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AI vs BBAI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Information Technology Services
AI vs BBAI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Information Technology Services | Information Technology Services |
| Market Cap | $1.28B | $19.73B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $307M | $127M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-435M | $-289M |
| Gross Margin | 43.5% | 25.8% |
| Operating Margin | -151.7% | -68.3% |
| Total Debt | $5M | $24M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $164M | $87M |
AI vs BBAI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Apr 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| C3.ai, Inc. (AI) | 100 | 14.5 | -85.5% |
| BigBear.ai Holdings… (BBAI) | 100 | 42.9 | -57.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AI vs BBAI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 2.53
- Rev growth 25.3%, EPS growth 4.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 15.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.53, Low D/E 0.6%, current ratio 6.86x
BBAI is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- -57.6% 10Y total return vs AI's -82.2%
- +36.7% vs AI's -57.0%
- -35.3% ROA vs AI's -48.5%, ROIC -19.5% vs -35.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 25.3% revenue growth vs BBAI's -19.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | -141.4% margin vs BBAI's -226.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.53 vs BBAI's 3.31, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +36.7% vs AI's -57.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -35.3% ROA vs AI's -48.5%, ROIC -19.5% vs -35.1% |
AI vs BBAI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AI vs BBAI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — AI and BBAI each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AI is the larger business by revenue, generating $307M annually — 2.4x BBAI's $127M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -141.4% (AI) to -2.3% (BBAI). On growth, BBAI holds the edge at -0.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $307M | $127M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$455M | -$75M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$435M | -$289M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$127M | -$56M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +43.5% | +25.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -151.7% | -68.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -141.4% | -2.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -41.3% | -44.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -46.1% | -0.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -53.2% | +52.0% |
Valuation Metrics
AI leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.3B | $19.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.1B | $19.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.28x | -5.09x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.30x | 154.51x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.48x | 24.45x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BBAI leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BBAI delivers a -50.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-51 in annual profit, vs $-60 for AI. AI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BBAI's 0.04x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BBAI scores 4/9 vs AI's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -60.4% | -50.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -48.5% | -35.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -35.1% | -19.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -35.5% | -19.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 0.04x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$160M | -$63M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $164M | $87M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $5M | $24M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -18.17x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BBAI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BBAI five years ago would be worth $4,308 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,701 for AI. Over the past 12 months, BBAI leads with a +36.7% total return vs AI's -57.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BBAI at 14.3% vs AI's -20.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -30.3% | -28.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -57.0% | +36.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -50.2% | +49.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -83.0% | -56.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -82.2% | -57.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -20.7% | +14.3% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AI and BBAI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AI is the less volatile stock with a 2.53 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BBAI's 3.31 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. BBAI currently trades 44.4% from its 52-week high vs AI's 31.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.53x | 3.31x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $30.24 | $9.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $7.67 | $2.96 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +31.7% | +44.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.9 | 63.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.5M | 34.6M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AI as "Hold" and BBAI as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 43.9% upside for BBAI (target: $6) vs -22.8% for AI (target: $7).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $7.40 | $6.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
BBAI leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). AI leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
AI vs BBAI: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AI or BBAI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, C3.
ai, Inc. (AI) is the stronger pick with 25. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 3% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI). Analysts rate C3. ai, Inc. (AI) a "Hold" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AI or BBAI?
Over the past 5 years, BigBear.
ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) delivered a total return of -56. 9%, compared to -83. 0% for C3. ai, Inc. (AI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BBAI returned -57. 6% versus AI's -82. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AI or BBAI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), C3.
ai, Inc. (AI) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 53β versus BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. 's 3. 31β — meaning BBAI is approximately 31% more volatile than AI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, C3. ai, Inc. (AI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 4% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — AI or BBAI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), C3.
ai, Inc. (AI) is pulling ahead at 25. 3% versus -19. 3% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 35. 4% year-over-year, compared to 4. 3% for C3. ai, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AI leads at 15. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AI or BBAI?
C3.
ai, Inc. (AI) is the more profitable company, earning -74. 2% net margin versus -230. 2% for BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps -74. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BBAI leads at -65. 3% versus -83. 4% for AI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AI leads at 60. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — AI or BBAI?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is AI or BBAI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, BigBear.
ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. C3. ai, Inc. (AI) carries a higher beta of 2. 53 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BBAI: -57. 6%, AI: -82. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between AI and BBAI?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AI is a small-cap high-growth stock; BBAI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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