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AXL vs AMZN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Specialty Retail
AXL vs AMZN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Parts | Specialty Retail |
| Market Cap | $761M | $2.92T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $5.84B | $742.78B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-20M | $90.80B |
| Gross Margin | 12.1% | 50.6% |
| Operating Margin | 1.9% | 11.5% |
| Forward P/E | 13.6x | 34.8x |
| Total Debt | $135M | $152.99B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $709M | $86.81B |
AXL vs AMZN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Axle & Man… (AXL) | 100 | 90.2 | -9.8% |
| Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) | 100 | 172.0 | +72.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AXL vs AMZN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AXL is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.84, Low D/E 21.1%, current ratio 2.95x
- Lower P/E (13.6x vs 34.8x)
- +55.2% vs AMZN's +43.7%
AMZN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.51
- Rev growth 12.4%, EPS growth 29.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 11.7%
- 7.0% 10Y total return vs AXL's -59.5%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.4% revenue growth vs AXL's -4.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.6x vs 34.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.2% margin vs AXL's -0.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.51 vs AXL's 1.84 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +55.2% vs AMZN's +43.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 11.5% ROA vs AXL's -0.3%, ROIC 14.7% vs 6.0% |
AXL vs AMZN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AXL vs AMZN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AMZN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AMZN is the larger business by revenue, generating $742.8B annually — 127.3x AXL's $5.8B. AMZN is the more profitable business, keeping 12.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AXL's -0.3%. On growth, AMZN holds the edge at +16.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $5.8B | $742.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $454M | $155.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$20M | $90.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $155M | -$2.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.1% | +50.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.9% | +11.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -0.3% | +12.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.7% | -0.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.2% | +16.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.7% | +74.8% |
Valuation Metrics
AXL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, AXL's 1.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AMZN's 20.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $761M | $2.92T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $187M | $2.98T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -37.71x | 37.82x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.63x | 34.77x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.35x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 1.67x | 20.47x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.13x | 4.07x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.19x | 7.14x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 4.91x | 378.98x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AMZN leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AMZN delivers a 23.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $23 in annual profit, vs $-3 for AXL. AXL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.21x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AMZN's 0.37x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AMZN scores 6/9 vs AXL's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -3.1% | +23.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -0.3% | +11.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.0% | +14.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +2.4% | +15.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.21x | 0.37x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$574M | $66.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $709M | $86.8B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $135M | $153.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 3.83x | 39.96x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AMZN leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AMZN five years ago would be worth $16,476 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,116 for AXL. Over the past 12 months, AXL leads with a +55.2% total return vs AMZN's +43.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AMZN at 36.8% vs AXL's -4.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -1.2% | +19.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +55.2% | +43.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -12.0% | +156.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -38.8% | +64.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.5% | +697.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -4.2% | +36.8% |
Risk & Volatility
AMZN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AMZN is the less volatile stock with a 1.51 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AXL's 1.84 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AMZN currently trades 97.3% from its 52-week high vs AXL's 69.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.84x | 1.51x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.25 | $278.56 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $3.94 | $185.01 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +69.3% | +97.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 35.2 | 81.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.3M | 45.5M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AXL as "Hold" and AMZN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 65.8% upside for AXL (target: $11) vs 13.1% for AMZN (target: $307).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.63 | $306.77 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 20 | 94 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AMZN leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AXL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
AXL vs AMZN: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AXL or AMZN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Amazon.
com, Inc. (AMZN) is the stronger pick with 12. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 7% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL). Amazon. com, Inc. (AMZN) offers the better valuation at 37. 8x trailing P/E (34. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Amazon. com, Inc. (AMZN) a "Buy" — based on 94 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AXL or AMZN?
On forward P/E, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 13. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AXL or AMZN?
Over the past 5 years, Amazon.
com, Inc. (AMZN) delivered a total return of +64. 8%, compared to -38. 8% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AMZN returned +697. 8% versus AXL's -59. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AXL or AMZN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Amazon.
com, Inc. (AMZN) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 51β versus American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 84β — meaning AXL is approximately 22% more volatile than AMZN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 21% versus 37% for Amazon. com, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AXL or AMZN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Amazon.
com, Inc. (AMZN) is pulling ahead at 12. 4% versus -4. 7% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Amazon. com, Inc. grew EPS 29. 7% year-over-year, compared to -158. 6% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AMZN leads at 11. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AXL or AMZN?
Amazon.
com, Inc. (AMZN) is the more profitable company, earning 10. 8% net margin versus -0. 3% for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 10. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AMZN leads at 11. 2% versus 1. 9% for AXL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AMZN leads at 50. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AXL or AMZN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.
(AXL) trades at 13. 6x forward P/E versus 34. 8x for Amazon. com, Inc. — 21. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AXL: 65. 8% to $10. 63.
08Which pays a better dividend — AXL or AMZN?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is AXL or AMZN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Amazon.
com, Inc. (AMZN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (+697. 8% 10Y return). American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL) carries a higher beta of 1. 84 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AMZN: +697. 8%, AXL: -59. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AXL and AMZN?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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