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ASTL vs CMC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Steel
ASTL vs CMC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Steel | Steel |
| Market Cap | $534M | $8.01B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.09B | $8.01B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-985M | $438M |
| Gross Margin | -31.4% | 16.5% |
| Operating Margin | -61.4% | 7.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 11.0x |
| Total Debt | $673M | $1.35B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $267M | $1.04B |
ASTL vs CMC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Algoma Steel Group … (ASTL) | 100 | 52.6 | -47.4% |
| Commercial Metals C… (CMC) | 100 | 233.9 | +133.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASTL vs CMC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ASTL is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 2.23, yield 3.8%
- Beta 2.23, yield 3.8%, current ratio 3.07x
- 3.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs CMC's 1.0%
CMC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -1.6%, EPS growth -82.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -4.4%
- 345.8% 10Y total return vs ASTL's -40.4%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.53, Low D/E 32.3%, current ratio 2.78x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.6% revenue growth vs ASTL's -12.2% | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.5% margin vs ASTL's -47.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.53 vs ASTL's 2.23, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs CMC's 1.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +60.6% vs ASTL's -5.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.7% ROA vs ASTL's -37.2%, ROIC 8.5% vs -12.7% |
ASTL vs CMC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASTL vs CMC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMC is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.0B annually — 3.8x ASTL's $2.1B. CMC is the more profitable business, keeping 5.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ASTL's -47.2%. On growth, CMC holds the edge at +11.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $8.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$924M | $890M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$985M | $438M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$422M | $296M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -31.4% | +16.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -61.4% | +7.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -47.2% | +5.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -20.3% | +3.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -23.0% | +11.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | +2.0% |
Valuation Metrics
ASTL leads this category, winning 3 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $534M | $8.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $833M | $8.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.37x | 97.50x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 11.03x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 10.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.30x | 1.03x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.50x | 1.96x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 25.65x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CMC leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CMC delivers a 10.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $-95 for ASTL. CMC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.32x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ASTL's 0.45x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CMC scores 4/9 vs ASTL's 3/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -95.1% | +10.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -37.2% | +4.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -12.7% | +8.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -11.9% | +8.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.45x | 0.32x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $406M | $311M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $267M | $1.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $673M | $1.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12.82x | 9.84x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CMC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CMC five years ago would be worth $23,411 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,926 for ASTL. Over the past 12 months, CMC leads with a +60.6% total return vs ASTL's -5.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CMC at 18.7% vs ASTL's -8.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +29.8% | +1.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -5.9% | +60.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -24.0% | +67.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.7% | +134.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -40.4% | +345.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.7% | +18.7% |
Risk & Volatility
CMC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CMC is the less volatile stock with a 1.53 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ASTL's 2.23 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CMC currently trades 85.0% from its 52-week high vs ASTL's 70.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.23x | 1.53x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.25 | $84.87 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $44.67 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +70.2% | +85.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 58.1 | 58.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
ASTL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ASTL as "Buy" and CMC as "Buy". For income investors, ASTL offers the higher dividend yield at 3.82% vs CMC's 0.99%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $82.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 26 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.8% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.26 | $0.71 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.6% |
CMC leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ASTL leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook).
ASTL vs CMC: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASTL or CMC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is the stronger pick with -1.
6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Commercial Metals Company (CMC) offers the better valuation at 97. 5x trailing P/E (11. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ASTL or CMC?
Over the past 5 years, Commercial Metals Company (CMC) delivered a total return of +134.
1%, compared to -40. 7% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CMC returned +345. 8% versus ASTL's -40. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ASTL or CMC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
53β versus Algoma Steel Group Inc. 's 2. 23β — meaning ASTL is approximately 45% more volatile than CMC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Commercial Metals Company (CMC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 32% versus 45% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ASTL or CMC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is pulling ahead at -1.
6% versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Commercial Metals Company grew EPS -82. 1% year-over-year, compared to -392. 9% for Algoma Steel Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CMC leads at -4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ASTL or CMC?
Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is the more profitable company, earning 1.
1% net margin versus -9. 1% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CMC leads at 6. 7% versus -12. 0% for ASTL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CMC leads at 15. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ASTL or CMC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 1. 0% for Commercial Metals Company (CMC).
07Is ASTL or CMC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (1.
0% yield, +345. 8% 10Y return). Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) carries a higher beta of 2. 23 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CMC: +345. 8%, ASTL: -40. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ASTL and CMC?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ASTL is a small-cap income-oriented stock; CMC is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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