Integrated Freight & Logistics
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AIRT vs FWRD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Integrated Freight & Logistics
AIRT vs FWRD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Market Cap | $68M | $547M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $272M | $2.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-7M | $-91M |
| Gross Margin | 20.0% | 23.1% |
| Operating Margin | -3.1% | 2.1% |
| Total Debt | $129M | $2.16B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $6M | $106M |
AIRT vs FWRD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Air T, Inc. (AIRT) | 100 | 195.0 | +95.0% |
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 34.9 | -65.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AIRT vs FWRD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AIRT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.05
- Rev growth 1.7%, EPS growth 7.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 18.1%
- 32.1% 10Y total return vs FWRD's -47.3%
In this particular matchup, FWRD is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.7% revenue growth vs FWRD's 0.8% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | -2.5% margin vs FWRD's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.05 vs FWRD's 2.28 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +32.4% vs FWRD's +0.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -1.8% ROA vs FWRD's -3.3%, ROIC 1.1% vs 1.2% |
AIRT vs FWRD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AIRT vs FWRD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FWRD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
FWRD is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.5B annually — 9.0x AIRT's $272M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -2.5% (AIRT) to -3.7% (FWRD). On growth, FWRD holds the edge at -5.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $272M | $2.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$3M | $206M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$7M | -$91M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$22M | $38M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +20.0% | +23.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.1% | +2.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -2.5% | -3.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -8.2% | +1.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.7% | -5.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -93.6% | +35.1% |
Valuation Metrics
FWRD leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FWRD's 13.8x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AIRT's 30.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $68M | $547M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $191M | $2.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -10.09x | -4.98x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 30.55x | 13.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.23x | 0.22x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 11.18x | 3.32x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.72x | 35.82x |
Profitability & Efficiency
FWRD leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
FWRD delivers a -52.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-53 in annual profit, vs $-115 for AIRT. FWRD carries lower financial leverage with a 13.36x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AIRT's 23.32x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AIRT scores 6/9 vs FWRD's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -114.6% | -52.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.8% | -3.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.1% | +1.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.5% | +1.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 23.32x | 13.36x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $123M | $2.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $6M | $106M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $129M | $2.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.19x | 0.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AIRT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AIRT five years ago would be worth $10,181 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,978 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, AIRT leads with a +32.4% total return vs FWRD's +0.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AIRT at -4.6% vs FWRD's -42.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +17.8% | -31.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +32.4% | +0.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -13.3% | -81.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1.8% | -80.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +32.1% | -47.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -4.6% | -42.8% |
Risk & Volatility
AIRT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AIRT is the less volatile stock with a 0.05 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRD's 2.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AIRT currently trades 84.3% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 53.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.05x | 2.28x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $26.70 | $32.47 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.97 | $14.81 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.3% | +53.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.9 | 42.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2K | 733K |
Analyst Outlook
FWRD leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $37.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.1% | +0.2% |
FWRD leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). AIRT leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility).
AIRT vs FWRD: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AIRT or FWRD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is the stronger pick with 1. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 8% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Analysts rate Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) a "Hold" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AIRT or FWRD?
Over the past 5 years, Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) delivered a total return of +1. 8%, compared to -80. 2% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AIRT returned +32. 1% versus FWRD's -47. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AIRT or FWRD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 05β versus Forward Air Corporation's 2. 28β — meaning FWRD is approximately 4595% more volatile than AIRT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 13% versus 23% for Air T, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — AIRT or FWRD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is pulling ahead at 1. 7% versus 0. 8% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forward Air Corporation grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to 7. 9% for Air T, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AIRT leads at 18. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AIRT or FWRD?
Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is the more profitable company, earning -2. 1% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps -2. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: FWRD leads at 1. 5% versus 0. 7% for AIRT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AIRT leads at 20. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — AIRT or FWRD?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is AIRT or FWRD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Air T, Inc.
(AIRT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 05)). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AIRT: +32. 1%, FWRD: -47. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between AIRT and FWRD?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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