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5 / 10Stock Comparison
AFCG vs LIEN vs REFI vs TPVG vs HRZN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
REIT - Mortgage
Asset Management
Asset Management
AFCG vs LIEN vs REFI vs TPVG vs HRZN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Specialty | Asset Management | REIT - Mortgage | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $73M | $213M | $245M | $243M | $199M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6M | $54M | $44M | $97M | $40M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-20M | $33M | $4.87B | $-12M | $28M |
| Gross Margin | -76.6% | 77.3% | 95.6% | 83.5% | 18.0% |
| Operating Margin | -124.7% | 63.6% | 18.4% | 77.9% | -4.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 6.4x | 6.4x | 6.5x | 6.1x |
| Total Debt | $76M | $25.00B | $98M | $469M | $473M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $39M | $2.93B | $15M | $20M | $106M |
AFCG vs LIEN vs REFI vs TPVG vs HRZN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Flower Cap… (AFCG) | 100 | 22.9 | -77.1% |
| Chicago Atlantic BD… (LIEN) | 100 | 66.7 | -33.3% |
| Chicago Atlantic Re… (REFI) | 100 | 57.5 | -42.5% |
| TriplePoint Venture… (TPVG) | 100 | 36.3 | -63.7% |
| Horizon Technology … (HRZN) | 100 | 29.0 | -71.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFCG vs LIEN vs REFI vs TPVG vs HRZN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
Among these 5 stocks, AFCG doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
LIEN is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Rev growth 202.2%, EPS growth 57.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.13, Low D/E 8.2%, current ratio 0.24x
- 202.2% NII/revenue growth vs AFCG's -39.6%
- Beta 0.13 vs AFCG's 1.86, lower leverage
REFI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.69, yield 100.0%
- Beta 0.69, yield 100.0%, current ratio 0.28x
- 109.7% margin vs AFCG's -333.9%
- 100.0% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AFCG's 28.1%
TPVG ranks third and is worth considering specifically for long-term compounding and bank quality.
- 93.3% 10Y total return vs REFI's 24.7%
- NIM 7.4% vs LIEN's 0.0%
- +19.3% vs AFCG's -35.5%
HRZN is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.26 vs TPVG's 6.41
- Lower P/E (6.1x vs 6.5x), PEG 0.26 vs 6.41
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 202.2% NII/revenue growth vs AFCG's -39.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.1x vs 6.5x), PEG 0.26 vs 6.41 | |
| Quality / Margins | 109.7% margin vs AFCG's -333.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.13 vs AFCG's 1.86, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 100.0% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AFCG's 28.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +19.3% vs AFCG's -35.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.5% ROA vs AFCG's -6.4%, ROIC 6.9% vs -4.1% |
AFCG vs LIEN vs REFI vs TPVG vs HRZN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
REFI leads in 2 of 6 categories
TPVG leads 1 • LIEN leads 1 • AFCG leads 0 • HRZN leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
REFI leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TPVG is the larger business by revenue, generating $97M annually — 16.3x AFCG's $6M. REFI is the more profitable business, keeping 109.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AFCG's -3.3%. On growth, AFCG holds the edge at +64.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6M | $54M | $44M | $97M | $40M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$16M | $35M | $8M | -$22M | $19M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$20M | $33M | $4.9B | -$12M | $28M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$24M | $3.0B | $3.2B | $35M | $67M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -76.6% | +77.3% | +95.6% | +83.5% | +18.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -124.7% | +63.6% | +18.4% | +77.9% | -4.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.3% | +61.3% | +109.7% | +50.6% | -6.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -3.9% | -377.1% | +71.8% | -58.7% | +141.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +64.7% | — | -100.0% | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.7% | -62.5% | -51.1% | -2.3% | -29.6% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — AFCG and REFI and HRZN each lead in 2 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.3x trailing earnings, HRZN trades at a 38% valuation discount to REFI's 6.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), HRZN offers better value at 0.18x vs TPVG's 4.84x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $73M | $213M | $245M | $243M | $199M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $110M | $22.3B | $328M | $691M | $567M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.25x | 6.40x | 6.92x | 4.91x | 4.30x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 6.40x | 6.41x | 6.50x | 6.10x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | 4.84x | 0.18x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 645.21x | 9.12x | 9.13x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.32x | 3.93x | 3.88x | 2.50x | 4.97x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.39x | 0.00x | 0.81x | 0.68x | 0.60x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.47x | — | 0.01x | — | 3.51x |
Profitability & Efficiency
TPVG leads this category, winning 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HRZN delivers a 9.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $-11 for AFCG. LIEN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.08x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to HRZN's 1.49x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), REFI scores 5/9 vs LIEN's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -11.1% | +0.0% | +6.4% | -3.4% | +9.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -6.4% | +0.0% | +4.5% | -1.5% | +3.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -4.1% | +0.0% | +6.9% | +7.2% | -0.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -5.6% | +0.0% | +9.3% | +9.4% | -0.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.43x | 0.08x | 0.32x | 1.33x | 1.49x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $38M | $22.1B | $83M | $449M | $368M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $39M | $2.9B | $15M | $20M | $106M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $76M | $25.0B | $98M | $469M | $473M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.15x | 27.63x | 4.77x | -1.02x | 0.60x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — LIEN and TPVG each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in REFI five years ago would be worth $12,468 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,539 for AFCG. Over the past 12 months, TPVG leads with a +19.3% total return vs AFCG's -35.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors LIEN at 16.1% vs HRZN's -10.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +10.2% | -6.5% | -1.4% | -6.3% | -26.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -35.5% | +6.8% | -7.9% | +19.3% | -23.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -20.1% | +56.3% | +25.7% | -3.4% | -27.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -44.6% | -3.9% | +24.7% | -13.5% | -32.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -42.4% | -3.9% | +24.7% | +93.3% | +52.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -7.2% | +16.1% | +7.9% | -1.2% | -10.3% |
Risk & Volatility
LIEN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LIEN is the less volatile stock with a 0.13 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFCG's 1.86 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. LIEN currently trades 81.6% from its 52-week high vs AFCG's 52.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.86x | 0.13x | 0.69x | 0.83x | 0.70x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.87 | $11.44 | $15.20 | $7.53 | $8.46 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.06 | $9.16 | $10.74 | $4.48 | $3.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +52.6% | +81.6% | +76.4% | +79.5% | +53.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.2 | 46.8 | 58.1 | 58.3 | 58.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 235K | 60K | 167K | 504K | 1.2M |
Analyst Outlook
REFI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: REFI as "Buy", TPVG as "Hold", HRZN as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 49.4% upside for TPVG (target: $9) vs 20.5% for REFI (target: $14). For income investors, REFI offers the higher dividend yield at 100.00% vs LIEN's 1.03%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | — | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | — | $14.00 | $8.95 | $6.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | — | 6 | 12 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +28.1% | +1.0% | +100.0% | +17.1% | +27.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.87 | $0.10 | $2045.71 | $1.02 | $1.25 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
REFI leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Analyst Outlook). TPVG leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
AFCG vs LIEN vs REFI vs TPVG vs HRZN: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.
(LIEN) is the stronger pick with 202. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -39. 6% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG). Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) offers the better valuation at 4. 3x trailing P/E (6. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN?
On trailing P/E, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) is the cheapest at 4.
3x versus Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. at 6. 9x. On forward P/E, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation is actually cheaper at 6. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Horizon Technology Finance Corporation wins at 0. 26x versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 6. 41x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN?
Over the past 5 years, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) delivered a total return of +24. 7%, compared to -44. 6% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TPVG returned +93. 3% versus AFCG's -42. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.
(LIEN) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 13β versus Advanced Flower Capital Inc. 's 1. 86β — meaning AFCG is approximately 1359% more volatile than LIEN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. (LIEN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 8% versus 149% for Horizon Technology Finance Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.
(LIEN) is pulling ahead at 202. 2% versus -39. 6% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Horizon Technology Finance Corporation grew EPS 756. 3% year-over-year, compared to -218. 8% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, REFI leads at 8. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN?
Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.
(LIEN) is the more profitable company, earning 61. 3% net margin versus -66. 0% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. — meaning it keeps 61. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TPVG leads at 77. 9% versus -43. 6% for AFCG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AFCG leads at 90. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 26x versus TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. 's 6. 41x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Horizon Technology Finance Corporation (HRZN) trades at 6. 1x forward P/E versus 6. 5x for TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. — 0. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TPVG: 49. 4% to $8. 95.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) offers the highest yield at 100. 0%, versus 1. 0% for Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc. (LIEN).
09Is AFCG or LIEN or REFI or TPVG or HRZN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Chicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.
(LIEN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 13), 1. 0% yield). Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) carries a higher beta of 1. 86 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (LIEN: -3. 9%, AFCG: -42. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFCG and LIEN and REFI and TPVG and HRZN?
These companies operate in different sectors (AFCG (Real Estate) and LIEN (Financial Services) and REFI (Real Estate) and TPVG (Financial Services) and HRZN (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: AFCG is a small-cap income-oriented stock; LIEN is a small-cap high-growth stock; REFI is a small-cap high-growth stock; TPVG is a small-cap high-growth stock; HRZN is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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- Sector: Financial Services
- Market Cap > $100B
- Revenue Growth > 8%
- Dividend Yield > 11.1%
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