Industrial - Machinery
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GHM vs FWRD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
GHM vs FWRD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $1.07B | $547M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $238M | $2.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $15M | $-91M |
| Gross Margin | 24.6% | 23.1% |
| Operating Margin | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Forward P/E | 79.7x | — |
| Total Debt | $7M | $2.16B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $22M | $106M |
GHM vs FWRD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Corporation (GHM) | 100 | 848.6 | +748.6% |
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 34.9 | -65.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GHM vs FWRD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GHM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 2.24
- Rev growth 13.1%, EPS growth 164.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 19.6%
- 439.3% 10Y total return vs FWRD's -47.3%
FWRD is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Better valuation composite
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.1% revenue growth vs FWRD's 0.8% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.3% margin vs FWRD's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.24 vs FWRD's 2.28, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +192.5% vs FWRD's +0.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.1% ROA vs FWRD's -3.3%, ROIC 11.3% vs 1.2% |
GHM vs FWRD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GHM vs FWRD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GHM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FWRD is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.5B annually — 10.4x GHM's $238M. GHM is the more profitable business, keeping 6.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRD's -3.7%. On growth, GHM holds the edge at +20.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $238M | $2.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $25M | $206M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $15M | -$91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$6M | $38M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.6% | +23.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.7% | +2.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +6.3% | -3.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -2.6% | +1.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +20.5% | -5.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +78.6% | +35.1% |
Valuation Metrics
FWRD leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FWRD's 13.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GHM's 49.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.1B | $547M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.1B | $2.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 87.46x | -4.98x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 79.70x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.07x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 49.80x | 13.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.08x | 0.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.98x | 3.32x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 199.05x | 35.82x |
Profitability & Efficiency
GHM leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
GHM delivers a 11.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $11 in annual profit, vs $-53 for FWRD. GHM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FWRD's 13.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GHM scores 7/9 vs FWRD's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.4% | -52.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.1% | -3.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.3% | +1.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.5% | +1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.06x | 13.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$15M | $2.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $22M | $106M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7M | $2.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 0.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GHM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GHM five years ago would be worth $67,226 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,978 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, GHM leads with a +192.5% total return vs FWRD's +0.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GHM at 98.2% vs FWRD's -42.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +46.2% | -31.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +192.5% | +0.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +679.1% | -81.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +572.3% | -80.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +439.3% | -47.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +98.2% | -42.8% |
Risk & Volatility
GHM leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GHM is the less volatile stock with a 2.24 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRD's 2.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GHM currently trades 96.2% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 53.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.24x | 2.28x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $100.96 | $32.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $32.90 | $14.81 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +96.2% | +53.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.3 | 42.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 127K | 733K |
Analyst Outlook
FWRD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GHM as "Hold" and FWRD as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 113.5% upside for FWRD (target: $37) vs -17.6% for GHM (target: $80).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $80.00 | $37.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 4 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +0.2% |
GHM leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FWRD leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
GHM vs FWRD: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GHM or FWRD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Graham Corporation (GHM) is the stronger pick with 13.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 8% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Graham Corporation (GHM) offers the better valuation at 87. 5x trailing P/E (79. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Graham Corporation (GHM) a "Hold" — based on 4 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GHM or FWRD?
Over the past 5 years, Graham Corporation (GHM) delivered a total return of +572.
3%, compared to -80. 2% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GHM returned +439. 3% versus FWRD's -47. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GHM or FWRD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Graham Corporation (GHM) is the lower-risk stock at 2.
24β versus Forward Air Corporation's 2. 28β — meaning FWRD is approximately 2% more volatile than GHM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Graham Corporation (GHM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 13% for Forward Air Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — GHM or FWRD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Graham Corporation (GHM) is pulling ahead at 13.
1% versus 0. 8% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Graham Corporation grew EPS 164. 3% year-over-year, compared to 88. 3% for Forward Air Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, GHM leads at 19. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GHM or FWRD?
Graham Corporation (GHM) is the more profitable company, earning 5.
8% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps 5. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GHM leads at 7. 2% versus 1. 5% for FWRD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GHM leads at 25. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is GHM or FWRD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRD: 113.
5% to $37. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — GHM or FWRD?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is GHM or FWRD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Graham Corporation (GHM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+439.
3% 10Y return). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GHM: +439. 3%, FWRD: -47. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between GHM and FWRD?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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