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MODG vs SHAK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
MODG vs SHAK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Leisure | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $2.32B | $2.79B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.06B | $1.49B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-1.50B | $41M |
| Gross Margin | 64.6% | 7.5% |
| Operating Margin | -31.0% | 4.3% |
| Forward P/E | — | 50.2x |
| Total Debt | $4.14B | $902M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $445M | $360M |
MODG vs SHAK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Feb 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Topgolf Callaway Br… (MODG) | 100 | 82.2 | -17.8% |
| Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) | 100 | 159.4 | +59.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MODG vs SHAK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MODG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.92
- Better valuation composite
- +80.6% vs SHAK's -32.1%
SHAK carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 15.4%, EPS growth 354.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.1%
- 98.2% 10Y total return vs MODG's 37.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.75, current ratio 1.76x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.4% revenue growth vs MODG's -1.1% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.8% margin vs MODG's -37.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.75 vs MODG's 1.92, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +80.6% vs SHAK's -32.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.2% ROA vs MODG's -19.9%, ROIC 6.0% vs -13.8% |
MODG vs SHAK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MODG vs SHAK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHAK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MODG is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.1B annually — 2.7x SHAK's $1.5B. SHAK is the more profitable business, keeping 2.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MODG's -37.1%. On growth, SHAK holds the edge at +14.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.1B | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$989M | $173M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$1.5B | $41M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $35M | $16M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +64.6% | +7.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -31.0% | +4.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -37.1% | +2.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +1.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.8% | +14.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.1% | -110.0% |
Valuation Metrics
MODG leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.3B | $2.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.0B | $3.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.60x | 63.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 50.21x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 17.31x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.55x | 1.93x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.96x | 5.23x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 26.73x | 49.34x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SHAK leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SHAK delivers a 7.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $-61 for MODG. SHAK carries lower financial leverage with a 1.63x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MODG's 1.72x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SHAK scores 7/9 vs MODG's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -60.8% | +7.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -19.9% | +2.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -13.8% | +6.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -16.8% | +5.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.72x | 1.63x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.7B | $542M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $445M | $360M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.1B | $902M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -5.38x | 16.87x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SHAK leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SHAK five years ago would be worth $7,739 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,044 for MODG. Over the past 12 months, MODG leads with a +80.6% total return vs SHAK's -32.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SHAK at 1.1% vs MODG's -16.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.4% | -17.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +80.6% | -32.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -42.4% | +3.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.6% | -22.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.6% | +98.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -16.8% | +1.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MODG and SHAK each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SHAK is the less volatile stock with a 1.75 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MODG's 1.92 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MODG currently trades 75.6% from its 52-week high vs SHAK's 47.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.92x | 1.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $16.65 | $144.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.87 | $67.20 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.6% | +47.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.2 | 48.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9.2M | 1.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MODG as "Buy" and SHAK as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 74.6% upside for SHAK (target: $121) vs 15.2% for MODG (target: $15).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.50 | $120.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.4% | 0.0% |
SHAK leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MODG leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
MODG vs SHAK: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MODG or SHAK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger pick with 15. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 1% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG). Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) offers the better valuation at 63. 5x trailing P/E (50. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — MODG or SHAK?
Over the past 5 years, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) delivered a total return of -22. 6%, compared to -59. 6% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SHAK returned +98. 2% versus MODG's +37. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — MODG or SHAK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 75β versus Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. 's 1. 92β — meaning MODG is approximately 10% more volatile than SHAK relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 163% versus 172% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — MODG or SHAK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is pulling ahead at 15. 4% versus -1. 1% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Shake Shack Inc. grew EPS 354. 2% year-over-year, compared to -1776. 6% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SHAK leads at 17. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — MODG or SHAK?
Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 2% net margin versus -34. 1% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. — meaning it keeps 3. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SHAK leads at 5. 9% versus -29. 7% for MODG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MODG leads at 62. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is MODG or SHAK more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHAK: 74.
6% to $120. 89.
07Which pays a better dividend — MODG or SHAK?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is MODG or SHAK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG) carries a higher beta of 1. 92 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SHAK: +98. 2%, MODG: +37. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between MODG and SHAK?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MODG is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SHAK is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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