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FOSLFossil Group, Inc.
$7.81$462M
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
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FOSL logo

Fossil Group, Inc.

FOSL
NASDAQ · Luxury Goods & Jewelry
$7.81
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$462M
P/E-6.6x
52W High$8.07
Volume1.71M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Margin Recovery Masks Structural Revenue Erosion Risk

Fossil's revenue contraction has decelerated from -21.6% in 2024Q1 to -4.8% in 2026Q2 ($209.7M), and gross margin has climbed to a series-high 62.4%, suggesting cost relief and mix benefits are taking hold.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityWeak
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

FOSL price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/12 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-141% Peers

P/E is 141% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 97 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 97% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 10

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/7/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
FOSL+104.45%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
FOSL+333.89%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
FOSL+338.76%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+70.11%
5-Year Return
FOSL-44.45%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+57.54%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-6.6x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
24.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-6.6x
21.4x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
24.0x
10.9x
100th· High
Price/FCF
N/A
13.7x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$1B-12.3% YoY
Net income FY25
-$78M+23.7% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
-$60M-251.4% YoY
Operating margin FY25
2.3%+11.4 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)5.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-4.1%
ROE (TTM)-82.2%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/12 (60%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (44%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 12, 2026
-$0.13+63.4%
vs -$0.35
$210M+5.2%
vs $199M
Q2 2026
May 13, 2026
-$0.03+89.5%
vs -$0.28
$225M+9.8%
vs $205M
Q2 2026
Mar 11, 2026
-$0.15-850.0%
vs $0.02
$281M+12.5%
vs $249M
Q4 2025
Nov 13, 2025
-$0.63-3050.0%
vs -$0.02
$270M+8.4%
vs $249M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
GlobeNewsWire·Oct 20, 2026
Fossil Group, Inc. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

RICHARDSON, Texas, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FOSL) announced today that it will report third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, followed by a conference call to discuss the results at 5:00 p.m. ET the same day.

Defense World·Oct 15, 2026
Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average – What’s Next?

Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FOSL - Get Free Report) crossed above its 200-day moving average during trading on Wednesday. The stock has a 200-day moving average of $4.92 and traded as high as $7.20. Fossil Group shares last traded at $6.90, with a volume of 579,728 shares trading hands. Wall Street Analyst Weigh In Several analysts

Seeking Alpha·Oct 11, 2026
Leading Indicators For The October Breakout Cycle

Q4 historically delivers outsized S&P 500 returns, especially following midterm election years, supporting the 'October breakout cycle' thesis. Since 2000, the gains in the fourth quarter have averaged more than half of the S&P 500's annual returns with more positive years than all the other quarters. Small cap healthcare/biotech, technology, and consumer cyclicals—like PRME, CRNC, and FOSL—are highlighted as early breakout candidates with strong institutional interest and analyst targets.

GlobeNewsWire·Oct 8, 2026
Sebastian Digrande and Chandhu Nair Elected to Fossil Group Board of Directors; Wendy Schoppert Elected Chair of the Board

RICHARDSON, Texas, Oct. 08, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FOSL) today announced that Sebastian DiGrande and Chandhu Nair were elected to the Board of Directors at the Company's Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on October 2, 2026. Mr. DiGrande was appointed as a member of the Compensation and Talent Management Committee and Mr.

Filtered for Fossil Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark FOSL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
FOSL logoFOSLFossil Group, Inc.Current
$7.81$461.58M-6.59-12.28%-7.09%-82.2%—
CPRI logoCPRICapri Holdings Limited
$20.54$2.36B10.90-21.79%6.12%205.43%—
TPR logoTPRTapestry, Inc.
$132.80$26.83B16.8414.17%19.68%284.25%1.17%
MOV logoMOVMovado Group, Inc.
$31.03$711.33M17.192.74%6%8.16%4.43%
GIII logoGIIIG-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
$31.41$1.33B10.29-7.04%4.75%7.53%0.3%
PVH logoPVHPVH Corp.
$89.95$4.15B-24.543.44%-1.89%-3.49%0.17%

Compare FOSL vs Peers

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CPRI

Most directly comparable listed peer for FOSL.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare FOSL against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CPRI, TPR, MOV, GIII

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

FOSL SEC Filings & Documents

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 12, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 13, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Mar 12, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 12, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Mar 13, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 13, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 14, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 13, 2025·SEC

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FOSL Frequently Asked Questions

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s revenue?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) reported $985.2M in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $1.00B in fiscal year 2025. That is 388% more than the $205.9M of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Fossil Group, Inc. growing?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) revenue fell by 9.1% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is FOSL profitable?

No. Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) reported a net loss of $69.9M over the trailing twelve months.

Dividend & Returns
What is FOSL's return on equity?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) had a return on equity (ROE) of -82.2% over the trailing twelve months. A negative ROE means the company lost money over the period.

What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) had negative free cash flow of $41.2M over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in FOSL back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →