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SFM vs NGVC vs TJX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Grocery Stores
Apparel - Retail
SFM vs NGVC vs TJX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Grocery Stores | Grocery Stores | Apparel - Retail |
| Market Cap | $7.41B | $662M | $172.01B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.90B | $1.34B | $60.37B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $507M | $48M | $5.49B |
| Gross Margin | 37.0% | 29.8% | 31.1% |
| Operating Margin | 7.6% | 4.7% | 12.0% |
| Forward P/E | 14.1x | 13.7x | 33.1x |
| Total Debt | $1.94B | $332M | $22.38B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $257M | $17M | $6.23B |
SFM vs NGVC vs TJX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sprouts Farmers Mar… (SFM) | 100 | 313.4 | +213.4% |
| Natural Grocers by … (NGVC) | 100 | 199.7 | +99.7% |
| The TJX Companies, … (TJX) | 100 | 293.7 | +193.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SFM vs NGVC vs TJX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SFM is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 14.1%, EPS growth 41.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.2%
- 14.1% revenue growth vs TJX's 7.1%
NGVC has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.06, yield 1.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.06, current ratio 1.06x
- Beta 0.06, yield 1.6%, current ratio 1.06x
TJX is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 330.7% 10Y total return vs SFM's 209.1%
- PEG 0.25 vs SFM's 0.83
- 9.1% margin vs NGVC's 3.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.1% revenue growth vs TJX's 7.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.7x vs 14.1x), PEG 0.78 vs 0.83 | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.1% margin vs NGVC's 3.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.06 vs TJX's 0.39, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.6% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs TJX's 1.1%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +21.5% vs SFM's -54.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 15.4% ROA vs NGVC's 7.2%, ROIC 25.5% vs 8.9% |
SFM vs NGVC vs TJX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
SFM vs NGVC vs TJX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TJX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TJX is the larger business by revenue, generating $60.4B annually — 45.2x NGVC's $1.3B. TJX is the more profitable business, keeping 9.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NGVC's 3.6%. On growth, TJX holds the edge at +8.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.9B | $1.3B | $60.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $996M | $95M | $8.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $507M | $48M | $5.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $361M | $93M | $4.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +37.0% | +29.8% | +31.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | +4.7% | +12.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +3.6% | +9.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.1% | +7.0% | +8.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.1% | +1.6% | +8.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.5% | +14.0% | +28.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NGVC leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.4x trailing earnings, NGVC trades at a 55% valuation discount to TJX's 31.8x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TJX offers better value at 0.24x vs SFM's 0.88x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $7.4B | $662M | $172.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.1B | $977M | $188.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.83x | 14.38x | 31.75x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.12x | 13.65x | 33.08x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.88x | 0.82x | 0.24x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.13x | 10.42x | 22.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.84x | 0.50x | 2.85x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.54x | 3.15x | 17.11x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 15.83x | 27.47x | 35.42x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TJX leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TJX delivers a 53.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $54 in annual profit, vs $23 for NGVC. SFM carries lower financial leverage with a 1.39x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TJX's 2.20x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NGVC scores 8/9 vs SFM's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +36.1% | +23.1% | +53.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +12.5% | +7.2% | +15.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +17.8% | +8.9% | +25.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +22.1% | +12.4% | +33.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.39x | 1.56x | 2.20x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $315M | $16.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $257M | $17M | $6.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.9B | $332M | $22.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 254.65x | 22.18x | 133.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NGVC leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SFM five years ago would be worth $30,441 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $19,820 for NGVC. Over the past 12 months, TJX leads with a +21.5% total return vs SFM's -54.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NGVC at 38.5% vs TJX's 26.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -2.3% | +17.0% | +0.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -54.4% | -41.1% | +21.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +116.2% | +165.6% | +103.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +204.4% | +98.2% | +127.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +209.1% | +159.2% | +330.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +29.3% | +38.5% | +26.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NGVC and TJX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NGVC is the less volatile stock with a 0.06 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TJX's 0.39 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TJX currently trades 93.5% from its 52-week high vs SFM's 43.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.17x | 0.06x | 0.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $182.00 | $61.22 | $165.82 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $64.75 | $23.47 | $119.84 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +43.3% | +47.0% | +93.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.6 | 63.2 | 40.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.4M | 122K | 4.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NGVC and TJX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: SFM as "Buy", NGVC as "Buy", TJX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 39.1% upside for NGVC (target: $40) vs 11.0% for TJX (target: $172). For income investors, NGVC offers the higher dividend yield at 1.65% vs TJX's 1.06%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $91.00 | $40.00 | $172.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 43 | 16 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.6% | +1.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.47 | $1.64 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.4% | +0.2% | +1.5% |
TJX leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NGVC leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 2 tied.
SFM vs NGVC vs TJX: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SFM or NGVC or TJX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is the stronger pick with 14. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 1% for The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX). Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) offers the better valuation at 14. 4x trailing P/E (13. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) a "Buy" — based on 43 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SFM or NGVC or TJX?
On trailing P/E, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is the cheapest at 14. 4x versus The TJX Companies, Inc. at 31. 8x. On forward P/E, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The TJX Companies, Inc. wins at 0. 25x versus Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 's 0. 83x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SFM or NGVC or TJX?
Over the past 5 years, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) delivered a total return of +204. 4%, compared to +98. 2% for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TJX returned +330. 7% versus NGVC's +159. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SFM or NGVC or TJX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 06β versus The TJX Companies, Inc. 's 0. 39β — meaning TJX is approximately 601% more volatile than NGVC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 139% versus 2% for The TJX Companies, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SFM or NGVC or TJX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
(SFM) is pulling ahead at 14. 1% versus 7. 1% for The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. grew EPS 41. 6% year-over-year, compared to 14. 6% for The TJX Companies, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SFM leads at 11. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SFM or NGVC or TJX?
The TJX Companies, Inc.
(TJX) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 1% net margin versus 3. 5% for Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. — meaning it keeps 9. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TJX leads at 11. 9% versus 4. 7% for NGVC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SFM leads at 37. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SFM or NGVC or TJX more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 25x versus Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 's 0. 83x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) trades at 13. 7x forward P/E versus 33. 1x for The TJX Companies, Inc. — 19. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NGVC: 39. 1% to $40. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — SFM or NGVC or TJX?
In this comparison, NGVC (1.
6% yield), TJX (1. 1% yield) pay a dividend. SFM does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is SFM or NGVC or TJX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
(NGVC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 06), 1. 6% yield, +159. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NGVC: +159. 2%, SFM: +209. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SFM and NGVC and TJX?
These companies operate in different sectors (SFM (Consumer Defensive) and NGVC (Consumer Defensive) and TJX (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: SFM is a small-cap deep-value stock; NGVC is a small-cap deep-value stock; TJX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. NGVC, TJX pay a dividend while SFM does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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