WMT vs TGT vs COST

For growth investors, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the stronger pick with 8.

2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). Target Corporation (TGT) offers the better valuation at 16. 0x trailing P/E (16. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Walmart Inc. (WMT) a "Buy" — based on 64 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, Target Corporation (TGT) is the cheapest at 16.

0x versus Costco Wholesale Corporation at 54. 7x. On forward P/E, Target Corporation is actually cheaper at 16. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Costco Wholesale Corporation wins at 3. 23x versus Walmart Inc. 's 4. 06x.

Over the past 5 years, Walmart Inc.

(WMT) delivered a total return of +185. 3%, compared to -29. 1% for Target Corporation (TGT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COST returned +624. 5% versus TGT's +108. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Walmart Inc.

(WMT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 12β versus Target Corporation's 0. 95β — meaning TGT is approximately 717% more volatile than WMT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 28% versus 67% for Walmart Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is pulling ahead at 8.

2% versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Walmart Inc. grew EPS 13. 3% year-over-year, compared to -8. 2% for Target Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, COST leads at 6. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

Target Corporation (TGT) is the more profitable company, earning 3.

5% net margin versus 2. 9% for Costco Wholesale Corporation — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TGT leads at 4. 9% versus 3. 8% for COST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TGT leads at 27. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 3. 23x versus Walmart Inc. 's 4. 06x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Target Corporation (TGT) trades at 16. 3x forward P/E versus 48. 7x for Costco Wholesale Corporation — 32. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for COST: 7. 5% to $1070. 00.

All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.

Target Corporation (TGT) offers the highest yield at 3. 5%, versus 0. 5% for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST).

For long-horizon retirement investors, Walmart Inc.

(WMT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 12), 0. 7% yield, +505. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (WMT: +505. 0%, TGT: +108. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: WMT is a mega-cap quality compounder stock; TGT is a mid-cap deep-value stock; COST is a large-cap quality compounder stock. WMT, TGT pay a dividend while COST does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.