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ASTL vs STLD vs NUE vs CLF
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Steel
Steel
Steel
ASTL vs STLD vs NUE vs CLF — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Steel | Steel | Steel | Steel |
| Market Cap | $547M | $33.75B | $51.64B | $6.07B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.09B | $19.01B | $34.16B | $18.61B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-985M | $1.37B | $2.33B | $-1.48B |
| Gross Margin | -31.4% | 14.0% | 14.0% | -4.6% |
| Operating Margin | -61.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | -7.5% |
| Forward P/E | — | 15.6x | 16.2x | — |
| Total Debt | $673M | $4.21B | $7.12B | $7.25B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $267M | $770M | $2.26B | $57M |
ASTL vs STLD vs NUE vs CLF — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Algoma Steel Group … (ASTL) | 100 | 53.8 | -46.2% |
| Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) | 100 | 458.9 | +358.9% |
| Nucor Corporation (NUE) | 100 | 282.4 | +182.4% |
| Cleveland-Cliffs In… (CLF) | 100 | 53.0 | -47.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASTL vs STLD vs NUE vs CLF
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ASTL is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 2.23, yield 3.7%, current ratio 3.07x
- 3.7% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs NUE's 1.0%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
STLD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 9.4% 10Y total return vs NUE's 426.7%
- PEG 0.62 vs NUE's 0.62
- Better valuation composite
- 7.2% margin vs ASTL's -47.2%
NUE is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and growth exposure is your priority.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 1.03, yield 1.0%
- Rev growth 5.7%, EPS growth -11.1%, 3Y rev CAGR -7.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.03, Low D/E 32.2%, current ratio 2.94x
- 5.7% revenue growth vs ASTL's -12.2%
CLF lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 5.7% revenue growth vs ASTL's -12.2% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.2% margin vs ASTL's -47.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.03 vs CLF's 2.36, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.7% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs NUE's 1.0%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +98.8% vs ASTL's -0.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.5% ROA vs ASTL's -37.2%, ROIC 9.2% vs -12.7% |
ASTL vs STLD vs NUE vs CLF — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASTL vs STLD vs NUE vs CLF — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
STLD leads in 2 of 6 categories
NUE leads 1 • ASTL leads 0 • CLF leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — STLD and NUE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NUE is the larger business by revenue, generating $34.2B annually — 16.4x ASTL's $2.1B. STLD is the more profitable business, keeping 7.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ASTL's -47.2%. On growth, NUE holds the edge at +21.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $19.0B | $34.2B | $18.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$924M | $2.4B | $4.9B | -$168M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$985M | $1.4B | $2.3B | -$1.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$422M | $665M | $532M | -$1.0B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -31.4% | +14.0% | +14.0% | -4.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -61.4% | +9.4% | +10.0% | -7.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -47.2% | +7.2% | +6.8% | -7.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -20.3% | +3.5% | +1.6% | -5.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -23.0% | +19.1% | +21.3% | -0.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | +93.1% | +3.8% | +46.7% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — ASTL and STLD each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 29.2x trailing earnings, STLD trades at a 3% valuation discount to NUE's 30.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), STLD offers better value at 1.15x vs NUE's 1.16x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $547M | $33.7B | $51.6B | $6.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $844M | $37.2B | $56.5B | $13.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -3.47x | 29.15x | 30.15x | -3.55x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 15.64x | 16.15x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.15x | 1.16x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 18.34x | 13.65x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.30x | 1.86x | 1.59x | 0.33x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.51x | 3.87x | 2.37x | 0.83x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 67.29x | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
STLD leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
STLD delivers a 15.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $15 in annual profit, vs $-95 for ASTL. NUE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.32x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CLF's 1.15x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NUE scores 7/9 vs CLF's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -95.1% | +15.3% | +10.6% | -23.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -37.2% | +8.5% | +6.7% | -7.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -12.7% | +9.2% | +7.7% | -7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -11.9% | +10.9% | +8.9% | -8.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.45x | 0.47x | 0.32x | 1.15x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $406M | $3.4B | $4.9B | $7.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $267M | $770M | $2.3B | $57M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $673M | $4.2B | $7.1B | $7.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -12.82x | 20.39x | 29.72x | -2.36x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
STLD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in STLD five years ago would be worth $38,057 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,043 for CLF. Over the past 12 months, NUE leads with a +98.8% total return vs ASTL's -0.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors STLD at 34.6% vs CLF's -11.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +32.9% | +32.6% | +34.2% | -21.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -0.2% | +79.8% | +98.8% | +25.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -22.4% | +143.7% | +64.7% | -29.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -39.4% | +280.6% | +140.0% | -49.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -39.1% | +940.9% | +426.7% | +263.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.1% | +34.6% | +18.1% | -11.0% |
Risk & Volatility
NUE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NUE is the less volatile stock with a 1.03 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CLF's 2.36 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NUE currently trades 96.3% from its 52-week high vs CLF's 63.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.23x | 1.32x | 1.03x | 2.36x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $7.25 | $243.72 | $235.44 | $16.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.02 | $119.89 | $106.21 | $5.63 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +71.9% | +95.6% | +96.3% | +63.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 62.9 | 81.6 | 85.9 | 65.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 1.1M | 1.4M | 17.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ASTL and STLD and NUE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ASTL as "Buy", STLD as "Buy", NUE as "Buy", CLF as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 4.3% upside for CLF (target: $11) vs -19.1% for STLD (target: $188). For income investors, ASTL offers the higher dividend yield at 3.72% vs STLD's 0.84%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $188.40 | $222.83 | $11.11 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 1 | 27 | 32 | 43 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.7% | +0.8% | +1.0% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.26 | $1.96 | $2.22 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.7% | +1.4% | 0.0% |
STLD leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). NUE leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility). 3 tied.
ASTL vs STLD vs NUE vs CLF: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Nucor Corporation (NUE) is the stronger pick with 5.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) offers the better valuation at 29. 2x trailing P/E (15. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) a "Buy" — based on 1 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF?
On trailing P/E, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the cheapest at 29. 2x versus Nucor Corporation at 30. 1x. On forward P/E, Steel Dynamics, Inc. is actually cheaper at 15. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Steel Dynamics, Inc. wins at 0. 62x versus Nucor Corporation's 0. 62x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF?
Over the past 5 years, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) delivered a total return of +280. 6%, compared to -49. 6% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: STLD returned +940. 9% versus ASTL's -39. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Nucor Corporation (NUE) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
03β versus Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. 's 2. 36β — meaning CLF is approximately 128% more volatile than NUE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Nucor Corporation (NUE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 32% versus 115% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Nucor Corporation (NUE) is pulling ahead at 5.
7% versus -12. 2% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nucor Corporation grew EPS -11. 1% year-over-year, compared to -392. 9% for Algoma Steel Group Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, STLD leads at -6. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF?
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the more profitable company, earning 6. 5% net margin versus -9. 1% for Algoma Steel Group Inc. — meaning it keeps 6. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NUE leads at 8. 2% versus -12. 0% for ASTL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — STLD leads at 13. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 62x versus Nucor Corporation's 0. 62x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) trades at 15. 6x forward P/E versus 16. 2x for Nucor Corporation — 0. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CLF: 4. 3% to $11. 11.
08Which pays a better dividend — ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF?
In this comparison, ASTL (3.
7% yield), NUE (1. 0% yield), STLD (0. 8% yield) pay a dividend. CLF does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is ASTL or STLD or NUE or CLF better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Steel Dynamics, Inc.
(STLD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 8% yield, +940. 9% 10Y return). Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) carries a higher beta of 2. 36 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (STLD: +940. 9%, CLF: +263. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ASTL and STLD and NUE and CLF?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ASTL is a small-cap income-oriented stock; STLD is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; NUE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CLF is a small-cap quality compounder stock. ASTL, STLD, NUE pay a dividend while CLF does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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