REIT - Specialty
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AFCG vs REFI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
AFCG vs REFI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Specialty | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $65M | $258M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2M | $41M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-21M | $36.01B |
| Gross Margin | 66.0% | 100.0% |
| Operating Margin | -393.9% | — |
| Forward P/E | — | 6.8x |
| Total Debt | $76M | $49.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $39M | $14.95B |
AFCG vs REFI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Flower Cap… (AFCG) | 100 | 17.8 | -82.2% |
| Chicago Atlantic Re… (REFI) | 100 | 73.6 | -26.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFCG vs REFI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFCG is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth -39.6%, EPS growth -218.8%, 3Y rev CAGR -24.1%
- -39.6% FFO/revenue growth vs REFI's -100.0%
REFI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.69, yield 100.0%
- 28.5% 10Y total return vs AFCG's -44.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.69, Low D/E 16.0%, current ratio 0.40x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -39.6% FFO/revenue growth vs REFI's -100.0% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 871.6% margin vs AFCG's -9.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.69 vs AFCG's 1.86, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 100.0% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AFCG's 31.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -3.2% vs AFCG's -41.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 33.8% ROA vs AFCG's -7.0% |
AFCG vs REFI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AFCG leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
REFI is the larger business by revenue, generating $41M annually — 19.6x AFCG's $2M. REFI is the more profitable business, keeping 871.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AFCG's -9.8%. On growth, AFCG holds the edge at +185.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2M | $41M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$15M | $0 |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$21M | $36.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $11M | -$15.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +66.0% | +100.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.9% | — |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -9.8% | +871.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.3% | -366.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +185.4% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +174.7% | -2.6% |
Valuation Metrics
REFI leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $65M | $258M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $103M | $34.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -2.92x | 7.29x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 6.76x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.08x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.35x | 0.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.80x | 0.01x |
Profitability & Efficiency
REFI leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
REFI delivers a 46.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $47 in annual profit, vs $-11 for AFCG. REFI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.16x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AFCG's 0.43x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -11.3% | +46.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -7.0% | +33.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -4.1% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -5.6% | — |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.43x | 0.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $38M | $34.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $39M | $14.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $76M | $49.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.02x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
REFI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in REFI five years ago would be worth $12,850 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,497 for AFCG. Over the past 12 months, REFI leads with a -3.2% total return vs AFCG's -41.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors REFI at 9.2% vs AFCG's -8.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.1% | +3.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -41.2% | -3.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.4% | +30.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.0% | +28.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -44.4% | +28.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.9% | +9.2% |
Risk & Volatility
REFI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
REFI is the less volatile stock with a 0.69 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFCG's 1.86 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. REFI currently trades 80.6% from its 52-week high vs AFCG's 47.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.86x | 0.69x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.87 | $15.20 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.06 | $10.74 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +47.2% | +80.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.1 | 58.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 218K | 163K |
Analyst Outlook
REFI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, REFI offers the higher dividend yield at 100.00% vs AFCG's 31.34%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $14.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 6 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +31.3% | +100.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.87 | $2045.71 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
REFI leads in 5 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). AFCG leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow).
AFCG vs REFI: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFCG or REFI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Advanced Flower Capital Inc.
(AFCG) is the stronger pick with -39. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -100. 0% for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI). Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) offers the better valuation at 7. 3x trailing P/E (6. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AFCG or REFI?
Over the past 5 years, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) delivered a total return of +28. 5%, compared to -45. 0% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: REFI returned +28. 5% versus AFCG's -44. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AFCG or REFI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 69β versus Advanced Flower Capital Inc. 's 1. 86β — meaning AFCG is approximately 171% more volatile than REFI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 16% versus 43% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — AFCG or REFI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Advanced Flower Capital Inc.
(AFCG) is pulling ahead at -39. 6% versus -100. 0% for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. grew EPS -10. 6% year-over-year, compared to -218. 8% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AFCG or REFI?
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) is the more profitable company, earning 871. 6% net margin versus -66. 0% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. — meaning it keeps 871. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: REFI leads at 0. 0% versus -43. 6% for AFCG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — REFI leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — AFCG or REFI?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) offers the highest yield at 100. 0%, versus 31. 3% for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG).
07Is AFCG or REFI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(REFI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 69), 100. 0% yield). Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) carries a higher beta of 1. 86 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (REFI: +28. 5%, AFCG: -44. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between AFCG and REFI?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AFCG is a small-cap income-oriented stock; REFI is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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