Financial - Mortgages
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VEL vs GPMT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
VEL vs GPMT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Mortgages | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $768M | $71M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $714M | $132M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $105M | $-40M |
| Gross Margin | 95.3% | 47.3% |
| Operating Margin | 71.6% | -4.3% |
| Forward P/E | 7.1x | — |
| Total Debt | $6.54B | $1.17B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $92M | $66M |
VEL vs GPMT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velocity Financial,… (VEL) | 100 | 503.1 | +403.1% |
| Granite Point Mortg… (GPMT) | 100 | 30.3 | -69.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VEL vs GPMT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VEL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 0.42
- 44.9% 10Y total return vs GPMT's -50.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.42, current ratio 0.30x
GPMT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 187.8%, EPS growth 73.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.9%
- 187.8% FFO/revenue growth vs VEL's 48.0%
- Better valuation composite
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 187.8% FFO/revenue growth vs VEL's 48.0% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.7% margin vs GPMT's -30.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.42 vs GPMT's 1.44 | |
| Dividends | 14.5% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +16.1% vs GPMT's -11.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.6% ROA vs GPMT's -2.3%, ROIC 6.1% vs 2.6% |
VEL vs GPMT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
VEL leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
VEL is the larger business by revenue, generating $714M annually — 5.4x GPMT's $132M. VEL is the more profitable business, keeping 14.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GPMT's -30.5%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $714M | $132M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $224M | -$8M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $105M | -$40M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $18M | $463,000 |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +95.3% | +47.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +71.6% | -4.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +14.7% | -30.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.5% | +0.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +157.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +60.7% | +40.9% |
Valuation Metrics
GPMT leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, VEL's 14.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GPMT's 20.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $768M | $71M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $7.2B | $1.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.12x | -1.28x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.07x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 14.05x | 20.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.07x | 0.49x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.11x | 0.13x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 42.94x | 26.57x |
Profitability & Efficiency
VEL leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VEL delivers a 16.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $17 in annual profit, vs $-7 for GPMT. GPMT carries lower financial leverage with a 2.12x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VEL's 9.68x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GPMT scores 6/9 vs VEL's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +16.9% | -7.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.6% | -2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.1% | +2.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.6% | +4.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 9.68x | 2.12x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.4B | $1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $92M | $66M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.5B | $1.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.40x | 0.58x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
VEL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in VEL five years ago would be worth $21,388 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,487 for GPMT. Over the past 12 months, VEL leads with a +16.1% total return vs GPMT's -11.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors VEL at 30.1% vs GPMT's -13.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.2% | -35.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +16.1% | -11.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +120.1% | -35.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +113.9% | -65.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +44.9% | -50.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +30.1% | -13.7% |
Risk & Volatility
VEL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
VEL is the less volatile stock with a 0.42 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GPMT's 1.44 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. VEL currently trades 91.5% from its 52-week high vs GPMT's 47.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.42x | 1.44x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.39 | $3.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $16.18 | $1.24 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.5% | +47.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.8 | 39.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 96K | 154K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates VEL as "Buy" and GPMT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 67.8% upside for GPMT (target: $3) vs 17.5% for VEL (target: $23). GPMT is the only dividend payer here at 14.54% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $23.00 | $2.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +14.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.22 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.0% | +8.0% |
VEL leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GPMT leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
VEL vs GPMT: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VEL or GPMT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
(GPMT) is the stronger pick with 187. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 48. 0% for Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL). Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) offers the better valuation at 7. 1x trailing P/E (7. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — VEL or GPMT?
Over the past 5 years, Velocity Financial, Inc.
(VEL) delivered a total return of +113. 9%, compared to -65. 1% for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: VEL returned +44. 9% versus GPMT's -50. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — VEL or GPMT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Velocity Financial, Inc.
(VEL) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 42β versus Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. 's 1. 44β — meaning GPMT is approximately 242% more volatile than VEL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 10% for Velocity Financial, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — VEL or GPMT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
(GPMT) is pulling ahead at 187. 8% versus 48. 0% for Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. grew EPS 73. 7% year-over-year, compared to 44. 0% for Velocity Financial, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — VEL or GPMT?
Velocity Financial, Inc.
(VEL) is the more profitable company, earning 14. 7% net margin versus -28. 3% for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. — meaning it keeps 14. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: VEL leads at 71. 6% versus 43. 6% for GPMT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — VEL leads at 95. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is VEL or GPMT more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GPMT: 67.
8% to $2. 50.
07Which pays a better dividend — VEL or GPMT?
In this comparison, GPMT (14.
5% yield) pays a dividend. VEL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is VEL or GPMT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Velocity Financial, Inc.
(VEL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 42)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (VEL: +44. 9%, GPMT: -50. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between VEL and GPMT?
These companies operate in different sectors (VEL (Financial Services) and GPMT (Real Estate)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
GPMT pays a dividend while VEL does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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