Insurance - Property & Casualty
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AFGB vs MMC vs AON vs AJG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Brokers
Insurance - Brokers
Insurance - Brokers
AFGB vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Brokers |
| Market Cap | $1.78B | $85.27B | $67.19B | $51.91B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.03B | $26.45B | $17.49B | $13.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $879M | $4.13B | $3.94B | $1.49B |
| Gross Margin | 63.7% | 42.3% | 55.9% | 54.8% |
| Operating Margin | 57.0% | 23.2% | 27.0% | 18.3% |
| Forward P/E | 1.9x | 16.9x | 16.5x | 15.3x |
| Total Debt | $1.82B | $21.86B | $16.53B | $14.00B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $17.18B | $2.40B | $1.20B | $1.40B |
AFGB vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Financial … (AFGB) | 100 | 80.5 | -19.5% |
| Marsh & McLennan Co… (MMC) | 100 | 177.7 | +77.7% |
| Aon plc (AON) | 100 | 159.2 | +59.2% |
| Arthur J. Gallagher… (AJG) | 100 | 214.1 | +114.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFGB vs MMC vs AON vs AJG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFGB carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.46 vs AJG's 2.35
- Lower P/E (1.9x vs 15.3x), PEG 0.46 vs 2.35
- 34.0% yield, vs MMC's 1.8%
- +6.9% vs AJG's -39.8%
MMC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 19 yrs, beta 0.14, yield 1.8%
- Beta 0.14, yield 1.8%, current ratio 1.13x
AON is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth exposure is your priority.
- Rev growth 9.4%, EPS growth 36.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.2%
- Combined ratio 0.7 vs AFGB's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting)
- 7.6% ROA vs AJG's 2.0%, ROIC 13.5% vs 7.0%
AJG is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and sleep-well-at-night.
- 372.4% 10Y total return vs AON's 219.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.09, Low D/E 60.0%, current ratio 1.06x
- 20.7% revenue growth vs AFGB's 1.3%
- Beta 0.09 vs AFGB's 0.74
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.7% revenue growth vs AFGB's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (1.9x vs 15.3x), PEG 0.46 vs 2.35 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.7 vs AFGB's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.09 vs AFGB's 0.74 | |
| Dividends | 34.0% yield, vs MMC's 1.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +6.9% vs AJG's -39.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.6% ROA vs AJG's 2.0%, ROIC 13.5% vs 7.0% |
AFGB vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AFGB vs MMC vs AON vs AJG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AFGB leads in 2 of 6 categories
AON leads 1 • MMC leads 0 • AJG leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AON leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MMC is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.5B annually — 3.3x AFGB's $8.0B. AON is the more profitable business, keeping 22.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AJG's 10.7%. On growth, AJG holds the edge at +33.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.0B | $26.5B | $17.5B | $13.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.6B | $7.0B | $5.4B | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $879M | $4.1B | $3.9B | $1.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.6B | $5.1B | $3.5B | $1.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +63.7% | +42.3% | +55.9% | +54.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +57.0% | +23.2% | +27.0% | +18.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.9% | +15.6% | +22.5% | +10.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +19.4% | +19.3% | +20.0% | +12.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.7% | +11.5% | +6.4% | +33.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +24.5% | 0.0% | +27.1% | -48.2% |
Valuation Metrics
AFGB leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 2.1x trailing earnings, AFGB trades at a 94% valuation discount to AJG's 35.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AFGB offers better value at 0.51x vs AJG's 5.42x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.8B | $85.3B | $67.2B | $51.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$13.6B | $104.7B | $82.5B | $64.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 2.12x | 21.28x | 18.42x | 35.11x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1.93x | 16.89x | 16.50x | 15.26x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.51x | 1.11x | 1.23x | 5.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | -11.78x | 15.96x | 15.54x | 17.57x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.22x | 3.49x | 3.91x | 3.72x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.37x | 6.38x | 7.11x | 2.25x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 1.27x | 21.39x | 20.88x | 29.08x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — AFGB and AON each lead in 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AON delivers a 44.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $44 in annual profit, vs $6 for AJG. AFGB carries lower financial leverage with a 0.38x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AON's 1.73x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AON scores 7/9 vs AFGB's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +19.0% | +26.9% | +44.2% | +6.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.7% | +7.0% | +7.6% | +2.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +15.2% | +13.5% | +7.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +25.0% | +17.8% | +16.2% | +7.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.38x | 1.62x | 1.73x | 0.60x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$15.4B | $19.5B | $15.3B | $12.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $17.2B | $2.4B | $1.2B | $1.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.8B | $21.9B | $16.5B | $14.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.20x | 6.66x | 9.58x | 3.97x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AFGB leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AJG five years ago would be worth $14,109 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,240 for AFGB. Over the past 12 months, AFGB leads with a +6.9% total return vs AJG's -39.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AFGB at 2.2% vs AON's -1.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.0% | -3.6% | -8.5% | -20.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +6.9% | -22.0% | -12.0% | -39.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +6.6% | +2.0% | -3.2% | -2.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2.4% | +36.5% | +26.2% | +41.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +26.5% | +209.8% | +219.8% | +372.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.2% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -1.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AFGB and AJG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AJG is the less volatile stock with a 0.09 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFGB's 0.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AFGB currently trades 91.0% from its 52-week high vs AJG's 57.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.74x | 0.14x | 0.10x | 0.09x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.47 | $235.78 | $381.00 | $351.23 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.74 | $170.37 | $304.59 | $194.15 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.0% | +73.8% | +82.3% | +57.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 69.0 | 37.2 | 37.9 | 27.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 8K | 2.7M | 1.2M | 1.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AFGB and MMC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MMC as "Hold", AON as "Buy", AJG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 35.9% upside for AJG (target: $274) vs 18.8% for MMC (target: $207). For income investors, AFGB offers the higher dividend yield at 33.99% vs AON's 0.93%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $206.75 | $404.40 | $274.38 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 26 | 38 | 29 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +34.0% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 19 | 14 | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $7.26 | $3.05 | $2.91 | $2.56 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.6% | +1.1% | +1.5% | 0.0% |
AFGB leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). AON leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 3 tied.
AFGB vs MMC vs AON vs AJG: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is the stronger pick with 20. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB). American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) offers the better valuation at 2. 1x trailing P/E (1. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Aon plc (AON) a "Buy" — based on 38 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG?
On trailing P/E, American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGB) is the cheapest at 2. 1x versus Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. at 35. 1x. On forward P/E, American Financial Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 1. 9x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: American Financial Group, Inc. wins at 0. 46x versus Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. 's 2. 35x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG?
Over the past 5 years, Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) delivered a total return of +41. 1%, compared to +2. 4% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AJG returned +372. 4% versus AFGB's +26. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 09β versus American Financial Group, Inc. 's 0. 74β — meaning AFGB is approximately 755% more volatile than AJG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 38% versus 173% for Aon plc — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is pulling ahead at 20. 7% versus 1. 3% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Aon plc grew EPS 36. 3% year-over-year, compared to -11. 9% for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AJG leads at 17. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG?
Aon plc (AON) is the more profitable company, earning 21.
5% net margin versus 10. 4% for American Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 21. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AFGB leads at 97. 7% versus 18. 3% for AJG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AJG leads at 54. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 46x versus Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. 's 2. 35x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) trades at 1. 9x forward P/E versus 16. 9x for Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. — 15. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AJG: 35. 9% to $274. 38.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGB) offers the highest yield at 34. 0%, versus 0. 9% for Aon plc (AON).
09Is AFGB or MMC or AON or AJG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Arthur J.
Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 09), 1. 3% yield, +372. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AJG: +372. 4%, AFGB: +26. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFGB and MMC and AON and AJG?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AFGB is a small-cap deep-value stock; MMC is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AON is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AJG is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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