Apparel - Retail
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AEO vs CRI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Apparel - Retail
AEO vs CRI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Apparel - Retail | Apparel - Retail |
| Market Cap | $2.87B | $1.37B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.50B | $2.95B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $192M | $91M |
| Gross Margin | 33.0% | 44.7% |
| Operating Margin | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Forward P/E | 12.3x | 11.2x |
| Total Debt | $1.73B | $1.21B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $239M | $487M |
AEO vs CRI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Eagle Outf… (AEO) | 100 | 184.6 | +84.6% |
| Carter's, Inc. (CRI) | 100 | 43.3 | -56.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AEO vs CRI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AEO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 2.08
- Rev growth 3.2%, EPS growth -35.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.3%
- 48.9% 10Y total return vs CRI's -45.2%
CRI is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.34, current ratio 2.51x
- Beta 1.34, yield 4.3%, current ratio 2.51x
- Lower P/E (11.2x vs 12.3x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 3.2% revenue growth vs CRI's 1.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.2x vs 12.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.5% margin vs CRI's 3.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.34 vs AEO's 2.08 | |
| Dividends | 4.3% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +57.8% vs CRI's +16.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.8% ROA vs CRI's 3.6%, ROIC 8.1% vs 6.7% |
AEO vs CRI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AEO vs CRI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AEO leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AEO is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.5B annually — 1.9x CRI's $2.9B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.5% (AEO) to 3.1% (CRI).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.5B | $2.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $546M | $188M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $192M | $91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $25M | $127M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +33.0% | +44.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.0% | +5.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.5% | +3.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.5% | +4.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.7% | +8.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -7.4% | -9.3% |
Valuation Metrics
CRI leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.4x trailing earnings, CRI trades at a 7% valuation discount to AEO's 15.5x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AEO's 8.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CRI's 10.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.9B | $1.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $4.4B | $2.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.51x | 14.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.26x | 11.24x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 15.84x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 8.08x | 10.53x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.52x | 0.47x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.76x | 1.43x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 20.01x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AEO leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AEO delivers a 12.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $10 for CRI. AEO carries lower financial leverage with a 1.02x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CRI's 1.31x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CRI scores 5/9 vs AEO's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.1% | +10.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.8% | +3.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +8.1% | +6.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +10.7% | +7.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.02x | 1.31x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.5B | $725M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $239M | $487M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.7B | $1.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 75.18x | 3.12x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AEO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AEO five years ago would be worth $5,351 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,567 for CRI. Over the past 12 months, AEO leads with a +57.8% total return vs CRI's +16.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AEO at 10.9% vs CRI's -13.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -34.9% | +12.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +57.8% | +16.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.4% | -34.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -46.5% | -54.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +48.9% | -45.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.9% | -13.2% |
Risk & Volatility
CRI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CRI is the less volatile stock with a 1.34 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AEO's 2.08 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CRI currently trades 83.8% from its 52-week high vs AEO's 59.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.08x | 1.34x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $28.46 | $44.44 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.27 | $23.38 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +59.4% | +83.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 38.2 | 36.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.2M | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
AEO leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AEO as "Hold" and CRI as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.8% upside for AEO (target: $25) vs -0.6% for CRI (target: $37). CRI is the only dividend payer here at 4.27% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.83 | $37.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 52 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +4.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.59 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AEO leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CRI leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility).
AEO vs CRI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AEO or CRI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is the stronger pick with 3. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 9% for Carter's, Inc. (CRI). Carter's, Inc. (CRI) offers the better valuation at 14. 4x trailing P/E (11. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Carter's, Inc. (CRI) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AEO or CRI?
On trailing P/E, Carter's, Inc.
(CRI) is the cheapest at 14. 4x versus American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. at 15. 5x. On forward P/E, Carter's, Inc. is actually cheaper at 11. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AEO or CRI?
Over the past 5 years, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) delivered a total return of -46. 5%, compared to -54. 3% for Carter's, Inc. (CRI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AEO returned +48. 9% versus CRI's -45. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AEO or CRI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Carter's, Inc.
(CRI) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 34β versus American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 's 2. 08β — meaning AEO is approximately 56% more volatile than CRI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 102% versus 131% for Carter's, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AEO or CRI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is pulling ahead at 3. 2% versus 1. 9% for Carter's, Inc. (CRI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. grew EPS -35. 1% year-over-year, compared to -49. 4% for Carter's, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AEO leads at 3. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AEO or CRI?
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
(AEO) is the more profitable company, earning 3. 5% net margin versus 3. 2% for Carter's, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AEO leads at 6. 0% versus 5. 0% for CRI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CRI leads at 45. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AEO or CRI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Carter's, Inc.
(CRI) trades at 11. 2x forward P/E versus 12. 3x for American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — 1. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AEO: 46. 8% to $24. 83.
08Which pays a better dividend — AEO or CRI?
In this comparison, CRI (4.
3% yield) pays a dividend. AEO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AEO or CRI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Carter's, Inc.
(CRI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (4. 3% yield). American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) carries a higher beta of 2. 08 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CRI: -45. 2%, AEO: +48. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AEO and CRI?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
CRI pays a dividend while AEO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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