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ADM vs WMT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Retail
ADM vs WMT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Agricultural Farm Products | Specialty Retail |
| Market Cap | $37.60B | $1.04T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $80.61B | $703.06B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.08B | $22.91B |
| Gross Margin | 5.8% | 24.9% |
| Operating Margin | 1.5% | 4.1% |
| Forward P/E | 18.7x | 44.7x |
| Total Debt | $8.41B | $67.09B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.01B | $10.73B |
ADM vs WMT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midl… (ADM) | 100 | 198.5 | +98.5% |
| Walmart Inc. (WMT) | 100 | 314.6 | +214.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ADM vs WMT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ADM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 31 yrs, beta 0.12, yield 2.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.12, Low D/E 36.5%, current ratio 11.20x
- Beta 0.12, yield 2.6%, current ratio 11.20x
WMT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth 13.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.3%
- 5.0% 10Y total return vs ADM's 145.6%
- 4.7% revenue growth vs ADM's -6.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs ADM's -6.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (18.7x vs 44.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.3% margin vs ADM's 1.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.12 vs WMT's 0.12, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.6% yield, 31-year raise streak, vs WMT's 0.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +65.7% vs WMT's +33.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.9% ROA vs ADM's 2.8%, ROIC 14.7% vs 3.3% |
ADM vs WMT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ADM vs WMT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WMT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WMT is the larger business by revenue, generating $703.1B annually — 8.7x ADM's $80.6B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.3% (WMT) to 1.3% (ADM). On growth, WMT holds the edge at +5.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $80.6B | $703.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $3.0B | $42.8B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $22.9B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4.8B | $15.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +5.8% | +24.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.5% | +4.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +1.3% | +3.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | +2.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.6% | +5.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.6% | +35.1% |
Valuation Metrics
ADM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 35.0x trailing earnings, ADM trades at a 27% valuation discount to WMT's 47.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ADM's 17.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than WMT's 24.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $37.6B | $1.04T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $45.0B | $1.09T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 34.99x | 47.65x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.74x | 44.67x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 4.33x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.27x | 24.83x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.47x | 1.45x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.64x | 10.44x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.94x | 24.94x |
Profitability & Efficiency
WMT leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
WMT delivers a 22.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $5 for ADM. ADM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.37x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to WMT's 0.67x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +4.7% | +22.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | +7.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +3.3% | +14.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.2% | +17.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.37x | 0.67x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.4B | $56.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.0B | $10.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.4B | $67.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.03x | 11.85x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
WMT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in WMT five years ago would be worth $28,531 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,059 for ADM. Over the past 12 months, ADM leads with a +65.7% total return vs WMT's +33.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors WMT at 37.5% vs ADM's 3.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +33.0% | +15.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +65.7% | +33.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +11.3% | +160.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +30.6% | +185.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +145.6% | +505.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +3.6% | +37.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ADM and WMT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ADM is the less volatile stock with a 0.12 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than WMT's 0.12 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.12x | 0.12x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $81.75 | $134.69 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $46.81 | $91.89 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.4% | +96.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 73.4 | 58.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.7M | 17.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ADM and WMT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ADM as "Hold" and WMT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 5.4% upside for WMT (target: $137) vs -23.1% for ADM (target: $60). For income investors, ADM offers the higher dividend yield at 2.61% vs WMT's 0.72%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $60.00 | $137.04 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 36 | 64 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.6% | +0.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 31 | 37 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.04 | $0.94 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.8% |
WMT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ADM leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
ADM vs WMT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ADM or WMT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the stronger pick with 4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -6. 2% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM). Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) offers the better valuation at 35. 0x trailing P/E (18. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Walmart Inc. (WMT) a "Buy" — based on 64 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ADM or WMT?
On trailing P/E, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is the cheapest at 35.
0x versus Walmart Inc. at 47. 6x. On forward P/E, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is actually cheaper at 18. 7x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ADM or WMT?
Over the past 5 years, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) delivered a total return of +185. 3%, compared to +30. 6% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: WMT returned +505. 0% versus ADM's +145. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ADM or WMT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
12β versus Walmart Inc. 's 0. 12β — meaning WMT is approximately 2% more volatile than ADM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 37% versus 67% for Walmart Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ADM or WMT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is pulling ahead at 4. 7% versus -6. 2% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Walmart Inc. grew EPS 13. 3% year-over-year, compared to -38. 9% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, WMT leads at 5. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ADM or WMT?
Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 1% net margin versus 1. 3% for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company — meaning it keeps 3. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: WMT leads at 4. 2% versus 1. 8% for ADM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — WMT leads at 24. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ADM or WMT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) trades at 18.
7x forward P/E versus 44. 7x for Walmart Inc. — 25. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for WMT: 5. 4% to $137. 04.
08Which pays a better dividend — ADM or WMT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) offers the highest yield at 2. 6%, versus 0. 7% for Walmart Inc. (WMT).
09Is ADM or WMT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Walmart Inc.
(WMT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 12), 0. 7% yield, +505. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (WMT: +505. 0%, ADM: +145. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ADM and WMT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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