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MODG vs SHAK vs SYY vs PFGC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
Food Distribution
Food Distribution
MODG vs SHAK vs SYY vs PFGC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Leisure | Restaurants | Food Distribution | Food Distribution |
| Market Cap | $2.32B | $2.79B | $34.91B | $14.57B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.06B | $1.49B | $83.57B | $66.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-1.50B | $41M | $1.74B | $329M |
| Gross Margin | 64.6% | 7.5% | 18.5% | 11.9% |
| Operating Margin | -31.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Forward P/E | — | 50.2x | 15.9x | 19.9x |
| Total Debt | $4.14B | $902M | $14.49B | $8.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $445M | $360M | $1.07B | $79M |
MODG vs SHAK vs SYY vs PFGC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Feb 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Topgolf Callaway Br… (MODG) | 100 | 82.2 | -17.8% |
| Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) | 100 | 159.4 | +59.4% |
| Sysco Corporation (SYY) | 100 | 152.0 | +52.0% |
| Performance Food Gr… (PFGC) | 100 | 358.2 | +258.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MODG vs SHAK vs SYY vs PFGC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MODG is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +80.6% vs SHAK's -32.1%
SHAK is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Rev growth 15.4%, EPS growth 354.2%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.75, current ratio 1.76x
- 15.4% revenue growth vs MODG's -1.1%
- 2.8% margin vs MODG's -37.1%
SYY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.47, yield 2.8%
- Beta 0.47, yield 2.8%, current ratio 1.21x
- Lower P/E (15.9x vs 19.9x)
- Beta 0.47 vs MODG's 1.92
PFGC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 249.2% 10Y total return vs SHAK's 98.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.4% revenue growth vs MODG's -1.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.9x vs 19.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 2.8% margin vs MODG's -37.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.47 vs MODG's 1.92 | |
| Dividends | 2.8% yield; 37-year raise streak; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +80.6% vs SHAK's -32.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.4% ROA vs MODG's -19.9%, ROIC 15.7% vs -13.8% |
MODG vs SHAK vs SYY vs PFGC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MODG vs SHAK vs SYY vs PFGC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
SHAK leads in 2 of 6 categories
SYY leads 2 • PFGC leads 1 • MODG leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SHAK leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SYY is the larger business by revenue, generating $83.6B annually — 56.0x SHAK's $1.5B. SHAK is the more profitable business, keeping 2.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MODG's -37.1%. On growth, SHAK holds the edge at +14.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.1B | $1.5B | $83.6B | $66.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$989M | $173M | $4.0B | $1.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$1.5B | $41M | $1.7B | $329M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $35M | $16M | $2.0B | $1.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +64.6% | +7.5% | +18.5% | +11.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -31.0% | +4.3% | +3.6% | +1.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -37.1% | +2.8% | +2.1% | +0.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.8% | +1.1% | +2.4% | +1.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.8% | +14.3% | +4.7% | +6.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.1% | -110.0% | -13.4% | -27.0% |
Valuation Metrics
SYY leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 19.5x trailing earnings, SYY trades at a 69% valuation discount to SHAK's 63.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, SYY's 11.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than SHAK's 17.3x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.3B | $2.8B | $34.9B | $14.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.0B | $3.3B | $48.3B | $22.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.60x | 63.53x | 19.54x | 42.53x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 50.21x | 15.88x | 19.88x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 0.36x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 17.31x | 11.58x | 14.65x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.55x | 1.93x | 0.43x | 0.23x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.96x | 5.23x | 19.23x | 3.24x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 26.73x | 49.34x | 19.60x | 20.69x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SHAK leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SYY delivers a 80.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $81 in annual profit, vs $-61 for MODG. SHAK carries lower financial leverage with a 1.63x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SYY's 7.81x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SHAK scores 7/9 vs PFGC's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -60.8% | +7.6% | +80.7% | +7.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -19.9% | +2.2% | +6.4% | +1.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -13.8% | +6.0% | +15.7% | +5.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -16.8% | +5.4% | +19.0% | +7.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.72x | 1.63x | 7.81x | 1.79x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.7B | $542M | $13.4B | $7.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $445M | $360M | $1.1B | $79M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.1B | $902M | $14.5B | $8.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -5.38x | 16.87x | 4.35x | 1.69x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PFGC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PFGC five years ago would be worth $16,969 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,044 for MODG. Over the past 12 months, MODG leads with a +80.6% total return vs SHAK's -32.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PFGC at 14.9% vs MODG's -16.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.4% | -17.0% | +1.9% | +5.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +80.6% | -32.1% | +6.4% | +11.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -42.4% | +3.5% | +4.0% | +51.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.6% | -22.6% | -3.9% | +69.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.6% | +98.2% | +82.2% | +249.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -16.8% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +14.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SYY and PFGC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SYY is the less volatile stock with a 0.47 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MODG's 1.92 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PFGC currently trades 85.0% from its 52-week high vs SHAK's 47.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.92x | 1.75x | 0.47x | 0.60x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $16.65 | $144.65 | $91.69 | $109.05 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.87 | $67.20 | $68.19 | $77.44 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.6% | +47.9% | +79.5% | +85.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.2 | 48.0 | 41.7 | 59.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9.2M | 1.5M | 4.7M | 1.7M |
Analyst Outlook
SYY leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MODG as "Buy", SHAK as "Hold", SYY as "Buy", PFGC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 74.6% upside for SHAK (target: $121) vs 15.2% for MODG (target: $15). SYY is the only dividend payer here at 2.80% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.50 | $120.89 | $90.44 | $111.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 35 | 30 | 25 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +2.8% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $2.04 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.4% | 0.0% | +3.6% | +0.5% |
SHAK leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SYY leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
MODG vs SHAK vs SYY vs PFGC: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the stronger pick with 15. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 1% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG). Sysco Corporation (SYY) offers the better valuation at 19. 5x trailing P/E (15. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC?
On trailing P/E, Sysco Corporation (SYY) is the cheapest at 19.
5x versus Shake Shack Inc. at 63. 5x. On forward P/E, Sysco Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC?
Over the past 5 years, Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) delivered a total return of +69.
7%, compared to -59. 6% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PFGC returned +249. 2% versus MODG's +37. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Sysco Corporation (SYY) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
47β versus Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. 's 1. 92β — meaning MODG is approximately 308% more volatile than SYY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 163% versus 8% for Sysco Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is pulling ahead at 15. 4% versus -1. 1% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Shake Shack Inc. grew EPS 354. 2% year-over-year, compared to -1776. 6% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SHAK leads at 17. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC?
Shake Shack Inc.
(SHAK) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 2% net margin versus -34. 1% for Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. — meaning it keeps 3. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SHAK leads at 5. 9% versus -29. 7% for MODG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MODG leads at 62. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Sysco Corporation (SYY) trades at 15.
9x forward P/E versus 50. 2x for Shake Shack Inc. — 34. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for SHAK: 74. 6% to $120. 89.
08Which pays a better dividend — MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC?
In this comparison, SYY (2.
8% yield) pays a dividend. MODG, SHAK, PFGC do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MODG or SHAK or SYY or PFGC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Sysco Corporation (SYY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
47), 2. 8% yield). Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG) carries a higher beta of 1. 92 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SYY: +82. 2%, MODG: +37. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MODG and SHAK and SYY and PFGC?
These companies operate in different sectors (MODG (Consumer Cyclical) and SHAK (Consumer Cyclical) and SYY (Consumer Defensive) and PFGC (Consumer Defensive)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MODG is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SHAK is a small-cap high-growth stock; SYY is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; PFGC is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. SYY pays a dividend while MODG, SHAK, PFGC do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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