Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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AAL vs UAL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
AAL vs UAL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $8.54B | $32.48B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $55.99B | $60.47B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $202M | $3.67B |
| Gross Margin | 21.8% | 64.2% |
| Operating Margin | 3.0% | 8.4% |
| Forward P/E | 76.1x | 10.7x |
| Total Debt | $35.97B | $31.04B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.69B | $5.94B |
AAL vs UAL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Airlines G… (AAL) | 100 | 123.2 | +23.2% |
| United Airlines Hol… (UAL) | 100 | 356.8 | +256.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AAL vs UAL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AAL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.96
- Lower volatility, beta 1.96, current ratio 0.50x
- Beta 1.96, current ratio 0.50x
UAL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 3.5%, EPS growth 8.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 9.5%
- 118.9% 10Y total return vs AAL's -56.3%
- 3.5% revenue growth vs AAL's 0.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.5% revenue growth vs AAL's 0.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.7x vs 76.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.1% margin vs AAL's 0.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.96 vs UAL's 2.25 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +36.1% vs AAL's +24.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs AAL's 0.3%, ROIC 9.1% vs 3.5% |
AAL vs UAL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AAL vs UAL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UAL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
UAL and AAL operate at a comparable scale, with $60.5B and $56.0B in trailing revenue. UAL is the more profitable business, keeping 6.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AAL's 0.4%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $56.0B | $60.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.7B | $8.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $202M | $3.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.9B | $3.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.8% | +64.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | +8.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +0.4% | +6.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | +5.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.8% | +10.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +19.4% | +84.5% |
Valuation Metrics
UAL leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.8x trailing earnings, UAL trades at a 87% valuation discount to AAL's 76.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, UAL's 7.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AAL's 12.4x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $8.5B | $32.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $42.8B | $57.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 76.12x | 9.79x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 10.69x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.44x | 7.52x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.16x | 0.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 2.14x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 12.70x |
Profitability & Efficiency
UAL leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), UAL scores 8/9 vs AAL's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +24.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +0.3% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.5% | +9.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +3.9% | +9.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $34.3B | $25.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.7B | $5.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $36.0B | $31.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.45x | 4.61x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
UAL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in UAL five years ago would be worth $18,856 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,021 for AAL. Over the past 12 months, UAL leads with a +36.1% total return vs AAL's +24.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors UAL at 29.7% vs AAL's -3.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -16.4% | -11.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +24.1% | +36.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -9.9% | +118.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -39.8% | +88.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -56.3% | +118.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -3.4% | +29.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AAL and UAL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AAL is the less volatile stock with a 1.96 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UAL's 2.25 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. UAL currently trades 83.9% from its 52-week high vs AAL's 78.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.96x | 2.25x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $16.50 | $119.21 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $10.09 | $71.55 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +78.4% | +83.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.5 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 67.6M | 8.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AAL as "Buy" and UAL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 36.1% upside for UAL (target: $136) vs 22.9% for AAL (target: $16).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $15.90 | $136.10 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 37 | 47 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.0% |
UAL leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 1 category is tied.
AAL vs UAL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AAL or UAL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the stronger pick with 3. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 8% for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL). United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) offers the better valuation at 9. 8x trailing P/E (10. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) a "Buy" — based on 37 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AAL or UAL?
On trailing P/E, United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the cheapest at 9. 8x versus American Airlines Group Inc. at 76. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AAL or UAL?
Over the past 5 years, United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) delivered a total return of +88. 6%, compared to -39. 8% for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: UAL returned +118. 9% versus AAL's -56. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AAL or UAL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), American Airlines Group Inc.
(AAL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 96β versus United Airlines Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 25β — meaning UAL is approximately 15% more volatile than AAL relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — AAL or UAL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is pulling ahead at 3. 5% versus 0. 8% for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: United Airlines Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 8. 1% year-over-year, compared to -86. 3% for American Airlines Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, UAL leads at 9. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AAL or UAL?
United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the more profitable company, earning 5. 7% net margin versus 0. 2% for American Airlines Group Inc. — meaning it keeps 5. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: UAL leads at 8. 0% versus 2. 7% for AAL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UAL leads at 64. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AAL or UAL more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UAL: 36.
1% to $136. 10.
08Which pays a better dividend — AAL or UAL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is AAL or UAL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(UAL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+118. 9% 10Y return). American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) carries a higher beta of 1. 96 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (UAL: +118. 9%, AAL: -56. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AAL and UAL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AAL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; UAL is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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