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ASTS vs SPCE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
ASTS vs SPCE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Communication Equipment | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $20.68B | $168M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $71M | $2M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-342M | $-293M |
| Gross Margin | 53.4% | -46.5% |
| Operating Margin | -405.7% | -183.1% |
| Total Debt | $32M | $420M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.34B | $179M |
ASTS vs SPCE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| AST SpaceMobile, In… (ASTS) | 100 | 716.1 | +616.1% |
| Virgin Galactic Hol… (SPCE) | 100 | 0.8 | -99.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ASTS vs SPCE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ASTS carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 15.1%, EPS growth 30.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 72.5%
- 6.2% 10Y total return vs SPCE's -98.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.82, Low D/E 1.1%, current ratio 16.35x
SPCE is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and defensive.
- beta 1.91
- Beta 1.91, current ratio 4.19x
- Beta 1.91 vs ASTS's 2.82
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 15.1% revenue growth vs SPCE's 3.5% | |
| Quality / Margins | -482.2% margin vs SPCE's -176.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.91 vs ASTS's 2.82 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +181.8% vs SPCE's -6.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -12.6% ROA vs SPCE's -34.3%, ROIC -47.1% vs -42.0% |
ASTS vs SPCE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ASTS vs SPCE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ASTS leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ASTS is the larger business by revenue, generating $71M annually — 42.7x SPCE's $2M. ASTS is the more profitable business, keeping -4.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SPCE's -176.2%. On growth, ASTS holds the edge at +27.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $71M | $2M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$237M | -$287M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$342M | -$293M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$1.1B | -$460M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +53.4% | -46.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -4.1% | -183.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.8% | -176.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -16.0% | -277.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +27.3% | -9.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -55.6% | +59.0% |
Valuation Metrics
SPCE leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $20.7B | $168M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $18.4B | $410M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -52.75x | -0.19x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 291.65x | 23.88x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.15x | 0.21x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTS leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ASTS delivers a -21.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-21 in annual profit, vs $-130 for SPCE. ASTS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SPCE's 1.30x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ASTS scores 5/9 vs SPCE's 2/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -21.1% | -129.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -12.6% | -34.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -47.1% | -42.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -10.0% | -41.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.01x | 1.30x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$2.3B | $242M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.3B | $179M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $32M | $420M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -21.20x | -21.56x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ASTS leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ASTS five years ago would be worth $90,848 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $69 for SPCE. Over the past 12 months, ASTS leads with a +181.8% total return vs SPCE's -6.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ASTS at 141.0% vs SPCE's -68.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -15.3% | -19.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +181.8% | -6.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1299.6% | -96.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +808.5% | -99.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +623.4% | -98.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +141.0% | -68.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ASTS and SPCE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SPCE is the less volatile stock with a 1.91 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ASTS's 2.82 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ASTS currently trades 54.4% from its 52-week high vs SPCE's 40.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.82x | 1.91x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $129.89 | $6.64 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $22.47 | $2.13 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +54.4% | +40.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 34.1 | 42.9 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 14.7M | 6.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ASTS as "Buy" and SPCE as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 46.6% upside for ASTS (target: $104) vs -0.4% for SPCE (target: $3).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $103.65 | $2.65 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 7 | 17 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
ASTS leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). SPCE leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
ASTS vs SPCE: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ASTS or SPCE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger pick with 1505% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Analysts rate AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) a "Buy" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ASTS or SPCE?
Over the past 5 years, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) delivered a total return of +808. 5%, compared to -99. 3% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ASTS returned +623. 4% versus SPCE's -98. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ASTS or SPCE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
(SPCE) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 91β versus AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 's 2. 82β — meaning ASTS is approximately 47% more volatile than SPCE relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 130% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ASTS or SPCE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is pulling ahead at 1505% versus 3. 5% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 53. 4% year-over-year, compared to 30. 9% for AST SpaceMobile, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ASTS leads at 72. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ASTS or SPCE?
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the more profitable company, earning -482. 2% net margin versus -49. 3% for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps -482. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ASTS leads at -405. 7% versus -53. 5% for SPCE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ASTS leads at 53. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ASTS or SPCE?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is ASTS or SPCE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
(ASTS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+623. 4% 10Y return). Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE) carries a higher beta of 1. 91 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ASTS: +623. 4%, SPCE: -98. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ASTS and SPCE?
These companies operate in different sectors (ASTS (Technology) and SPCE (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: ASTS is a mid-cap high-growth stock; SPCE is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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