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AIR vs KAI
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Industrial - Machinery
AIR vs KAI — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Industrial - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $4.70B | $3.87B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.13B | $1.05B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $171M | $102M |
| Gross Margin | 19.0% | 45.2% |
| Operating Margin | 8.6% | 14.9% |
| Forward P/E | 24.2x | 35.6x |
| Total Debt | $1.05B | $375M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $97M | $123M |
AIR vs KAI — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAR Corp. (AIR) | 100 | 588.5 | +488.5% |
| Kadant Inc. (KAI) | 100 | 338.2 | +238.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AIR vs KAI
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AIR is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 19.9%, EPS growth -72.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 15.2%
- 19.9% revenue growth vs KAI's -0.1%
- Lower P/E (24.2x vs 35.6x)
KAI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 13 yrs, beta 1.57, yield 0.4%
- 5.9% 10Y total return vs AIR's 402.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.57, Low D/E 37.8%, current ratio 9.15x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.9% revenue growth vs KAI's -0.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (24.2x vs 35.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.7% margin vs AIR's 5.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.57 vs AIR's 1.64, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.4% yield; 13-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +102.0% vs KAI's +14.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 6.6% ROA vs AIR's 5.5%, ROIC 10.1% vs 6.4% |
AIR vs KAI — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AIR vs KAI — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KAI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AIR is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.1B annually — 3.0x KAI's $1.1B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.7% (KAI) to 5.5% (AIR). On growth, AIR holds the edge at +24.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.1B | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $285M | $209M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $171M | $102M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $69M | $154M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +19.0% | +45.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +8.6% | +14.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.5% | +9.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.2% | +14.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +24.6% | +10.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.9% | 0.0% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — AIR and KAI each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 37.9x trailing earnings, KAI trades at a 89% valuation discount to AIR's 339.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, KAI's 19.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AIR's 23.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $4.7B | $3.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.6B | $4.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 339.17x | 37.86x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 24.25x | 35.64x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.00x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 23.50x | 19.76x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.69x | 3.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.51x | 3.90x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 3355.47x | 25.07x |
Profitability & Efficiency
KAI leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AIR delivers a 12.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $11 for KAI. KAI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.38x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AIR's 0.86x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KAI scores 6/9 vs AIR's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +12.1% | +10.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.5% | +6.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.4% | +10.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.1% | +10.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.86x | 0.38x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $951M | $252M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $97M | $123M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.0B | $375M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.46x | 11.10x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AIR leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AIR five years ago would be worth $29,804 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $18,435 for KAI. Over the past 12 months, AIR leads with a +102.0% total return vs KAI's +14.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AIR at 31.2% vs KAI's 19.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +40.6% | +14.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +102.0% | +14.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +126.0% | +69.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +198.0% | +84.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +402.8% | +590.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +31.2% | +19.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AIR and KAI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KAI is the less volatile stock with a 1.57 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AIR's 1.64 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AIR currently trades 93.3% from its 52-week high vs KAI's 88.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.64x | 1.57x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $127.21 | $369.97 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $55.96 | $244.87 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.3% | +88.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.6 | 36.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 446K | 163K |
Analyst Outlook
KAI leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AIR as "Buy" and KAI as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 1.1% upside for AIR (target: $120) vs -7.5% for KAI (target: $303). KAI is the only dividend payer here at 0.41% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $120.00 | $303.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 6 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 13 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.34 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | 0.0% |
KAI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AIR leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
AIR vs KAI: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AIR or KAI a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAR Corp.
(AIR) is the stronger pick with 19. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 1% for Kadant Inc. (KAI). Kadant Inc. (KAI) offers the better valuation at 37. 9x trailing P/E (35. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AAR Corp. (AIR) a "Buy" — based on 20 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AIR or KAI?
On trailing P/E, Kadant Inc.
(KAI) is the cheapest at 37. 9x versus AAR Corp. at 339. 2x. On forward P/E, AAR Corp. is actually cheaper at 24. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AIR or KAI?
Over the past 5 years, AAR Corp.
(AIR) delivered a total return of +198. 0%, compared to +84. 3% for Kadant Inc. (KAI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: KAI returned +590. 7% versus AIR's +402. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AIR or KAI?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Kadant Inc.
(KAI) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 57β versus AAR Corp. 's 1. 64β — meaning AIR is approximately 4% more volatile than KAI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Kadant Inc. (KAI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 38% versus 86% for AAR Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AIR or KAI?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAR Corp.
(AIR) is pulling ahead at 19. 9% versus -0. 1% for Kadant Inc. (KAI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Kadant Inc. grew EPS -8. 8% year-over-year, compared to -72. 9% for AAR Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AIR leads at 15. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AIR or KAI?
Kadant Inc.
(KAI) is the more profitable company, earning 9. 7% net margin versus 0. 4% for AAR Corp. — meaning it keeps 9. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KAI leads at 14. 9% versus 6. 7% for AIR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KAI leads at 45. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AIR or KAI more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, AAR Corp.
(AIR) trades at 24. 2x forward P/E versus 35. 6x for Kadant Inc. — 11. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AIR: 1. 1% to $120. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AIR or KAI?
In this comparison, KAI (0.
4% yield) pays a dividend. AIR does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AIR or KAI better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Kadant Inc.
(KAI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+590. 7% 10Y return). AAR Corp. (AIR) carries a higher beta of 1. 64 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (KAI: +590. 7%, AIR: +402. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AIR and KAI?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AIR is a small-cap high-growth stock; KAI is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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