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FOSLFossil Group, Inc.
$6.41$379M
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
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FOSL logo

Fossil Group, Inc.

FOSL
NASDAQ · Luxury Goods
$6.41
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$379M
P/E-4.4x
52W High$6.49
Volume1.18M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q1

Persistent Revenue Contraction Challenges Operational Solvency Outlook

Fossil Group faces a precarious fundamental outlook characterized by a consistent erosion of its wholesale distribution channel and a shrinking asset base, which has declined from $978.0 million in 2023Q4 to $654.5 million in 2026Q1. The company's inability to...

GrowthContracting
ProfitabilityNegative
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

FOSL price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

3/12 Beats

EPS beat 3 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-118% Peers

P/E is 118% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 87 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 87% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 12

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
FOSL+67.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
FOSL+115.82%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
FOSL+220.50%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+108.61%
5-Year Return
FOSL-49.80%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+86.37%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
-4.4x
Forward P/E
N/A
EV/EBITDA67th %ile
15.7x
FCF YieldCash Flow
N/A

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-4.4x
21.4x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
15.7x
10.9x
67th· Fair
Price/FCF
N/A
13.7x
N/A
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
No DCF Model AvailableIntrinsic value modeling is not supported for this equity.

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1B-12.3% YoY
Net income
-$78M+23.7% YoY
Free cash flow
-$60M-251.4% YoY
Operating margin
2.3%+11.4 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)5.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-70.1%
Piotroski Score4 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate3/12 (60%)
Revenue Beat Rate4/12 (44%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 12, 2026
-$0.13+63.4%
vs -$0.35
$210M+5.2%
vs $199M
Q2 2026
May 13, 2026
-$0.03+89.5%
vs -$0.28
$225M+9.8%
vs $205M
Q2 2026
Mar 11, 2026
-$0.15-850.0%
vs $0.02
$281M+12.5%
vs $249M
Q4 2025
Nov 13, 2025
-$0.63-3050.0%
vs -$0.02
$270M+8.4%
vs $249M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Defense World·6d ago
Xcel Brands (NASDAQ:XELB) vs. Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) Financial Comparison

Fossil Group (NASDAQ: FOSL - Get Free Report) and Xcel Brands (NASDAQ: XELB - Get Free Report) are both small-cap consumer discretionary companies, but which is the superior investment? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, dividends, profitability, earnings, institutional ownership, valuation and risk. Profitability This table compares Fossil Group

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 9, 2026
Buy 5 Apparel & Shoes Stocks Striding Ahead in 2026 for Steady Returns

ANF, GCO, TLYS, FOSL and FIGS are five apparel and footwear stocks that are positioned for growth through 2026 buoyed by solid demand, digital expansion and innovation.

Defense World·Sep 9, 2026
Critical Review: Fossil Group (NASDAQ:FOSL) & Deckers Outdoor (NYSE:DECK)

Deckers Outdoor (NYSE: DECK - Get Free Report) and Fossil Group (NASDAQ: FOSL - Get Free Report) are both consumer discretionary companies, but which is the better investment? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their valuation, risk, analyst recommendations, profitability, institutional ownership, dividends and earnings. Volatility and Risk Deckers Outdoor has a

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 8, 2026
Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Stock Outpacing Its Retail-Wholesale Peers This Year?

Here is how Fossil Group (FOSL) and Genesco (GCO) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.

Filtered for Fossil Group, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark FOSL against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
FOSL logoFOSLFossil Group, Inc.Current
$6.41$378.84M-4.42-12.28%-7.8%-70.07%—
CPRI logoCPRICapri Holdings Limited
$15.19$1.74B19.73-21.79%4.44%86.56%—
TPR logoTPRTapestry, Inc.
$112.59$22.75B15.4914.17%19.09%262.81%—
MOV logoMOVMovado Group, Inc.
$33.28$762.91M28.442.75%5.99%8.15%—
GIII logoGIIIG-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
$28.22$1.19B18.69-7.04%4.75%7.53%—
PVH logoPVHPVH Corp.
$75.89$3.5B143.193.44%-0.98%-1.76%—

Compare FOSL vs Peers

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CPRI

Most directly comparable listed peer for FOSL.

Scale Benchmark

vs AAPL

Larger-name benchmark to compare FOSL against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CPRI, TPR, MOV, GIII

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

FOSL SEC Filings & Documents

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 12, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 20, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 13, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Mar 12, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Mar 12, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Mar 13, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 13, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 14, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 13, 2025·SEC

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FOSL Frequently Asked Questions

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s revenue?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) reported $985.2M in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 378% increase from $205.9M in 1996.

How fast is Fossil Group, Inc. growing?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) saw revenue decline by 12.3% over the past year.

Is FOSL profitable?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) reported a net loss of $69.9M for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
What is FOSL's return on equity?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) has a return on equity (ROE) of -70.1%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is Fossil Group, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) had negative free cash flow of $41.2M in fiscal year 2025, likely due to heavy capital investments.

What if you invested $1,000 in FOSL back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →