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ADT vs JCI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Construction
ADT vs JCI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Security & Protection Services | Construction |
| Market Cap | $5.18B | $85.23B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.14B | $24.43B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $623M | $3.53B |
| Gross Margin | 50.4% | 36.6% |
| Operating Margin | 25.6% | 13.6% |
| Forward P/E | 7.5x | 29.4x |
| Total Debt | $7.69B | $11.19B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $81M | $379M |
ADT vs JCI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADT Inc. (ADT) | 100 | 97.3 | -2.7% |
| Johnson Controls In… (JCI) | 100 | 443.3 | +343.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ADT vs JCI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ADT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and defensive.
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth 28.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -0.3%
- Beta 0.98, yield 3.0%, current ratio 0.93x
- 4.7% revenue growth vs JCI's 2.8%
JCI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.97, yield 1.1%
- 343.3% 10Y total return vs ADT's -28.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.97, Low D/E 86.4%, current ratio 0.93x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs JCI's 2.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.5x vs 29.4x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.5% margin vs ADT's 12.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.97 vs ADT's 0.98, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs JCI's 1.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +56.9% vs ADT's -14.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.0% ROA vs ADT's 3.9%, ROIC 8.5% vs 8.8% |
ADT vs JCI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ADT vs JCI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — ADT and JCI each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
JCI is the larger business by revenue, generating $24.4B annually — 4.8x ADT's $5.1B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 14.5% (JCI) to 12.1% (ADT). On growth, JCI holds the edge at +8.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.1B | $24.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.9B | $3.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $623M | $3.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.8B | $1.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +50.4% | +36.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +25.6% | +13.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.1% | +14.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +34.8% | +5.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.9% | +8.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.7% | +38.9% |
Valuation Metrics
ADT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.3x trailing earnings, ADT trades at a 81% valuation discount to JCI's 52.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ADT's 4.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than JCI's 26.0x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $5.2B | $85.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.8B | $96.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.28x | 52.95x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.53x | 29.38x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.06x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.33x | 26.01x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.01x | 3.61x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.63x | 7.03x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 3.94x | 88.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
JCI leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
JCI delivers a 24.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $17 for ADT. JCI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.86x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ADT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ADT scores 8/9 vs JCI's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +16.7% | +24.9% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.9% | +9.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.8% | +8.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.0% | +9.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.03x | 0.86x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.6B | $10.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $81M | $379M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.7B | $11.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.23x | 18.41x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
JCI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in JCI five years ago would be worth $22,286 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $8,019 for ADT. Over the past 12 months, JCI leads with a +56.9% total return vs ADT's -14.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors JCI at 31.6% vs ADT's 8.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -13.3% | +14.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -14.1% | +56.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +26.1% | +127.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -19.8% | +122.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -28.0% | +343.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +8.0% | +31.6% |
Risk & Volatility
JCI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
JCI is the less volatile stock with a 0.97 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ADT's 0.98 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. JCI currently trades 94.5% from its 52-week high vs ADT's 77.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.98x | 0.97x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $8.94 | $147.32 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.25 | $87.77 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +77.1% | +94.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 46.4 | 56.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 10.7M | 3.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ADT and JCI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ADT as "Buy" and JCI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 30.2% upside for ADT (target: $9) vs -0.9% for JCI (target: $138). For income investors, ADT offers the higher dividend yield at 3.03% vs JCI's 1.07%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $8.97 | $138.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 17 | 45 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.0% | +1.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 3 | 5 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.21 | $1.49 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +11.7% | +7.0% |
JCI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). ADT leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
ADT vs JCI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ADT or JCI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ADT Inc.
(ADT) is the stronger pick with 4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 2. 8% for Johnson Controls International plc (JCI). ADT Inc. (ADT) offers the better valuation at 10. 3x trailing P/E (7. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate ADT Inc. (ADT) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ADT or JCI?
On trailing P/E, ADT Inc.
(ADT) is the cheapest at 10. 3x versus Johnson Controls International plc at 52. 9x. On forward P/E, ADT Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 5x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ADT or JCI?
Over the past 5 years, Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) delivered a total return of +122.
9%, compared to -19. 8% for ADT Inc. (ADT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: JCI returned +343. 3% versus ADT's -28. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ADT or JCI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
97β versus ADT Inc. 's 0. 98β — meaning ADT is approximately 1% more volatile than JCI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 86% versus 2% for ADT Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ADT or JCI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ADT Inc.
(ADT) is pulling ahead at 4. 7% versus 2. 8% for Johnson Controls International plc (JCI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: ADT Inc. grew EPS 28. 8% year-over-year, compared to 4. 4% for Johnson Controls International plc. Over a 3-year CAGR, JCI leads at 4. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ADT or JCI?
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
9% net margin versus 11. 6% for ADT Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ADT leads at 26. 0% versus 12. 0% for JCI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ADT leads at 49. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ADT or JCI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, ADT Inc.
(ADT) trades at 7. 5x forward P/E versus 29. 4x for Johnson Controls International plc — 21. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ADT: 30. 2% to $8. 97.
08Which pays a better dividend — ADT or JCI?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
ADT Inc. (ADT) offers the highest yield at 3. 0%, versus 1. 1% for Johnson Controls International plc (JCI).
09Is ADT or JCI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
97), 1. 1% yield, +343. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (JCI: +343. 3%, ADT: -28. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ADT and JCI?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ADT is a small-cap deep-value stock; JCI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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