Oil & Gas Midstream
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VG vs NEXT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
VG vs NEXT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Midstream | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| Market Cap | $23.63B | $1.98B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $13.77B | $0.00 |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.58B | $-306M |
| Gross Margin | 68.3% | — |
| Operating Margin | 36.6% | — |
| Forward P/E | 9.5x | — |
| Total Debt | $1.51B | $8.66B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.35B | $144M |
VG vs NEXT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 25 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venture Global, Inc. (VG) | 100 | 58.7 | -41.3% |
| NextDecade Corporat… (NEXT) | 100 | 88.1 | -11.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VG vs NEXT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.22, yield 1.5%
- Rev growth 176.9%, EPS growth 41.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 28.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.22, Low D/E 12.6%, current ratio 0.93x
NEXT is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- -24.5% 10Y total return vs VG's -49.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 176.9% revenue growth vs NEXT's -429.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.7% margin vs NEXT's -1.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (12.6% vs 376.2%) | |
| Dividends | 1.5% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +38.7% vs NEXT's +1.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.3% ROA vs NEXT's -3.3%, ROIC 17.3% vs -2.1% |
VG vs NEXT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
VG vs NEXT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
VG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
VG and NEXT operate at a comparable scale, with $13.8B and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $13.8B | $0 |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $6.0B | -$211M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.6B | -$306M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$6.8B | -$5.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +68.3% | — |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +36.6% | — |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +18.7% | — |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -49.4% | — |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +191.7% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.9% | -172.0% |
Valuation Metrics
NEXT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $23.6B | $2.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $22.8B | $10.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.95x | -6.38x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.50x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 3.81x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.72x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.64x | 0.85x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
VG leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VG delivers a 25.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $26 in annual profit, vs $-16 for NEXT. VG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.13x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NEXT's 3.76x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), VG scores 6/9 vs NEXT's 1/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.8% | -15.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.3% | -3.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +17.3% | -2.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.3% | -2.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 1 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 3.76x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$847M | $8.5B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.4B | $144M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.5B | $8.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.47x | -2.76x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NEXT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NEXT five years ago would be worth $36,618 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,035 for VG. Over the past 12 months, VG leads with a +38.7% total return vs NEXT's +1.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NEXT at 8.2% vs VG's -20.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +70.7% | +38.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +38.7% | +1.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -49.6% | +26.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -49.6% | +266.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -49.6% | -24.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -20.4% | +8.2% |
Risk & Volatility
NEXT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NEXT is the less volatile stock with a -0.14 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than VG's 0.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.22x | -0.14x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.50 | $12.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.83 | $4.75 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.5% | +61.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.0 | 55.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 28.7M | 5.1M |
Analyst Outlook
VG leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates VG as "Buy" and NEXT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 5.1% upside for VG (target: $13) vs -6.3% for NEXT (target: $7). VG is the only dividend payer here at 1.47% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.61 | $7.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 31 | 9 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.5% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.18 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.9% |
VG leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NEXT leads in 3 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns).
VG vs NEXT: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VG or NEXT a better buy right now?
Venture Global, Inc.
(VG) offers the better valuation at 14. 0x trailing P/E (9. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Venture Global, Inc. (VG) a "Buy" — based on 31 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — VG or NEXT?
Over the past 5 years, NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) delivered a total return of +266.
2%, compared to -49. 6% for Venture Global, Inc. (VG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NEXT returned -24. 5% versus VG's -49. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — VG or NEXT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
14β versus Venture Global, Inc. 's 0. 22β — meaning VG is approximately -261% more volatile than NEXT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Venture Global, Inc. (VG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 4% for NextDecade Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — VG or NEXT?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Venture Global, Inc.
grew EPS 41. 0% year-over-year, compared to -387. 5% for NextDecade Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — VG or NEXT?
Venture Global, Inc.
(VG) is the more profitable company, earning 16. 4% net margin versus 0. 0% for NextDecade Corporation — meaning it keeps 16. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: VG leads at 36. 6% versus 0. 0% for NEXT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — VG leads at 49. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is VG or NEXT more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for VG: 5.
1% to $12. 61.
07Which pays a better dividend — VG or NEXT?
In this comparison, VG (1.
5% yield) pays a dividend. NEXT does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is VG or NEXT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Venture Global, Inc.
(VG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 22), 1. 5% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (VG: -49. 6%, NEXT: -24. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between VG and NEXT?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: VG is a mid-cap high-growth stock; NEXT is a small-cap quality compounder stock. VG pays a dividend while NEXT does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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