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NGVC vs KR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Grocery Stores
NGVC vs KR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Grocery Stores | Grocery Stores |
| Market Cap | $624M | $41.77B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.34B | $147.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $48M | $1.02B |
| Gross Margin | 29.8% | 22.3% |
| Operating Margin | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Forward P/E | 12.9x | 12.6x |
| Total Debt | $332M | $24.68B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $17M | $3.33B |
NGVC vs KR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Grocers by … (NGVC) | 100 | 188.3 | +88.3% |
| The Kroger Co. (KR) | 100 | 202.4 | +102.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NGVC vs KR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NGVC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 7.2%, EPS growth 36.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.9%
- 143.1% 10Y total return vs KR's 115.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.06, current ratio 1.06x
KR is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability.
- Dividend streak 21 yrs, beta -0.64, yield 2.0%
- Lower P/E (12.6x vs 12.9x)
- 2.0% yield, 21-year raise streak, vs NGVC's 1.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.2% revenue growth vs KR's 0.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.6x vs 12.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.6% margin vs KR's 0.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (156.3% vs 415.8%) | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield, 21-year raise streak, vs NGVC's 1.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -7.7% vs NGVC's -43.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.2% ROA vs KR's 2.0%, ROIC 8.9% vs 5.0% |
NGVC vs KR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NGVC vs KR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NGVC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KR is the larger business by revenue, generating $147.6B annually — 110.5x NGVC's $1.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.6% (NGVC) to 0.7% (KR).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.3B | $147.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $95M | $5.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $48M | $1.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $93M | $3.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +29.8% | +22.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.7% | +1.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.6% | +0.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.0% | +2.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.6% | +1.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.0% | +50.0% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — NGVC and KR each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 13.6x trailing earnings, NGVC trades at a 68% valuation discount to KR's 42.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NGVC's 10.0x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than KR's 10.9x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $624M | $41.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $939M | $63.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.55x | 42.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.87x | 12.60x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.77x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.01x | 10.86x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.47x | 0.28x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.97x | 7.28x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 25.91x | 12.47x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NGVC leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NGVC delivers a 23.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $23 in annual profit, vs $13 for KR. NGVC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.56x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to KR's 4.16x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NGVC scores 8/9 vs KR's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +23.1% | +13.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.2% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.9% | +5.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.4% | +5.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.56x | 4.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $315M | $21.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $17M | $3.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $332M | $24.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 22.18x | 2.59x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NGVC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in KR five years ago would be worth $18,986 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $18,953 for NGVC. Over the past 12 months, KR leads with a -7.7% total return vs NGVC's -43.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NGVC at 39.0% vs KR's 12.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +10.4% | +5.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -43.6% | -7.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +168.6% | +41.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +89.5% | +89.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +143.1% | +115.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +39.0% | +12.4% |
Risk & Volatility
KR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KR is the less volatile stock with a -0.64 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NGVC's 0.06 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KR currently trades 86.2% from its 52-week high vs NGVC's 44.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.06x | -0.64x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $61.22 | $76.58 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $23.47 | $58.60 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +44.3% | +86.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.8 | 42.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 122K | 5.6M |
Analyst Outlook
KR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NGVC as "Buy" and KR as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 47.5% upside for NGVC (target: $40) vs 13.2% for KR (target: $75). For income investors, KR offers the higher dividend yield at 2.05% vs NGVC's 1.75%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $40.00 | $74.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 16 | 44 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.7% | +2.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 21 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.47 | $1.35 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +6.5% |
NGVC leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). KR leads in 2 (Risk & Volatility, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
NGVC vs KR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NGVC or KR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is the stronger pick with 7. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 4% for The Kroger Co. (KR). Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) offers the better valuation at 13. 6x trailing P/E (12. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) a "Buy" — based on 16 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NGVC or KR?
On trailing P/E, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is the cheapest at 13. 6x versus The Kroger Co. at 42. 9x. On forward P/E, The Kroger Co. is actually cheaper at 12. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NGVC or KR?
Over the past 5 years, The Kroger Co.
(KR) delivered a total return of +89. 9%, compared to +89. 5% for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NGVC returned +143. 1% versus KR's +115. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NGVC or KR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Kroger Co.
(KR) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 64β versus Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. 's 0. 06β — meaning NGVC is approximately -109% more volatile than KR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 156% versus 4% for The Kroger Co. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NGVC or KR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is pulling ahead at 7. 2% versus 0. 4% for The Kroger Co. (KR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. grew EPS 36. 1% year-over-year, compared to -58. 0% for The Kroger Co.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NGVC leads at 6. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NGVC or KR?
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 5% net margin versus 0. 7% for The Kroger Co. — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NGVC leads at 4. 7% versus 1. 3% for KR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NGVC leads at 29. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NGVC or KR more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Kroger Co.
(KR) trades at 12. 6x forward P/E versus 12. 9x for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. — 0. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NGVC: 47. 5% to $40. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NGVC or KR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Kroger Co. (KR) offers the highest yield at 2. 0%, versus 1. 7% for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC).
09Is NGVC or KR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Kroger Co.
(KR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 64), 2. 0% yield, +115. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (KR: +115. 3%, NGVC: +143. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NGVC and KR?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NGVC is a small-cap deep-value stock; KR is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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