REIT - Mortgage
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ARI vs GPMT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
ARI vs GPMT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $1.45B | $71M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $709M | $132M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $127M | $-40M |
| Gross Margin | 66.2% | 47.3% |
| Operating Margin | 56.0% | -4.3% |
| Forward P/E | 12.7x | — |
| Total Debt | $7.92B | $1.17B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $140M | $66M |
ARI vs GPMT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollo Commercial R… (ARI) | 100 | 133.0 | +33.0% |
| Granite Point Mortg… (GPMT) | 100 | 30.3 | -69.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARI vs GPMT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.60, yield 9.3%
- 62.9% 10Y total return vs GPMT's -50.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.60, current ratio 0.30x
GPMT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 187.8%, EPS growth 73.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.9%
- 187.8% FFO/revenue growth vs ARI's 1.3%
- Better valuation composite
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 187.8% FFO/revenue growth vs ARI's 1.3% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 17.9% margin vs GPMT's -30.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.60 vs GPMT's 1.44 | |
| Dividends | 14.5% yield, vs ARI's 9.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +27.9% vs GPMT's -11.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.3% ROA vs GPMT's -2.3%, ROIC 4.0% vs 2.6% |
ARI vs GPMT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARI is the larger business by revenue, generating $709M annually — 5.4x GPMT's $132M. ARI is the more profitable business, keeping 17.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GPMT's -30.5%. On growth, GPMT holds the edge at +157.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $709M | $132M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $410M | -$8M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $127M | -$40M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $40M | $463,000 |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +66.2% | +47.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +56.0% | -4.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +17.9% | -30.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.7% | +0.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.8% | +157.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | 0.0% | +40.9% |
Valuation Metrics
GPMT leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, ARI's 19.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GPMT's 20.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.5B | $71M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.2B | $1.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 13.52x | -1.28x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 12.66x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.09x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 19.42x | 20.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.05x | 0.49x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.82x | 0.13x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 34.38x | 26.57x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARI leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARI delivers a 6.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-7 for GPMT. GPMT carries lower financial leverage with a 2.12x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARI's 4.27x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.9% | -7.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.3% | -2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.0% | +2.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.6% | +4.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 4.27x | 2.12x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $7.8B | $1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $140M | $66M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.9B | $1.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.28x | 0.58x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ARI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARI five years ago would be worth $11,260 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,487 for GPMT. Over the past 12 months, ARI leads with a +27.9% total return vs GPMT's -11.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ARI at 14.8% vs GPMT's -13.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +13.6% | -35.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +27.9% | -11.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +51.3% | -35.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +12.6% | -65.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +62.9% | -50.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +14.8% | -13.7% |
Risk & Volatility
ARI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ARI is the less volatile stock with a 0.60 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GPMT's 1.44 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ARI currently trades 97.4% from its 52-week high vs GPMT's 47.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.60x | 1.44x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $11.24 | $3.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $9.30 | $1.24 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.4% | +47.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.0 | 39.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 154K |
Analyst Outlook
GPMT leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARI as "Hold" and GPMT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 67.8% upside for GPMT (target: $3) vs 9.6% for ARI (target: $12). For income investors, GPMT offers the higher dividend yield at 14.54% vs ARI's 9.29%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.00 | $2.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +9.3% | +14.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.02 | $0.22 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +8.0% |
ARI leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GPMT leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
ARI vs GPMT: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARI or GPMT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
(GPMT) is the stronger pick with 187. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 3% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI). Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) offers the better valuation at 13. 5x trailing P/E (12. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) a "Hold" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ARI or GPMT?
Over the past 5 years, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) delivered a total return of +12. 6%, compared to -65. 1% for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ARI returned +62. 9% versus GPMT's -50. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ARI or GPMT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 60β versus Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. 's 1. 44β — meaning GPMT is approximately 141% more volatile than ARI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 2% versus 4% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ARI or GPMT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
(GPMT) is pulling ahead at 187. 8% versus 1. 3% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. grew EPS 183. 5% year-over-year, compared to 73. 7% for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, GPMT leads at 22. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ARI or GPMT?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) is the more profitable company, earning 17. 8% net margin versus -28. 3% for Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. — meaning it keeps 17. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ARI leads at 65. 4% versus 43. 6% for GPMT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GPMT leads at 83. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is ARI or GPMT more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GPMT: 67.
8% to $2. 50.
07Which pays a better dividend — ARI or GPMT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. (GPMT) offers the highest yield at 14. 5%, versus 9. 3% for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI).
08Is ARI or GPMT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
(ARI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 60), 9. 3% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (ARI: +62. 9%, GPMT: -50. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between ARI and GPMT?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ARI is a small-cap deep-value stock; GPMT is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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