Luxury Goods
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FOSL vs MOV
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Luxury Goods
FOSL vs MOV — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Luxury Goods | Luxury Goods |
| Market Cap | $262M | $632M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.00B | $671M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-78M | $27M |
| Gross Margin | 56.1% | 54.2% |
| Operating Margin | 2.3% | 4.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 24.3x |
| Total Debt | $282M | $58M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $96M | $231M |
FOSL vs MOV — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) | 100 | 147.2 | +47.2% |
| Movado Group, Inc. (MOV) | 100 | 262.6 | +162.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FOSL vs MOV
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FOSL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.46
- +259.2% vs MOV's +98.5%
MOV carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 2.7%, EPS growth 44.4%, 3Y rev CAGR -3.7%
- 36.8% 10Y total return vs FOSL's -88.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.38, Low D/E 11.3%, current ratio 4.58x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 2.7% revenue growth vs FOSL's -12.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.0% margin vs FOSL's -7.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.38 vs FOSL's 2.46, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 5.0% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +259.2% vs MOV's +98.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.6% ROA vs FOSL's -13.5%, ROIC 6.3% vs 5.7% |
FOSL vs MOV — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FOSL vs MOV — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MOV leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FOSL and MOV operate at a comparable scale, with $1.0B and $671M in trailing revenue. MOV is the more profitable business, keeping 4.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FOSL's -7.8%. On growth, MOV holds the edge at +9.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.0B | $671M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $26M | $39M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$78M | $27M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$60M | $53M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +56.1% | +54.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | +4.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.8% | +4.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -6.0% | +8.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -18.0% | +9.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.3% | +52.8% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — FOSL and MOV each lead in 2 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, MOV's 11.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than FOSL's 12.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $262M | $632M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $448M | $459M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.10x | 23.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 24.32x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.46x | 11.70x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.26x | 0.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.80x | 1.22x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 11.83x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MOV leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MOV delivers a 5.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-71 for FOSL. MOV carries lower financial leverage with a 0.11x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FOSL's 3.25x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MOV scores 8/9 vs FOSL's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -71.0% | +5.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -13.5% | +3.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.7% | +6.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.6% | +4.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.25x | 0.11x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $186M | -$172M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $96M | $231M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $282M | $58M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.11x | 67.12x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — FOSL and MOV each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MOV five years ago would be worth $11,072 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,665 for FOSL. Over the past 12 months, FOSL leads with a +259.2% total return vs MOV's +98.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors FOSL at 12.5% vs MOV's 8.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.5% | +32.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +259.2% | +98.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +42.5% | +26.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -63.3% | +10.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -88.6% | +36.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +12.5% | +8.2% |
Risk & Volatility
MOV leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MOV is the less volatile stock with a 1.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FOSL's 2.46 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MOV currently trades 94.3% from its 52-week high vs FOSL's 78.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.46x | 1.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.75 | $29.24 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.15 | $14.18 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.2% | +94.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.4 | 58.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 730K | 143K |
Analyst Outlook
FOSL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FOSL as "Hold" and MOV as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 55.9% upside for FOSL (target: $7) vs 8.8% for MOV (target: $30). MOV is the only dividend payer here at 4.98% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.00 | $30.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 13 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +5.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.37 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
MOV leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FOSL leads in 1 (Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
FOSL vs MOV: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FOSL or MOV a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Movado Group, Inc.
(MOV) is the stronger pick with 2. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). Movado Group, Inc. (MOV) offers the better valuation at 23. 6x trailing P/E (24. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) a "Hold" — based on 36 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FOSL or MOV?
Over the past 5 years, Movado Group, Inc.
(MOV) delivered a total return of +10. 7%, compared to -63. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MOV returned +36. 8% versus FOSL's -88. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FOSL or MOV?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Movado Group, Inc.
(MOV) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 38β versus Fossil Group, Inc. 's 2. 46β — meaning FOSL is approximately 78% more volatile than MOV relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Movado Group, Inc. (MOV) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 11% versus 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — FOSL or MOV?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Movado Group, Inc.
(MOV) is pulling ahead at 2. 7% versus -12. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Movado Group, Inc. grew EPS 44. 4% year-over-year, compared to 25. 3% for Fossil Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MOV leads at -3. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FOSL or MOV?
Movado Group, Inc.
(MOV) is the more profitable company, earning 4. 0% net margin versus -7. 8% for Fossil Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MOV leads at 4. 4% versus 2. 3% for FOSL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — FOSL leads at 56. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is FOSL or MOV more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FOSL: 55.
9% to $7. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — FOSL or MOV?
In this comparison, MOV (5.
0% yield) pays a dividend. FOSL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is FOSL or MOV better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Movado Group, Inc.
(MOV) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (5. 0% yield). Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) carries a higher beta of 2. 46 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MOV: +36. 8%, FOSL: -88. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between FOSL and MOV?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FOSL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MOV is a small-cap income-oriented stock. MOV pays a dividend while FOSL does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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