Aerospace & Defense
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5 / 10Stock Comparison
AIR vs HEI vs TDG vs KAI vs HAYW
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
Aerospace & Defense
Industrial - Machinery
Electrical Equipment & Parts
AIR vs HEI vs TDG vs KAI vs HAYW — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Aerospace & Defense | Industrial - Machinery | Electrical Equipment & Parts |
| Market Cap | $4.66B | $24.38B | $70.14B | $4.02B | $3.20B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.13B | $4.63B | $9.11B | $1.05B | $1.15B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $171M | $713M | $1.97B | $102M | $161M |
| Gross Margin | 19.0% | 30.4% | 59.0% | 45.2% | 45.0% |
| Operating Margin | 8.6% | 22.8% | 46.5% | 14.9% | 21.3% |
| Forward P/E | 24.1x | 51.6x | 32.0x | 37.1x | 17.2x |
| Total Debt | $1.05B | $2.19B | $30.03B | $375M | $13M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $97M | $218M | $2.81B | $123M | $330M |
AIR vs HEI vs TDG vs KAI vs HAYW — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAR Corp. (AIR) | 100 | 282.7 | +182.7% |
| HEICO Corporation (HEI) | 100 | 230.2 | +130.2% |
| TransDigm Group Inc… (TDG) | 100 | 211.3 | +111.3% |
| Kadant Inc. (KAI) | 100 | 184.1 | +84.1% |
| Hayward Holdings, I… (HAYW) | 100 | 87.5 | -12.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AIR vs HEI vs TDG vs KAI vs HAYW
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AIR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if growth and momentum is your priority.
- 19.9% revenue growth vs KAI's -0.1%
- +99.4% vs TDG's -3.7%
HEI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 16.3%, EPS growth 33.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 26.6%
- 8.2% 10Y total return vs TDG's 6.0%
TDG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.79, yield 13.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.79, current ratio 3.21x
- Beta 0.79, yield 13.3%, current ratio 3.21x
- 21.6% margin vs AIR's 5.5%
Among these 5 stocks, KAI doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
HAYW ranks third and is worth considering specifically for valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.12 vs HEI's 3.14
- Lower P/E (17.2x vs 37.1x), PEG 0.12 vs 2.93
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.9% revenue growth vs KAI's -0.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (17.2x vs 37.1x), PEG 0.12 vs 2.93 | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.6% margin vs AIR's 5.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.79 vs AIR's 1.64 | |
| Dividends | 13.3% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs KAI's 0.4%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +99.4% vs TDG's -3.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.6% ROA vs HAYW's 5.2%, ROIC 20.9% vs 10.2% |
AIR vs HEI vs TDG vs KAI vs HAYW — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AIR vs HEI vs TDG vs KAI vs HAYW — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
HAYW leads in 2 of 6 categories
TDG leads 1 • AIR leads 1 • HEI leads 0 • KAI leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TDG is the larger business by revenue, generating $9.1B annually — 8.7x KAI's $1.1B. TDG is the more profitable business, keeping 21.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AIR's 5.5%. On growth, AIR holds the edge at +24.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.1B | $4.6B | $9.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $285M | $1.2B | $4.6B | $209M | $301M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $171M | $713M | $2.0B | $102M | $161M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $69M | $841M | $1.9B | $154M | $80M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +19.0% | +30.4% | +59.0% | +45.2% | +45.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.6% | +22.8% | +46.5% | +14.9% | +21.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.5% | +15.4% | +21.6% | +9.7% | +14.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.2% | +18.1% | +20.6% | +14.7% | +7.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +24.6% | +14.4% | +13.9% | +10.9% | +11.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.9% | +12.5% | -13.1% | 0.0% | +70.3% |
Valuation Metrics
HAYW leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.7x trailing earnings, HAYW trades at a 94% valuation discount to AIR's 336.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), HAYW offers better value at 0.16x vs HEI's 3.60x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.7B | $24.4B | $70.1B | $4.0B | $3.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.6B | $26.4B | $97.4B | $4.3B | $2.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 336.43x | 59.09x | 38.72x | 39.37x | 21.71x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 24.05x | 51.57x | 32.01x | 37.06x | 17.19x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.60x | 1.24x | 3.11x | 0.16x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 23.34x | 21.69x | 21.48x | 20.50x | 9.81x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.68x | 5.44x | 7.94x | 3.82x | 2.85x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.48x | 9.31x | — | 4.05x | 2.06x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 3328.33x | 28.30x | 38.63x | 26.07x | 14.19x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HAYW leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HEI delivers a 12.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $10 for HAYW. HAYW carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AIR's 0.86x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HAYW scores 7/9 vs AIR's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.1% | +12.9% | — | +10.8% | +10.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.5% | +7.9% | +8.6% | +6.6% | +5.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.4% | +12.6% | +20.9% | +10.1% | +10.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.1% | +14.0% | +20.8% | +10.9% | +8.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.86x | 0.50x | — | 0.38x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $951M | $2.0B | $27.2B | $252M | -$316M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $97M | $218M | $2.8B | $123M | $330M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.0B | $2.2B | $30.0B | $375M | $13M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.46x | 8.32x | 2.55x | 11.10x | 4.07x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AIR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AIR five years ago would be worth $29,182 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,302 for HAYW. Over the past 12 months, AIR leads with a +99.4% total return vs TDG's -3.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AIR at 30.9% vs HAYW's 8.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +39.4% | -12.0% | -8.6% | +19.2% | -6.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +99.4% | +8.1% | -3.7% | +17.7% | +7.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +124.2% | +71.7% | +86.7% | +76.1% | +27.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +191.8% | +105.2% | +140.2% | +86.8% | -37.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +399.6% | +823.0% | +595.3% | +635.6% | -13.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +30.9% | +19.7% | +23.1% | +20.8% | +8.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AIR and TDG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TDG is the less volatile stock with a 0.79 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AIR's 1.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AIR currently trades 92.6% from its 52-week high vs TDG's 76.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.64x | 1.04x | 0.79x | 1.57x | 1.14x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $127.21 | $361.69 | $1623.83 | $369.97 | $17.73 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $58.43 | $256.11 | $1123.61 | $244.87 | $13.04 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.6% | +80.1% | +76.5% | +92.1% | +83.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.2 | 60.7 | 56.5 | 58.0 | 51.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 446K | 698K | 370K | 165K | 2.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — TDG and KAI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AIR as "Buy", HEI as "Buy", TDG as "Buy", KAI as "Hold", HAYW as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 30.3% upside for TDG (target: $1618) vs -11.0% for KAI (target: $303). For income investors, TDG offers the higher dividend yield at 13.32% vs KAI's 0.39%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $120.00 | $371.00 | $1617.88 | $303.00 | $15.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 34 | 39 | 6 | 10 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.1% | +13.3% | +0.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.23 | $165.45 | $1.34 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.7% | 0.0% | +0.2% |
HAYW leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). TDG leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
AIR vs HEI vs TDG vs KAI vs HAYW: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAR Corp.
(AIR) is the stronger pick with 19. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 1% for Kadant Inc. (KAI). Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) offers the better valuation at 21. 7x trailing P/E (17. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AAR Corp. (AIR) a "Buy" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW?
On trailing P/E, Hayward Holdings, Inc.
(HAYW) is the cheapest at 21. 7x versus AAR Corp. at 336. 4x. On forward P/E, Hayward Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 17. 2x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Hayward Holdings, Inc. wins at 0. 12x versus HEICO Corporation's 3. 14x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW?
Over the past 5 years, AAR Corp.
(AIR) delivered a total return of +191. 8%, compared to -37. 0% for Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: HEI returned +823. 0% versus HAYW's -13. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
79β versus AAR Corp. 's 1. 64β — meaning AIR is approximately 108% more volatile than TDG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 86% for AAR Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAR Corp.
(AIR) is pulling ahead at 19. 9% versus -0. 1% for Kadant Inc. (KAI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: HEICO Corporation grew EPS 33. 5% year-over-year, compared to -72. 9% for AAR Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, HEI leads at 26. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW?
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the more profitable company, earning 23.
5% net margin versus 0. 4% for AAR Corp. — meaning it keeps 23. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TDG leads at 47. 2% versus 6. 7% for AIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TDG leads at 60. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 12x versus HEICO Corporation's 3. 14x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) trades at 17. 2x forward P/E versus 51. 6x for HEICO Corporation — 34. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for TDG: 30. 3% to $1617. 88.
08Which pays a better dividend — AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW?
In this comparison, TDG (13.
3% yield), KAI (0. 4% yield) pay a dividend. AIR, HEI, HAYW do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AIR or HEI or TDG or KAI or HAYW better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
79), 13. 3% yield, +595. 3% 10Y return). AAR Corp. (AIR) carries a higher beta of 1. 64 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TDG: +595. 3%, AIR: +399. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AIR and HEI and TDG and KAI and HAYW?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AIR is a small-cap high-growth stock; HEI is a mid-cap high-growth stock; TDG is a mid-cap income-oriented stock; KAI is a small-cap quality compounder stock; HAYW is a small-cap quality compounder stock. TDG pays a dividend while AIR, HEI, KAI, HAYW do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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