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POST vs K
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Food Confectioners
POST vs K — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Food Confectioners |
| Market Cap | $4.98B | $29.03B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.36B | $12.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $319M | $1.33B |
| Gross Margin | 26.3% | 36.1% |
| Operating Margin | 10.4% | 14.7% |
| Forward P/E | 14.0x | 22.1x |
| Total Debt | $7.70B | $6.34B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $177M | $694M |
POST vs K — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) | 100 | 178.7 | +78.7% |
| Kellanova (K) | 100 | 136.5 | +36.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: POST vs K
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
POST is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.23
- Rev growth 3.0%, EPS growth -2.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.7%
- 108.9% 10Y total return vs K's 48.3%
K carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.05, current ratio 0.81x
- Beta 0.05, yield 2.7%, current ratio 0.81x
- 10.6% margin vs POST's 3.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.0% revenue growth vs K's -2.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.0x vs 22.1x), PEG 0.06 vs 3.27 | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.6% margin vs POST's 3.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.05 vs POST's 0.23, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.7% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +3.2% vs POST's -7.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.4% ROA vs POST's 2.4%, ROIC 14.7% vs 5.9% |
POST vs K — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
POST vs K — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — POST and K each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
K is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.6B annually — 1.5x POST's $8.4B. K is the more profitable business, keeping 10.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to POST's 3.8%. On growth, POST holds the edge at +10.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.4B | $12.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.4B | $2.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $319M | $1.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $436M | $650M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +26.3% | +36.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.4% | +14.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +10.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.2% | +5.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.1% | +0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.9% | -15.0% |
Valuation Metrics
POST leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.8x trailing earnings, POST trades at a 12% valuation discount to K's 21.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), POST offers better value at 0.08x vs K's 3.19x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.0B | $29.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.5B | $34.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.83x | 21.51x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.01x | 22.06x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.08x | 3.19x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.08x | 15.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.61x | 2.28x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.73x | 7.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 10.19x | 25.65x |
Profitability & Efficiency
K leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
K delivers a 31.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $32 in annual profit, vs $8 for POST. K carries lower financial leverage with a 1.63x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to POST's 2.05x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), K scores 7/9 vs POST's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.5% | +31.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +8.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.9% | +14.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.0% | +17.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.05x | 1.63x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.5B | $5.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $177M | $694M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.7B | $6.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.13x | 6.41x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
K leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in K five years ago would be worth $14,843 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,393 for POST. Over the past 12 months, K leads with a +3.2% total return vs POST's -7.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors K at 10.3% vs POST's 4.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.1% | — |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.9% | +3.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +15.5% | +34.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +33.9% | +48.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +108.9% | +48.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +4.9% | +10.3% |
Risk & Volatility
K leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
K is the less volatile stock with a 0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than POST's 0.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. K currently trades 99.7% from its 52-week high vs POST's 88.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.23x | 0.05x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $117.28 | $83.65 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $94.14 | $76.48 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.5% | +99.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 54.3 | 60.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 683K | 42.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates POST as "Buy" and K as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 15.2% upside for POST (target: $120) vs -11.3% for K (target: $74). K is the only dividend payer here at 2.69% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $119.50 | $74.03 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 19 | 34 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +2.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.24 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +14.3% | 0.0% |
K leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). POST leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
POST vs K: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is POST or K a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Post Holdings, Inc.
(POST) is the stronger pick with 3. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) offers the better valuation at 18. 8x trailing P/E (14. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — POST or K?
On trailing P/E, Post Holdings, Inc.
(POST) is the cheapest at 18. 8x versus Kellanova at 21. 5x. On forward P/E, Post Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 14. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Post Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 06x versus Kellanova's 3. 27x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — POST or K?
Over the past 5 years, Kellanova (K) delivered a total return of +48.
4%, compared to +33. 9% for Post Holdings, Inc. (POST). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: POST returned +108. 9% versus K's +48. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — POST or K?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Kellanova (K) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
05β versus Post Holdings, Inc. 's 0. 23β — meaning POST is approximately 316% more volatile than K relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Kellanova (K) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 163% versus 2% for Post Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — POST or K?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Post Holdings, Inc.
(POST) is pulling ahead at 3. 0% versus -2. 8% for Kellanova (K). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kellanova grew EPS 40. 6% year-over-year, compared to -2. 3% for Post Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, POST leads at 11. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — POST or K?
Kellanova (K) is the more profitable company, earning 10.
5% net margin versus 4. 1% for Post Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: K leads at 14. 7% versus 10. 4% for POST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — K leads at 36. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is POST or K more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 06x versus Kellanova's 3. 27x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) trades at 14. 0x forward P/E versus 22. 1x for Kellanova — 8. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for POST: 15. 2% to $119. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — POST or K?
In this comparison, K (2.
7% yield) pays a dividend. POST does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is POST or K better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Kellanova (K) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
05), 2. 7% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (K: +48. 3%, POST: +108. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between POST and K?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
K pays a dividend while POST does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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