FGEN delivers a 12.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $-6 for FOLD. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), FOLD scores 5/9 vs FGEN's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.3% | -6.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +157.4% | -1.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +4.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -104.8% | +4.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 2.29x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $40M | $230M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $50M | $214M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $90M | $444M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -20.28x | 1.11x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
FOLD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in FOLD five years ago would be worth $15,094 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $145 for FGEN. Over the past 12 months, FOLD leads with a +134.1% total return vs FGEN's +3.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FOLD at 6.0% vs FGEN's -74.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -18.1% | +1.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +3.0% | +134.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -98.3% | +19.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -98.5% | +50.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -98.1% | +125.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -74.3% | +6.0% |
Risk & Volatility
FOLD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
FOLD is the less volatile stock with a 0.63 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FGEN's 1.58 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. FOLD currently trades 99.9% from its 52-week high vs FGEN's 59.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.58x | 0.63x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $12.60 | $14.50 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.85 | $5.51 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +59.5% | +99.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 39.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 10K | 3.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FGEN as "Hold" and FOLD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 273.3% upside for FGEN (target: $28) vs 0.1% for FOLD (target: $15). FGEN is the only dividend payer here at 0.30% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $28.00 | $14.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.3% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.02 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
FOLD leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). FGEN leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency).
FGEN vs FOLD: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FGEN or FOLD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.
(FOLD) is the stronger pick with 32. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -36. 7% for FibroGen, Inc. (FGEN). Analysts rate Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (FOLD) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FGEN or FOLD?
Over the past 5 years, Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.
(FOLD) delivered a total return of +50. 9%, compared to -98. 5% for FibroGen, Inc. (FGEN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FOLD returned +125. 0% versus FGEN's -98. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FGEN or FOLD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.
(FOLD) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 63β versus FibroGen, Inc. 's 1. 58β — meaning FGEN is approximately 151% more volatile than FOLD relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — FGEN or FOLD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.
(FOLD) is pulling ahead at 32. 3% versus -36. 7% for FibroGen, Inc. (FGEN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: FibroGen, Inc. grew EPS 83. 6% year-over-year, compared to 64. 7% for Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FOLD leads at 20. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FGEN or FOLD?
Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.
(FOLD) is the more profitable company, earning -10. 6% net margin versus -160. 6% for FibroGen, Inc. — meaning it keeps -10. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FOLD leads at 4. 7% versus -507. 8% for FGEN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FOLD leads at 90. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is FGEN or FOLD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FGEN: 273.
3% to $28. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — FGEN or FOLD?
In this comparison, FGEN (0.
3% yield) pays a dividend. FOLD does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is FGEN or FOLD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.
(FOLD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 63), +125. 0% 10Y return). FibroGen, Inc. (FGEN) carries a higher beta of 1. 58 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (FOLD: +125. 0%, FGEN: -98. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between FGEN and FOLD?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FGEN is a small-cap quality compounder stock; FOLD is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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