Packaging & Containers
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PKG vs IP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaging & Containers
PKG vs IP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaging & Containers | Packaging & Containers |
| Market Cap | $20.04B | $17.49B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.99B | $24.97B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $773M | $-3.35B |
| Gross Margin | 21.0% | 27.8% |
| Operating Margin | 13.6% | -10.5% |
| Forward P/E | 21.8x | 23.4x |
| Total Debt | $4.36B | $10.80B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $529M | $1.15B |
PKG vs IP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packaging Corporati… (PKG) | 100 | 221.5 | +121.5% |
| International Paper… (IP) | 100 | 102.5 | +2.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: PKG vs IP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
PKG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.74, yield 2.2%
- 301.6% 10Y total return vs IP's 29.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.74, Low D/E 94.9%, current ratio 3.17x
IP is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 33.7%, EPS growth -5.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.6%
- 33.7% revenue growth vs PKG's 7.2%
- 5.6% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs PKG's 2.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 33.7% revenue growth vs PKG's 7.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (21.8x vs 23.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 8.6% margin vs IP's -13.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs IP's 1.21 | |
| Dividends | 5.6% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs PKG's 2.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +25.2% vs IP's -21.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.7% ROA vs IP's -8.5%, ROIC 12.6% vs -11.3% |
PKG vs IP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
PKG vs IP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PKG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
IP is the larger business by revenue, generating $25.0B annually — 2.8x PKG's $9.0B. PKG is the more profitable business, keeping 8.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to IP's -13.4%. On growth, PKG holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $9.0B | $25.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.9B | $154M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $773M | -$3.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $729M | $553M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.0% | +27.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.6% | -10.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +8.6% | -13.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.1% | +2.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.1% | +1.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -53.9% | +145.8% |
Valuation Metrics
IP leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, PKG's 12.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than IP's 1292.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $20.0B | $17.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $23.9B | $27.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 26.18x | -4.92x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 21.79x | 23.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.17x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.51x | 1292.71x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.23x | 0.70x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.38x | 1.18x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 27.50x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
PKG leads this category, winning 7 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PKG delivers a 16.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $-20 for IP. IP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.73x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to PKG's 0.95x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +16.7% | -20.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.7% | -8.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.6% | -11.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +14.2% | -11.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.95x | 0.73x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.8B | $9.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $529M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.4B | $10.8B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 13.99x | -8.89x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
PKG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PKG five years ago would be worth $16,084 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $7,280 for IP. Over the past 12 months, PKG leads with a +25.2% total return vs IP's -21.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PKG at 20.8% vs IP's 6.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.0% | -15.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +25.2% | -21.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +76.1% | +20.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +60.8% | -27.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +301.6% | +29.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +20.8% | +6.4% |
Risk & Volatility
PKG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PKG is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than IP's 1.21 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. PKG currently trades 90.0% from its 52-week high vs IP's 58.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.74x | 1.21x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $249.51 | $56.13 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $178.32 | $29.45 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.0% | +58.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.2 | 44.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 908K | 6.7M |
Analyst Outlook
IP leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates PKG as "Hold" and IP as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.9% upside for IP (target: $46) vs 10.3% for PKG (target: $248). For income investors, IP offers the higher dividend yield at 5.60% vs PKG's 2.23%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $247.75 | $46.20 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.2% | +5.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.02 | $1.85 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.8% | +0.4% |
PKG leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). IP leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
PKG vs IP: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is PKG or IP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, International Paper Company (IP) is the stronger pick with 33.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 2% for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) offers the better valuation at 26. 2x trailing P/E (21. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate International Paper Company (IP) a "Buy" — based on 29 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — PKG or IP?
On forward P/E, Packaging Corporation of America is actually cheaper at 21.
8x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — PKG or IP?
Over the past 5 years, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) delivered a total return of +60.
8%, compared to -27. 2% for International Paper Company (IP). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PKG returned +301. 6% versus IP's +29. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — PKG or IP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
74β versus International Paper Company's 1. 21β — meaning IP is approximately 63% more volatile than PKG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, International Paper Company (IP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 73% versus 95% for Packaging Corporation of America — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — PKG or IP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), International Paper Company (IP) is pulling ahead at 33.
7% versus 7. 2% for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Packaging Corporation of America grew EPS -3. 9% year-over-year, compared to -527. 4% for International Paper Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, IP leads at 5. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — PKG or IP?
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
6% net margin versus -14. 1% for International Paper Company — meaning it keeps 8. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: PKG leads at 14. 0% versus -11. 3% for IP. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — IP leads at 29. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is PKG or IP more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) trades at 21.
8x forward P/E versus 23. 4x for International Paper Company — 1. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for IP: 39. 9% to $46. 20.
08Which pays a better dividend — PKG or IP?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
International Paper Company (IP) offers the highest yield at 5. 6%, versus 2. 2% for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG).
09Is PKG or IP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
74), 2. 2% yield, +301. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PKG: +301. 6%, IP: +29. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between PKG and IP?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: PKG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; IP is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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