REIT - Mortgage
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MFA vs AGNC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
MFA vs AGNC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $997M | $9.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $650M | $3.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $135M | $838M |
| Gross Margin | 59.3% | 100.0% |
| Operating Margin | 41.0% | 107.1% |
| Forward P/E | 7.1x | 6.9x |
| Total Debt | $10.99B | $64M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $213M | $505M |
MFA vs AGNC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) | 100 | 144.5 | +44.5% |
| AGNC Investment Cor… (AGNC) | 100 | 83.4 | -16.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MFA vs AGNC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MFA is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.77, yield 18.3%
- 18.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AGNC's 14.6%
- 1.1% ROA vs AGNC's 0.8%, ROIC 4.4% vs 34.0%
AGNC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 384.7%, EPS growth 17.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 26.4%
- 47.8% 10Y total return vs MFA's 9.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.74, Low D/E 0.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 384.7% FFO/revenue growth vs MFA's 213.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.9x vs 7.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 24.2% margin vs MFA's 20.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs MFA's 0.77, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 18.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AGNC's 14.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.9% vs MFA's +19.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.1% ROA vs AGNC's 0.8%, ROIC 4.4% vs 34.0% |
MFA vs AGNC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.5B annually — 5.3x MFA's $650M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 24.2% (AGNC) to 20.7% (MFA). On growth, AGNC holds the edge at +2.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $650M | $3.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $268M | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $135M | $838M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $91M | $604M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +59.3% | +100.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +41.0% | +107.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +20.7% | +24.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +14.0% | +17.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +118.9% | +2.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -103.0% | +84.6% |
Valuation Metrics
MFA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.8x trailing earnings, MFA trades at a 50% valuation discount to AGNC's 11.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AGNC's 2.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MFA's 17.1x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $997M | $9.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.8B | $9.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 5.82x | 11.60x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.12x | 6.92x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.07x | 2.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.14x | 1.99x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.56x | 0.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.08x | 112.59x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — MFA and AGNC each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MFA delivers a 7.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $7 for AGNC. AGNC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MFA's 6.01x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.4% | +7.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.1% | +0.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.4% | +34.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.8% | +4.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.01x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $10.8B | -$441M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $213M | $505M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $11.0B | $64M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.34x | 1.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AGNC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AGNC five years ago would be worth $9,879 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,841 for MFA. Over the past 12 months, AGNC leads with a +40.9% total return vs MFA's +19.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AGNC at 16.7% vs MFA's 10.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.3% | +3.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +19.5% | +40.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +34.3% | +59.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +9.0% | +47.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.3% | +16.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MFA and AGNC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AGNC is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MFA's 0.77 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MFA currently trades 92.4% from its 52-week high vs AGNC's 88.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.77x | 0.74x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $10.57 | $12.19 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.78 | $8.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.4% | +88.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 37.6 | 50.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 18.4M |
Analyst Outlook
MFA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MFA as "Hold" and AGNC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 4.9% upside for MFA (target: $10) vs 3.2% for AGNC (target: $11). For income investors, MFA offers the higher dividend yield at 18.32% vs AGNC's 14.63%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.25 | $11.13 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 22 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +18.3% | +14.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.79 | $1.58 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.5% | 0.0% |
AGNC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). MFA leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
MFA vs AGNC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MFA or AGNC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is the stronger pick with 384. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 213. 0% for MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA). MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) offers the better valuation at 5. 8x trailing P/E (7. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) a "Hold" — based on 22 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MFA or AGNC?
On trailing P/E, MFA Financial, Inc.
(MFA) is the cheapest at 5. 8x versus AGNC Investment Corp. at 11. 6x. On forward P/E, AGNC Investment Corp. is actually cheaper at 6. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MFA or AGNC?
Over the past 5 years, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) delivered a total return of -1. 2%, compared to -1. 6% for MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AGNC returned +47. 8% versus MFA's +9. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MFA or AGNC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus MFA Financial, Inc. 's 0. 77β — meaning MFA is approximately 4% more volatile than AGNC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 6% for MFA Financial, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MFA or AGNC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is pulling ahead at 384. 7% versus 213. 0% for MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AGNC Investment Corp. grew EPS 1760% year-over-year, compared to 104. 9% for MFA Financial, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MFA or AGNC?
MFA Financial, Inc.
(MFA) is the more profitable company, earning 20. 2% net margin versus 17. 7% for AGNC Investment Corp. — meaning it keeps 20. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AGNC leads at 79. 6% versus 78. 8% for MFA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AGNC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MFA or AGNC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) trades at 6. 9x forward P/E versus 7. 1x for MFA Financial, Inc. — 0. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MFA: 4. 9% to $10. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — MFA or AGNC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) offers the highest yield at 18. 3%, versus 14. 6% for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC).
09Is MFA or AGNC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 14. 6% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AGNC: +47. 8%, MFA: +9. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MFA and AGNC?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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