Insurance - Property & Casualty
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AFGC vs CINF
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
AFGC vs CINF — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $1.55B | $24.96B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $7.93B | $12.92B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $842M | $2.76B |
| Gross Margin | 87.0% | 50.3% |
| Operating Margin | 100.0% | 26.7% |
| Forward P/E | 1.7x | 18.5x |
| Total Debt | $1.82B | $886M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $17.18B | $1.43B |
AFGC vs CINF — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Financial … (AFGC) | 100 | 75.1 | -24.9% |
| Cincinnati Financia… (CINF) | 100 | 277.5 | +177.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFGC vs CINF
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFGC is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.40 vs CINF's 1.22
- Lower P/E (1.7x vs 18.5x), PEG 0.40 vs 1.22
- 38.9% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs CINF's 2.1%
CINF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 7 yrs, beta 0.43, yield 2.1%
- Rev growth 11.4%, EPS growth 4.4%, 3Y rev CAGR 24.4%
- 180.6% 10Y total return vs AFGC's 5.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.4% revenue growth vs AFGC's 1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (1.7x vs 18.5x), PEG 0.40 vs 1.22 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs AFGC's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.43 vs AFGC's 0.75, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 38.9% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs CINF's 2.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +13.9% vs AFGC's +6.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.8% ROA vs AFGC's 2.8% |
AFGC vs CINF — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AFGC vs CINF — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CINF leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CINF is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.9B annually — 1.6x AFGC's $7.9B. CINF is the more profitable business, keeping 21.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AFGC's 10.6%. On growth, CINF holds the edge at +11.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $7.9B | $12.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.3B | $3.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $842M | $2.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | $3.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +87.0% | +50.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +100.0% | +26.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.6% | +21.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +18.4% | +26.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.9% | +11.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +18.5% | +4.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AFGC leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 1.9x trailing earnings, AFGC trades at a 82% valuation discount to CINF's 10.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AFGC offers better value at 0.44x vs CINF's 0.70x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.6B | $25.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$13.8B | $24.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 1.85x | 10.57x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 1.68x | 18.49x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.44x | 0.70x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | -11.98x | 7.76x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.19x | 1.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.32x | 1.59x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 1.11x | 8.07x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CINF leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AFGC delivers a 18.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $18 in annual profit, vs $18 for CINF. CINF carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AFGC's 0.38x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CINF scores 6/9 vs AFGC's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +18.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | +15.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +25.0% | +14.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.38x | 0.06x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$15.4B | -$545M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $17.2B | $1.4B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.8B | $886M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.61x | 46.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CINF leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CINF five years ago would be worth $14,927 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,266 for AFGC. Over the past 12 months, CINF leads with a +13.9% total return vs AFGC's +6.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CINF at 17.4% vs AFGC's 1.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -0.9% | -0.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +6.4% | +13.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +5.1% | +61.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -7.3% | +49.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +5.4% | +180.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +1.7% | +17.4% |
Risk & Volatility
CINF leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CINF is the less volatile stock with a 0.43 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFGC's 0.75 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.75x | 0.43x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $20.80 | $174.27 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.86 | $141.78 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +89.7% | +92.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 61.6 | 41.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 13K | 699K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AFGC and CINF each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
For income investors, AFGC offers the higher dividend yield at 38.89% vs CINF's 2.08%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $173.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +38.9% | +2.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 7 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $7.26 | $3.33 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +6.4% | +0.8% |
CINF leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AFGC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
AFGC vs CINF: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFGC or CINF a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is the stronger pick with 11.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGC). American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGC) offers the better valuation at 1. 9x trailing P/E (1. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) a "Buy" — based on 17 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFGC or CINF?
On trailing P/E, American Financial Group, Inc.
(AFGC) is the cheapest at 1. 9x versus Cincinnati Financial Corporation at 10. 6x. On forward P/E, American Financial Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 1. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: American Financial Group, Inc. wins at 0. 40x versus Cincinnati Financial Corporation's 1. 22x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFGC or CINF?
Over the past 5 years, Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) delivered a total return of +49.
3%, compared to -7. 3% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CINF returned +180. 6% versus AFGC's +5. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFGC or CINF?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
43β versus American Financial Group, Inc. 's 0. 75β — meaning AFGC is approximately 75% more volatile than CINF relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 38% for American Financial Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFGC or CINF?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is pulling ahead at 11.
4% versus 1. 3% for American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Cincinnati Financial Corporation grew EPS 4. 4% year-over-year, compared to -4. 6% for American Financial Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CINF leads at 24. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFGC or CINF?
Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is the more profitable company, earning 18.
9% net margin versus 10. 4% for American Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 18. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AFGC leads at 97. 7% versus 23. 6% for CINF. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CINF leads at 50. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFGC or CINF more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 40x versus Cincinnati Financial Corporation's 1. 22x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGC) trades at 1. 7x forward P/E versus 18. 5x for Cincinnati Financial Corporation — 16. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFGC or CINF?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
American Financial Group, Inc. (AFGC) offers the highest yield at 38. 9%, versus 2. 1% for Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF).
09Is AFGC or CINF better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
43), 2. 1% yield, +180. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CINF: +180. 6%, AFGC: +5. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFGC and CINF?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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