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ARCC vs GBDC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
ARCC vs GBDC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $13.76B | $3.47B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.15B | $871M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.15B | $205M |
| Gross Margin | 75.7% | 81.5% |
| Operating Margin | 69.7% | 78.9% |
| Forward P/E | 10.0x | 9.3x |
| Total Debt | $15.99B | $4.90B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $924M | $24M |
ARCC vs GBDC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ares Capital Corpor… (ARCC) | 100 | 129.9 | +29.9% |
| Golub Capital BDC, … (GBDC) | 100 | 109.6 | +9.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARCC vs GBDC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARCC is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 139.7% 10Y total return vs GBDC's 61.2%
GBDC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.64, yield 10.4%
- Rev growth 42.5%, EPS growth 4.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.64, current ratio 5.35x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 42.5% NII/revenue growth vs ARCC's 32.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.3x vs 10.0x), PEG 0.30 vs 0.97 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs ARCC's 0.1% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.64 vs ARCC's 0.77 | |
| Dividends | 10.4% yield, vs ARCC's 2.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +4.4% vs ARCC's +1.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.0% vs ARCC's 0.1% |
ARCC vs GBDC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GBDC leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARCC is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.1B annually — 3.6x GBDC's $871M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 43.2% (GBDC) to 41.3% (ARCC).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.1B | $871M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.0B | $431M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $205M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.1B | $313M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +75.7% | +81.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +69.7% | +78.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +41.3% | +43.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +36.3% | -13.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -63.9% | -160.0% |
Valuation Metrics
GBDC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.4x trailing earnings, GBDC trades at a 9% valuation discount to ARCC's 10.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GBDC offers better value at 0.30x vs ARCC's 1.00x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $13.8B | $3.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $28.8B | $8.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.30x | 9.37x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.02x | 9.26x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.00x | 0.30x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.16x | 12.14x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.37x | 3.98x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.94x | 0.89x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 12.05x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — ARCC and GBDC each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARCC delivers a 8.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $8 in annual profit, vs $5 for GBDC. ARCC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.12x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GBDC's 1.23x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.1% | +5.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.8% | +2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.7% | +5.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.5% | +7.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.12x | 1.23x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $15.1B | $4.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $924M | $24M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $16.0B | $4.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.98x | 1.62x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GBDC leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARCC five years ago would be worth $14,948 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,353 for GBDC. Over the past 12 months, GBDC leads with a +4.4% total return vs ARCC's +1.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GBDC at 10.9% vs ARCC's 10.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -3.9% | +0.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +1.9% | +4.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +35.3% | +36.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +49.5% | +33.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +139.7% | +61.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.6% | +10.9% |
Risk & Volatility
GBDC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GBDC is the less volatile stock with a 0.64 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARCC's 0.77 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GBDC currently trades 85.2% from its 52-week high vs ARCC's 81.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.77x | 0.64x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.42 | $15.63 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $17.40 | $11.77 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.8% | +85.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.6 | 55.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 7.5M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
GBDC leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARCC as "Buy" and GBDC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 14.2% upside for ARCC (target: $22) vs 7.7% for GBDC (target: $14). For income investors, GBDC offers the higher dividend yield at 10.40% vs ARCC's 2.00%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $21.88 | $14.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 32 | 11 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.0% | +10.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.38 | $1.38 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.2% |
GBDC leads in 5 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 1 category is tied.
ARCC vs GBDC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARCC or GBDC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
(GBDC) is the stronger pick with 42. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 32. 9% for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC). Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) offers the better valuation at 9. 4x trailing P/E (9. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARCC or GBDC?
On trailing P/E, Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
(GBDC) is the cheapest at 9. 4x versus Ares Capital Corporation at 10. 3x. On forward P/E, Golub Capital BDC, Inc. is actually cheaper at 9. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Golub Capital BDC, Inc. wins at 0. 30x versus Ares Capital Corporation's 0. 97x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARCC or GBDC?
Over the past 5 years, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) delivered a total return of +49.
5%, compared to +33. 5% for Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ARCC returned +139. 7% versus GBDC's +61. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARCC or GBDC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
(GBDC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 64β versus Ares Capital Corporation's 0. 77β — meaning ARCC is approximately 20% more volatile than GBDC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 112% versus 123% for Golub Capital BDC, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARCC or GBDC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
(GBDC) is pulling ahead at 42. 5% versus 32. 9% for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Golub Capital BDC, Inc. grew EPS 4. 4% year-over-year, compared to -23. 8% for Ares Capital Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARCC or GBDC?
Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
(GBDC) is the more profitable company, earning 43. 2% net margin versus 41. 3% for Ares Capital Corporation — meaning it keeps 43. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GBDC leads at 78. 9% versus 69. 7% for ARCC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GBDC leads at 81. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARCC or GBDC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 30x versus Ares Capital Corporation's 0. 97x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) trades at 9. 3x forward P/E versus 10. 0x for Ares Capital Corporation — 0. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ARCC: 14. 2% to $21. 88.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARCC or GBDC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) offers the highest yield at 10. 4%, versus 2. 0% for Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC).
09Is ARCC or GBDC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
(GBDC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 64), 10. 4% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GBDC: +61. 2%, ARCC: +139. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARCC and GBDC?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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