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PAYC vs PAYX vs ADP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Staffing & Employment Services
Staffing & Employment Services
PAYC vs PAYX vs ADP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Staffing & Employment Services | Staffing & Employment Services |
| Market Cap | $6.86B | $32.81B | $83.43B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.09B | $6.03B | $21.60B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $470M | $1.60B | $4.35B |
| Gross Margin | 81.0% | 73.4% | 47.5% |
| Operating Margin | 28.3% | 37.1% | 19.2% |
| Forward P/E | 12.0x | 16.6x | 18.8x |
| Total Debt | $152M | $5.02B | $9.07B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $370M | $1.63B | $3.35B |
PAYC vs PAYX vs ADP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paycom Software, In… (PAYC) | 100 | 42.5 | -57.5% |
| Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) | 100 | 126.4 | +26.4% |
| Automatic Data Proc… (ADP) | 100 | 141.4 | +41.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: PAYC vs PAYX vs ADP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
PAYC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 8.9%, EPS growth -9.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.3%
- PEG 0.51 vs PAYX's 1.95
- 8.9% revenue growth vs PAYX's 5.6%
PAYX has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.39, current ratio 1.28x
- Beta 0.39, yield 4.4%, current ratio 1.28x
- 26.4% margin vs ADP's 20.1%
ADP is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 37 yrs, beta 0.37, yield 2.8%
- 185.6% 10Y total return vs PAYC's 250.2%
- Beta 0.37 vs PAYC's 0.59
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.9% revenue growth vs PAYX's 5.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (12.0x vs 18.8x), PEG 0.51 vs 1.58 | |
| Quality / Margins | 26.4% margin vs ADP's 20.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.37 vs PAYC's 0.59 | |
| Dividends | 4.4% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs ADP's 2.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -29.6% vs PAYC's -43.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.7% ROA vs ADP's 6.8%, ROIC 30.9% vs 47.1% |
PAYC vs PAYX vs ADP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
PAYC vs PAYX vs ADP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PAYX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ADP is the larger business by revenue, generating $21.6B annually — 10.3x PAYC's $2.1B. PAYX is the more profitable business, keeping 26.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ADP's 20.1%. On growth, PAYX holds the edge at +18.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $6.0B | $21.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $753M | $2.6B | $4.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $470M | $1.6B | $4.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $444M | $2.1B | $5.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +81.0% | +73.4% | +47.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +28.3% | +37.1% | +19.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +22.4% | +26.4% | +20.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +21.2% | +34.1% | +23.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.8% | +18.3% | +7.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +22.6% | -3.5% | +10.5% |
Valuation Metrics
PAYC leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.6x trailing earnings, PAYC trades at a 25% valuation discount to ADP's 20.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), PAYC offers better value at 0.58x vs PAYX's 2.34x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.9B | $32.8B | $83.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.6B | $36.2B | $89.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.63x | 19.95x | 20.76x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.02x | 16.63x | 18.76x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.58x | 2.34x | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.93x | 14.98x | 15.11x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.34x | 5.89x | 4.06x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.09x | 8.01x | 13.69x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.80x | 18.65x | 17.49x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — PAYC and ADP each lead in 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ADP delivers a 68.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $69 in annual profit, vs $31 for PAYC. PAYC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.09x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ADP's 1.46x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ADP scores 8/9 vs PAYC's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +31.0% | +41.1% | +68.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +9.1% | +9.7% | +6.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +30.7% | +30.9% | +47.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +27.1% | +30.1% | +50.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.09x | 1.22x | 1.46x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$218M | $3.4B | $5.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $370M | $1.6B | $3.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $152M | $5.0B | $9.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 332.23x | 10.38x | 13.33x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ADP leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ADP five years ago would be worth $11,949 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,010 for PAYC. Over the past 12 months, ADP leads with a -29.6% total return vs PAYC's -43.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ADP at 1.6% vs PAYC's -21.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -16.9% | -14.9% | -17.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -43.9% | -35.8% | -29.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -52.2% | -3.0% | +4.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.9% | +7.3% | +19.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +250.2% | +130.2% | +185.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -21.8% | -1.0% | +1.6% |
Risk & Volatility
ADP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ADP is the less volatile stock with a 0.37 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than PAYC's 0.59 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ADP currently trades 62.8% from its 52-week high vs PAYC's 47.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.59x | 0.39x | 0.37x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $267.76 | $161.24 | $329.93 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $104.90 | $85.45 | $188.16 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +47.2% | +56.7% | +62.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.8 | 52.6 | 56.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 3.9M | 3.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — PAYX and ADP each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: PAYC as "Hold", PAYX as "Hold", ADP as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 22.7% upside for PAYX (target: $112) vs 18.2% for PAYC (target: $149). For income investors, PAYX offers the higher dividend yield at 4.38% vs PAYC's 1.20%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $149.36 | $112.14 | $249.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 30 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.2% | +4.4% | +2.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 14 | 37 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.51 | $4.00 | $5.87 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.7% | +0.3% | +1.5% |
ADP leads in 2 of 6 categories (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). PAYX leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
PAYC vs PAYX vs ADP: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is PAYC or PAYX or ADP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Paycom Software, Inc.
(PAYC) is the stronger pick with 8. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 6% for Paychex, Inc. (PAYX). Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) offers the better valuation at 15. 6x trailing P/E (12. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) a "Hold" — based on 36 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — PAYC or PAYX or ADP?
On trailing P/E, Paycom Software, Inc.
(PAYC) is the cheapest at 15. 6x versus Automatic Data Processing, Inc. at 20. 8x. On forward P/E, Paycom Software, Inc. is actually cheaper at 12. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Paycom Software, Inc. wins at 0. 51x versus Paychex, Inc. 's 1. 95x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — PAYC or PAYX or ADP?
Over the past 5 years, Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) delivered a total return of +19. 5%, compared to -59. 9% for Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PAYC returned +250. 2% versus PAYX's +130. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — PAYC or PAYX or ADP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 37β versus Paycom Software, Inc. 's 0. 59β — meaning PAYC is approximately 56% more volatile than ADP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 9% versus 146% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — PAYC or PAYX or ADP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Paycom Software, Inc.
(PAYC) is pulling ahead at 8. 9% versus 5. 6% for Paychex, Inc. (PAYX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Automatic Data Processing, Inc. grew EPS 9. 7% year-over-year, compared to -9. 4% for Paycom Software, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, PAYC leads at 14. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — PAYC or PAYX or ADP?
Paychex, Inc.
(PAYX) is the more profitable company, earning 29. 7% net margin versus 19. 8% for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — meaning it keeps 29. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PAYX leads at 39. 6% versus 26. 3% for ADP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PAYC leads at 78. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is PAYC or PAYX or ADP more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 51x versus Paychex, Inc. 's 1. 95x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) trades at 12. 0x forward P/E versus 18. 8x for Automatic Data Processing, Inc. — 6. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for PAYX: 22. 7% to $112. 14.
08Which pays a better dividend — PAYC or PAYX or ADP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) offers the highest yield at 4. 4%, versus 1. 2% for Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC).
09Is PAYC or PAYX or ADP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
(ADP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 37), 2. 8% yield, +185. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ADP: +185. 6%, PAYC: +250. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between PAYC and PAYX and ADP?
These companies operate in different sectors (PAYC (Technology) and PAYX (Industrials) and ADP (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: PAYC is a small-cap deep-value stock; PAYX is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; ADP is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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