Banks - Regional
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PROV vs NWBI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Banks - Regional
PROV vs NWBI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Banks - Regional | Banks - Regional |
| Market Cap | $109M | $2.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $60M | $877M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $7M | $126M |
| Gross Margin | 67.8% | 68.3% |
| Operating Margin | 16.2% | 18.8% |
| Forward P/E | 15.4x | 10.7x |
| Total Debt | $213M | $446M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $53M | $234M |
PROV vs NWBI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 20 | Jun 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Provident Financial… (PROV) | 100 | 127.6 | +27.6% |
| Northwest Bancshare… (NWBI) | 100 | 144.6 | +44.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: PROV vs NWBI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
PROV is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.21, yield 3.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.21, current ratio 0.06x
- Better valuation composite
NWBI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 16.3%, EPS growth 16.5%
- 53.8% 10Y total return vs PROV's 25.8%
- Beta 0.65, yield 5.1%, current ratio 0.13x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 16.3% NII/revenue growth vs PROV's 2.5% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.5% vs PROV's 0.5% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.21 vs NWBI's 0.65 | |
| Dividends | 5.1% yield, vs PROV's 3.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +24.5% vs PROV's +14.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.5% vs PROV's 0.5% |
PROV vs NWBI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
PROV vs NWBI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NWBI leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NWBI is the larger business by revenue, generating $877M annually — 14.6x PROV's $60M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 14.4% (NWBI) to 11.0% (PROV).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $60M | $877M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $12M | $166M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $7M | $126M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $9M | $142M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +67.8% | +68.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +16.2% | +18.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +11.0% | +14.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +15.3% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +69.2% | +19.2% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — PROV and NWBI each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.1x trailing earnings, NWBI trades at a 13% valuation discount to PROV's 18.4x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, NWBI's 14.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than PROV's 21.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $109M | $2.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $269M | $2.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.40x | 16.08x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.41x | 10.74x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.96x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.77x | 14.42x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.81x | 2.47x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.90x | 1.15x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.38x | 15.26x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NWBI leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NWBI delivers a 7.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $5 for PROV. NWBI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.24x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to PROV's 1.66x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NWBI scores 7/9 vs PROV's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +5.1% | +7.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.5% | +0.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.9% | +5.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.4% | +6.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.66x | 0.24x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $160M | $213M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $53M | $234M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $213M | $446M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.47x | 0.73x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NWBI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NWBI five years ago would be worth $13,208 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,816 for PROV. Over the past 12 months, NWBI leads with a +24.5% total return vs PROV's +14.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors PROV at 14.7% vs NWBI's 14.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +8.8% | +26.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +14.5% | +24.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +50.9% | +50.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +18.2% | +32.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +25.8% | +53.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.7% | +14.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — PROV and NWBI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PROV is the less volatile stock with a 0.21 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NWBI's 0.65 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.21x | 0.65x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $17.42 | $14.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.95 | $11.25 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.2% | +100.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.8 | 65.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8K | 947K |
Analyst Outlook
NWBI leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates PROV as "Hold" and NWBI as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply -0.8% upside for NWBI (target: $15) vs -6.5% for PROV (target: $16). For income investors, NWBI offers the higher dividend yield at 5.06% vs PROV's 3.26%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.00 | $14.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 10 | 14 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.3% | +5.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.56 | $0.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.1% | 0.0% |
NWBI leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 2 categories are tied.
PROV vs NWBI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is PROV or NWBI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
(NWBI) is the stronger pick with 16. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 2. 5% for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV). Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) offers the better valuation at 16. 1x trailing P/E (10. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) a "Hold" — based on 10 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — PROV or NWBI?
On trailing P/E, Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
(NWBI) is the cheapest at 16. 1x versus Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. at 18. 4x. On forward P/E, Northwest Bancshares, Inc. is actually cheaper at 10. 7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — PROV or NWBI?
Over the past 5 years, Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
(NWBI) delivered a total return of +32. 1%, compared to +18. 2% for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NWBI returned +53. 8% versus PROV's +25. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — PROV or NWBI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
(PROV) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 21β versus Northwest Bancshares, Inc. 's 0. 65β — meaning NWBI is approximately 217% more volatile than PROV relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 24% versus 166% for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — PROV or NWBI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
(NWBI) is pulling ahead at 16. 3% versus 2. 5% for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Northwest Bancshares, Inc. grew EPS 16. 5% year-over-year, compared to -12. 3% for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — PROV or NWBI?
Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
(NWBI) is the more profitable company, earning 14. 4% net margin versus 10. 4% for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 14. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NWBI leads at 18. 8% versus 14. 8% for PROV. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NWBI leads at 68. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is PROV or NWBI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Northwest Bancshares, Inc.
(NWBI) trades at 10. 7x forward P/E versus 15. 4x for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. — 4. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NWBI: -0. 8% to $14. 67.
08Which pays a better dividend — PROV or NWBI?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) offers the highest yield at 5. 1%, versus 3. 3% for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV).
09Is PROV or NWBI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
(PROV) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 21), 3. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PROV: +25. 8%, NWBI: +53. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between PROV and NWBI?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: PROV is a small-cap income-oriented stock; NWBI is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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