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AFRI vs SMPL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Packaged Foods
AFRI vs SMPL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Agricultural Farm Products | Packaged Foods |
| Market Cap | $270M | $1.24B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $325M | $1.45B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-17M | $91M |
| Gross Margin | 11.0% | 34.0% |
| Operating Margin | -0.3% | 14.4% |
| Forward P/E | — | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $166M | $304M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $12M | $98M |
AFRI vs SMPL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) | 100 | 99.1 | -0.9% |
| The Simply Good Foo… (SMPL) | 100 | 42.6 | -57.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFRI vs SMPL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFRI is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +29.3% vs SMPL's -64.8%
SMPL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.38
- Rev growth 9.0%, EPS growth -26.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 7.5%
- 3.7% 10Y total return vs AFRI's -1.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.0% revenue growth vs AFRI's -10.2% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 6.3% margin vs AFRI's -5.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.38 vs AFRI's 0.44, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +29.3% vs SMPL's -64.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.7% ROA vs AFRI's -5.9%, ROIC 8.1% vs -3.2% |
AFRI vs SMPL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AFRI vs SMPL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SMPL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SMPL is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.4B annually — 4.5x AFRI's $325M. SMPL is the more profitable business, keeping 6.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AFRI's -5.2%. On growth, AFRI holds the edge at +13.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $325M | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4M | $231M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$17M | $91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $30M | $174M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +11.0% | +34.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.3% | +14.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -5.2% | +6.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +9.2% | +12.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.5% | -0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -50.0% | -31.6% |
Valuation Metrics
SMPL leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $270M | $1.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $424M | $1.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -11.17x | 12.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 7.45x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 0.51x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 5.97x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.99x | 0.86x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 50.82x | 0.70x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 12.63x | 7.86x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SMPL leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SMPL delivers a 5.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $5 in annual profit, vs $-103 for AFRI. SMPL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AFRI's 31.22x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SMPL scores 5/9 vs AFRI's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -103.1% | +5.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.9% | +3.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -3.2% | +8.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -16.3% | +9.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 31.22x | 0.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $154M | $206M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $12M | $98M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $166M | $304M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.55x | 6.77x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AFRI leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AFRI five years ago would be worth $10,050 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,565 for SMPL. Over the past 12 months, AFRI leads with a +29.3% total return vs SMPL's -64.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AFRI at -3.5% vs SMPL's -31.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -8.5% | -36.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +29.3% | -64.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -10.3% | -67.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +0.5% | -64.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -1.5% | +3.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -3.5% | -31.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AFRI and SMPL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SMPL is the less volatile stock with a 0.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFRI's 0.44 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AFRI currently trades 88.0% from its 52-week high vs SMPL's 33.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.44x | 0.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.42 | $36.92 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $7.47 | $10.21 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +88.0% | +33.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.2 | 42.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 9K | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $20.17 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +4.1% |
SMPL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). AFRI leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
AFRI vs SMPL: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFRI or SMPL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the stronger pick with 9.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -10. 2% for Forafric Global PLC (AFRI). The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) offers the better valuation at 12. 2x trailing P/E (7. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) a "Buy" — based on 24 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AFRI or SMPL?
Over the past 5 years, Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) delivered a total return of +0.
5%, compared to -64. 3% for The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SMPL returned +3. 7% versus AFRI's -1. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AFRI or SMPL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
38β versus Forafric Global PLC's 0. 44β — meaning AFRI is approximately 15% more volatile than SMPL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 17% versus 31% for Forafric Global PLC — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — AFRI or SMPL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is pulling ahead at 9.
0% versus -10. 2% for Forafric Global PLC (AFRI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Simply Good Foods Company grew EPS -26. 1% year-over-year, compared to -91. 5% for Forafric Global PLC. Over a 3-year CAGR, SMPL leads at 7. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AFRI or SMPL?
The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the more profitable company, earning 7.
1% net margin versus -8. 9% for Forafric Global PLC — meaning it keeps 7. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SMPL leads at 15. 1% versus -2. 8% for AFRI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — SMPL leads at 35. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — AFRI or SMPL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is AFRI or SMPL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
38)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (SMPL: +3. 7%, AFRI: -1. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between AFRI and SMPL?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AFRI is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SMPL is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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