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REFI vs TPVG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
REFI vs TPVG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $258M | $226M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $41M | $97M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $36.01B | $46M |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | 83.5% |
| Operating Margin | — | 77.9% |
| Forward P/E | 6.8x | 6.0x |
| Total Debt | $49.33B | $469M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $14.95B | $20M |
REFI vs TPVG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Atlantic Re… (REFI) | 100 | 73.6 | -26.4% |
| TriplePoint Venture… (TPVG) | 100 | 31.0 | -69.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: REFI vs TPVG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
REFI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.69, yield 100.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.69, Low D/E 16.0%, current ratio 0.40x
- Beta 0.69, yield 100.0%, current ratio 0.40x
TPVG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 36.6%, EPS growth 48.8%
- 87.8% 10Y total return vs REFI's 28.5%
- 36.6% NII/revenue growth vs REFI's -100.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 36.6% NII/revenue growth vs REFI's -100.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.0x vs 6.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 871.6% margin vs TPVG's 50.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.69 vs TPVG's 0.83, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 100.0% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs TPVG's 18.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +8.6% vs REFI's -3.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 33.8% ROA vs TPVG's 5.6% |
REFI vs TPVG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
REFI leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TPVG is the larger business by revenue, generating $97M annually — 2.4x REFI's $41M. REFI is the more profitable business, keeping 871.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to TPVG's 50.6%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $41M | $97M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $0 | $63M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $36.0B | $46M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$15.2B | $35M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +100.0% | +83.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | +77.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +871.6% | +50.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -366.7% | -58.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.6% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
TPVG leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.6x trailing earnings, TPVG trades at a 37% valuation discount to REFI's 7.3x P/E.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $258M | $226M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $34.6B | $674M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.29x | 4.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 6.76x | 6.04x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 4.50x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 8.90x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 2.32x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.00x | 0.63x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 0.01x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — REFI and TPVG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
REFI delivers a 46.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $47 in annual profit, vs $13 for TPVG. REFI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TPVG's 1.33x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TPVG scores 5/9 vs REFI's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +46.7% | +13.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +33.8% | +5.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +7.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | — | +9.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.16x | 1.33x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $34.4B | $449M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $14.9B | $20M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $49.3B | $469M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 2.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
REFI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in REFI five years ago would be worth $12,850 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,097 for TPVG. Over the past 12 months, TPVG leads with a +8.6% total return vs REFI's -3.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors REFI at 9.2% vs TPVG's -2.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.8% | -12.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -3.2% | +8.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +30.2% | -7.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +28.5% | -19.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +28.5% | +87.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +9.2% | -2.6% |
Risk & Volatility
REFI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
REFI is the less volatile stock with a 0.69 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TPVG's 0.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. REFI currently trades 80.6% from its 52-week high vs TPVG's 74.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.69x | 0.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $15.20 | $7.53 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.74 | $4.48 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +80.6% | +74.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.1 | 55.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 163K | 498K |
Analyst Outlook
REFI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates REFI as "Buy" and TPVG as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 60.7% upside for TPVG (target: $9) vs 14.3% for REFI (target: $14). For income investors, REFI offers the higher dividend yield at 100.00% vs TPVG's 18.40%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.00 | $8.95 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +100.0% | +18.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2045.71 | $1.02 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
REFI leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). TPVG leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
REFI vs TPVG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is REFI or TPVG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) is the stronger pick with 36. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -100. 0% for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI). TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) offers the better valuation at 4. 6x trailing P/E (6. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — REFI or TPVG?
On trailing P/E, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) is the cheapest at 4. 6x versus Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. at 7. 3x. On forward P/E, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. is actually cheaper at 6. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — REFI or TPVG?
Over the past 5 years, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) delivered a total return of +28. 5%, compared to -19. 0% for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TPVG returned +87. 8% versus REFI's +28. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — REFI or TPVG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 69β versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 0. 83β — meaning TPVG is approximately 21% more volatile than REFI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 133% for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — REFI or TPVG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) is pulling ahead at 36. 6% versus -100. 0% for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. grew EPS 48. 8% year-over-year, compared to -10. 6% for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — REFI or TPVG?
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) is the more profitable company, earning 871. 6% net margin versus 50. 6% for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. — meaning it keeps 871. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TPVG leads at 77. 9% versus 0. 0% for REFI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — REFI leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is REFI or TPVG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.
(TPVG) trades at 6. 0x forward P/E versus 6. 8x for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. — 0. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TPVG: 60. 7% to $8. 95.
08Which pays a better dividend — REFI or TPVG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) offers the highest yield at 100. 0%, versus 18. 4% for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG).
09Is REFI or TPVG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 69), 100. 0% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (REFI: +28. 5%, TPVG: +87. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between REFI and TPVG?
These companies operate in different sectors (REFI (Real Estate) and TPVG (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: REFI is a small-cap deep-value stock; TPVG is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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